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Numbers Shift in Advance of N.H. Primary

By Jon Cohen
On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, a slew of new polls. Go figure. Some highlights:

CNN-WMUR-University of New Hampshire: Obama +9 over Clinton, with 6 percent undecided; McCain +5 over Romney, with 4 percent undecided. (+/-4)

And with Obama and McCain battling to attract independents: Sixty percent of voters registered as "undeclared" -- who have the opportunity to participate in either party's primary -- said they'll opt to vote Democratic.

On the Democratic side, Clinton and Obama split the votes of registered Democrats, but Obama has a big lead over Clinton (45 percent to 24 percent) among undeclared voters. Among registered Republicans, McCain gets 30 percent to Romney's 28, while the Arizona senator has an 11-point edge among the undeclared voters likely to cast a GOP ballot.

Fox News: Obama +4 over Clinton (not significant lead), with 12 percent undecided; McCain +7 over Romney, with 10 percent undecided. (+/-4)

Two-thirds of GOP primary voters said elected officials should not be influenced by their religious beliefs when making policy decisions. A majority of Democratic voters said "changing the way things work in Washington" is more important than "changing the party in the White House."

CBS News (Democrats only): Obama +7 over Clinton, with 9 percent undecided; the two now run evenly on electability. (+/-5)

Sixty-three percent of those polled said Obama "could bring real change to Washington;" 60 percent said so of Clinton. Last Thursday, Iowa Democratic caucusgoers prioritizing "change" supported Obama by a wide margin. Eight in 10 in the new CBS poll said Clinton is prepared for the presidency, 51 percent said so of Obama, a 14-point increase from November.

For a full list of polls, see

By Web Politics Editor  |  January 7, 2008; 7:59 PM ET
Categories:  The Pollster  
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Next: An Edwards Promise That Few Have Kept


ROBERTCAMBELL-The problem in my opinion, is that the dems do not have any plans, other than their opinions of what is wrong with the Republican ones.
This garbage has been going on for so long, that now the Republicans have stopped announcing THEIR Plans, so as to force the onus unto the Dims, and cause Candidates like Edwards to repeat "Change" a hundred times in one minute!
"We are for Change because Change is a change, and Changing Changes is change because we Change Change change..."

"What are we going to change? Well, that might Change"

Look to track records, and judge by accomplishments! Barack Hussein-Not a Single bill approved!
McCain-He bought New Hampshire with Our Tax Dollars in Pork!-At least Mitt is spending HIS Money!

Posted by: rat-the | January 8, 2008 12:24 PM | Report abuse

It is really scary to me that all the candidates have resorted to the campaign theme. We need change. Yet none of them has really articulated the changes that they will impliment. The polls mobved overnight because we want change? Change to what? how? and when. Lets get back to the issues. The media is a large part to blame. That let candidates speak in generalities and don't pin them down. Change nonsense. Lets talk about policy. Heathecare, Irag, the mortagage meltdown, the economy.

Posted by: politicalobserver1 | January 8, 2008 8:35 AM | Report abuse

Vote for your Candidate

Democratic New Hampshire Primary - Prediction Time!

Republican New Hampshire Primary - Prediction Time!


Posted by: usadblake | January 8, 2008 8:18 AM | Report abuse

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