The Trail: A Daily Diary of Campaign 2008


John McCain

Poll: Arizona Race Tightens

Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) pauses during a speech on national security at the University of Tampa Oct. 29, 2008 in Tampa. (Ed Pfueller/Getty Images)

By Steven A. Holmes
In what could be potentially very embarrassing development for Sen. John McCain, a number of polls out of Arizona show the race tightening between the Republican presidential nominee and his Democratic rival. In the latest Cronkite/Eight survey, McCain leads Sen. Barack Obama by two points, 46 percent to 44 percent among registered voters, well within the poll's margin of error.

The poll of 1,019 registered voters indicated that 9 percent of respondents were undecided. The findings are in line with four other recent surveys in McCain's home state that showed the race tightening there.

"Arizona, even though we're a Republican state and John McCain is our senator, reflects the national mood," said Tara Blanc, associate director of the poll which was sponsored jointly by the Walter Cronkite School of Journalism at Arizona State University and KAET-TV. "The economy here has been hit pretty hard and the electorate is blaming the Republicans by 2 to 1 over the Democrats."

As the race tightens, Obama apparently has upped his spending in the state which at one time seemed completely unwinnable for him, doing relatively modest television buys, according to Blanc.

Brian Rogers, a spokesman for the McCain campaign said the candidate is not worried that somehow he will repeat the feat of Al Gore in the 2000 election -- losing his home state. "Listen, John McCain is going to win Arizona," Rogers said. "He's never lost an election in Arizona and he won't this time, either."

Posted at 1:35 PM ET on Oct 29, 2008  | Category:  John McCain
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On Oct. 28, 2008, a young Palestinian in a Gaza refugee camp is doing his part to get out the vote for Barack Obama. With a little help from the Internet, 24-year-old Ibrahim Abu Jayab is cold calling random American families from his parent’s home imploring them to vote Obama.

So let me understand this, Barack Obama is outsourcing some of his campaign’s work abroad, to Palestine no less… I am sure that violates a few FEC rules, but doing things by the book has never been Obama’s way, has it?

Posted by: sonnychiba72 | October 30, 2008 1:54 AM

Wow - McCain fights for Arizona?

Even Dukakis didn't have to sweat over his home state.

Posted by: tsawyer_mv | October 29, 2008 5:54 PM

Wouldn't it be painfully ironic if McCain achieved a miracle win in Pennsylvania and swept the toss-up states only to fall a few electoral votes short because he lost his home state of Arizona?

Posted by: Jeff62 | October 29, 2008 4:14 PM

On threat of losing Arizona--

See John run. Run home, John. Take Spot with you.

Posted by: Towards_Light | October 29, 2008 3:25 PM

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