Numbers Shift in Advance of N.H. Primary
By Jon Cohen
On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, a slew of new polls. Go figure. Some highlights:
CNN-WMUR-University of New Hampshire: Obama +9 over Clinton, with 6 percent undecided; McCain +5 over Romney, with 4 percent undecided. (+/-4)
And with Obama and McCain battling to attract independents: Sixty percent of voters registered as "undeclared" -- who have the opportunity to participate in either party's primary -- said they'll opt to vote Democratic.
On the Democratic side, Clinton and Obama split the votes of registered Democrats, but Obama has a big lead over Clinton (45 percent to 24 percent) among undeclared voters. Among registered Republicans, McCain gets 30 percent to Romney's 28, while the Arizona senator has an 11-point edge among the undeclared voters likely to cast a GOP ballot.
Fox News: Obama +4 over Clinton (not significant lead), with 12 percent undecided; McCain +7 over Romney, with 10 percent undecided. (+/-4)
Two-thirds of GOP primary voters said elected officials should not be influenced by their religious beliefs when making policy decisions. A majority of Democratic voters said "changing the way things work in Washington" is more important than "changing the party in the White House."
CBS News (Democrats only): Obama +7 over Clinton, with 9 percent undecided; the two now run evenly on electability. (+/-5)
Sixty-three percent of those polled said Obama "could bring real change to Washington;" 60 percent said so of Clinton. Last Thursday, Iowa Democratic caucusgoers prioritizing "change" supported Obama by a wide margin. Eight in 10 in the new CBS poll said Clinton is prepared for the presidency, 51 percent said so of Obama, a 14-point increase from November.
For a full list of polls, see pollster.com.
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