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Nerves and Enthusiasm

By Jose Antonio Vargas

Updated 9:18 p.m.
The crowd erupts -- Obama, Obama! feet stomping, screaming -- when polls show a tightening race. Clinton's ahead three percent.

NASHUA, N.H. -- Supporters started stomping their feet inside Nashua South High School -- home of the Panthers, and also tonight's Barack Obama campaign rally -- a few minutes ago. Then chants of O-BA-MA, O-BA-MA filled the room. Lots of tension in the room, as initials polls show a tight race -- with Clinton so far leading Obama.

By Web Politics Editor  |  January 8, 2008; 9:07 PM ET
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Bradley effect | Report to Admin Reply

By alex 4 minutes ago

May be it is Bradley effect.


The term Bradley effect or Wilder effect refers to a phenomenon which has led to inaccurate voter opinion polls in some American political campaigns between a white candidate and a non-white candidate.[1][2][3] Specifically, there have been instances in which statistically significant numbers of white voters tell pollsters in advance of an election that they are either genuinely undecided, or likely to vote for the non-white candidate, but those voters exhibit a different behavior when actually casting their ballots. White voters who said that they were undecided break in statistically large numbers toward the white candidate, and many of the white voters who said that they were likely to vote for the black candidate ultimately cast their ballot for the white candidate. This reluctance to give accurate polling answers has sometimes extended to post-election exit polls as well.

Researchers who have studied the issue theorize that some white voters give inaccurate responses to polling questions because of a fear that they might appear to others to be racially prejudiced. Some research has suggested that the race of the pollster conducting the interview may factor into that concern. At least one prominent researcher has suggested that with regard to pre-election polls, the discrepancy can be traced in part by the polls' failure to account for general conservative political leanings among late-deciding voters.

Posted by: JakeD | January 8, 2008 9:21 PM | Report abuse

Uhhh, let's see. They say, the establishment FIGHTS any real, or significant "Change".

I guess that is why they are Fawning over, and Coddling Senators Obama and Edwards!

While treating the Clinton's and Mitt Romney like Lepers!

Because they FIGHT Change!

Posted by: rat-the | January 8, 2008 9:20 PM | Report abuse


Who lives in Hooksett!!?? | Report to Admin Reply

By Ryan 6 minutes ago
Who the heck are these people in Hooksett!!! That's the most ridiculous voting result I have ever seen... research their background

Posted by: JakeD | January 8, 2008 9:18 PM | Report abuse

They're stomping their feet? Oh my word. Do go on Mr Pretend Journalist, I'm feeling better informed by the minute. I guess I can't blame you, you've fallen in with a bad crowd here, but the money must be good what with the trading your soul and all.

Posted by: zukermand | January 8, 2008 9:12 PM | Report abuse

More from the Obama blog:

By Laura Hubka 1 minute ago
maybe heavy racist county?

Re: Hooksett!!!!!!!!! | Report to Admin Reply

By Dan from Texas 19 seconds ago
So racists like Kucinich?

Posted by: JakeD | January 8, 2008 9:12 PM | Report abuse

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