Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity

Obama Campaign Clears its Va. Voter Registration Goal


Voters rally for Obama at Ball Circle University of Mary Washington in Fredericksburg, Va., on Sept. 27, 2008. (Nikki Kahn/The Washington Post)

By Alec MacGillis
With his decision to pull out of Michigan, John McCain will have more resources to devote to holding the Republican states he needs get to 270 electoral votes, including Virginia. And -- would you look at that -- just yesterday McCain and the Republican National Committee announced the opening of 12 new offices in the Old Dominion, giving the campaign a total of 21 offices in the state.

But the Virginia Board of Elections today posted new numbers showing the GOP nominee facing an unusually challenging climate in the state, which George Bush won with 54 percent of the vote in 2004. In September, the board reports, 106,150 people registered to vote in the state; combined with deaths and people moving out of the state, the net increase for the month was 101,737.

That is more than double the number of new registrants in August, and it places Barack Obama's campaign ahead its goal of making sure 150,000 Virginians got added to the rolls in the months since the primaries ended (on top of the 142,000 Virginians who registered in the first five months of the year).

As it now stands, there have been 163,000 voters added to the rolls during the general election period, for a total of 305,000 new voters since the start of the year. And a few days still remain before the Oct. 6 registration deadline. That compares with 210,000 new voters who were added between the start of 2004 and Oct. 1 of that year.

There is no way of knowing which way the new voters lean politically, since Virginia's registrations are nonpartisan. But one can speculate about their inclinations based on where they're coming from -- and a disproportionate number of the new voters reside in Democratic strongholds.

Roughly 30,000 of the 106,000 new voters registered in September reside in just six pro-Kerry cities and counties, with many more living in other jurisdictions that voted for the Democratic presidential nominee in 2004. More than 11,000 new voters signed up in Fairfax County, more than 5,000 signed up in Richmond, more than 4,500 signed up in Arlington, more than 3,500 in both Norfolk and Newport News, and nearly 2,500 in Alexandria.

The Obama campaign has been estimating that 80 percent of the new voters are Obama supporters, and that they'll turn out at a rate of about 75 percent, which the campaign predicts could mean about a 1.75 percent boost on Election Day. That's enough to make a difference in a close race -- but not nearly enough to close the full 8 point gap that Bush enjoyed.

By Web Politics Editor  |  October 2, 2008; 5:36 PM ET
Categories:  Barack Obama , Battlegrounds  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Ohio Court Rules for McCain-Palin on Absentee Ballots
Next: McCain Previews His Own Debate, Coming Tuesday

Comments

This deserves to be re-posted:

Actually, Russia and Cuba are/were communist countries. For "socialism," go to Denmark, Sweden, Norway and other European countries. I do see people swimming flying and flocking to their shores. People in Denmark are found to be the healthiest and happiest people (they pay approximately 50% of their income in taxes, are taller than any other people, and are energy independent). And...by the way...health indeces developed by the World Health Organization place Cuba ahead of the US in most measures of health and wellbeing and Cuba places hundreds of doctors throughout the third world running free clinics (might win more friends and defeat more terrorists than placing soldiers).
fkelemen

Posted by: neon_bunny | October 6, 2008 6:57 PM | Report abuse

Donnie:

Today's Republicans are anti-reading, anti-intellect, anti-reason. That's why they're Republicans.

And why they don't actually read the articles before posting their anti-Obama nonsense.

Posted by: neon_bunny | October 6, 2008 6:55 PM | Report abuse

All of this won't help a bit if a constitutional crisis overshadows this election. In the Berg vs Obama court case Sen. Obama must put an end to the issue by producing the documents. So far Mr. Obama has refused to produce the documents and is trying to fight the court order.

Any American should be able to prove citizenship in less than a day. Why won’t Sen. Obama? The only way to put an end to the speculation is to prove citizenship. Please call on him to produce the documents for the sake of the country.

Here is a link to the actual court documents - http://news.justia.com/cases/featured/Pennsylvania/paedce/2:2008cv04083/281573/

A constitutional crisis will rip our country apart. If this is not cleared up now we will have a crisis. If you care at all about America you must call for Mr. Obama to produce the documents and prove that he is eligible to be President.

Please Rally Congress to have Mr. Obama produce the documents to prove his constitutional qualifications.

http://www.rallycongress.com/constitutional-qualification/1244/stop-obama-constitutional-crisis

Posted by: tunes59 | October 5, 2008 5:11 PM | Report abuse

All I know is that Obama is clearly the lesser of the two evils. God help us all if McBush wins!

Jiff
www.privacy-center.ru.tc

Posted by: clermontpc | October 5, 2008 12:04 AM | Report abuse

I find it troubling that Gwen Ifill had an accident while prepping for the VP debate. I would like to know who exactly was in her company when this happened. I would also like to know what happened to Gwen's debate materials while she was being treated for her injury. In other words who had access to the material during this time. There is no way Palin could go from the Couric interview to her performance at the debate. She new the questions before hand, and was coached on the answeres. Gwen Ifill's work was compromised! I remember during the McCain/Obama religious forum, McCain was not locked away in a sound proof room as first reported, whle Obama was answering the questions first. He heard the questions and answeres before he took the stage, which helped his performance a little. I challenge the wasington post to look into this matter.re; Gwen Ifill's accident.

Posted by: idallasj11 | October 3, 2008 12:28 PM | Report abuse

DO YOU HEAR AMERICAN PEOPLE, PALIN SAYS NUKELAR NOT NUCLEAR....


NETHERLANDS ANTILLES

Posted by: fu_buki | October 2, 2008 10:24 PM | Report abuse

Sarah Palin is reading off a card in the debate. The whole thing is a scam.

Posted by: HemiHead66 | October 2, 2008 9:53 PM | Report abuse

George Bush is not on the ballet. You show a clear bias against Obama.

Posted by: amberlt | October 2, 2008 8:27 PM | Report abuse

@cooleo1 Socialism is evil? So what is good then, Capitalism? You're looking at how good Capitalism is right now, as credit has frozen up and the stock markets are on the verge of crashing. When they were deregulated, these capitalist businesses fed uncontrollably on the loan smorgasbord that the middle-men were selling them without considering the risks.

Our government is like an overprotective parent and these failing corporations are like a stupid teenager. The overprotective parent handed a credit card with no limit to the stupid teenager and guess what happened.

Had our government provided some oversight, just like a parent setting limits and monitoring their child's spending, maybe this mess could have been mitigated. But no, that would be socialist, so let the capitalists do whatever they please, after all it doesn't affect me... oh wait, my 401k is plummeting, holy crap I'm going to lose everything I own if these companies go down, save them, please save them evil socialist government!

Posted by: paulflorez | October 2, 2008 8:15 PM | Report abuse

I was just sitting here reading all the post, and wondering doesn't anybody ever really read the article before they post!
For example: Obama camp saw that their fraud didnt work and could be uncover so they decided to Clears its Va. Voter Registration Goal.What a bunch of losers!

Posted by: pro36 | October 2, 2008 6:24 PM | Report abuse

How in the world do you get fraud out of a article on voter registration? It is so sad that people don't or can't read or understand a simple news article!
Please, Please, Please read before you post!!!

Posted by: donniewv | October 2, 2008 8:13 PM | Report abuse

coolleo1: Actually, Russia and Cuba are/were communist countries. For "socialism," go to Denmark, Sweden, Norway and other European countries. I do see people swimming flying and flocking to their shores. People in Denmark are found to be the healthiest and happiest people (they pay approximately 50% of their income in taxes, are taller than any other people, and are energy independent). And...by the way...health indeces developed by the World Health Organization place Cuba ahead of the US in most measures of health and wellbeing and Cuba places hundreds of doctors throughout the third world running free clinics (might win more friends and defeat more terrorists than placing soldiers).
fkelemen

Posted by: fkelemen | October 2, 2008 7:56 PM | Report abuse

coolleo1: Actually, Russia and Cuba are/were communist countries. For "socialism," go to Denmark, Sweden, Norway and other European countries. I do see people swimming flying and flocking to their shores. People in Denmark are found to be the healthiest and happiest people (they pay approximately 50% of their income in taxes, are taller than any other people, and are energy independent). And...by the way...health indeces developed by the World Health Organization place Cuba ahead of the US in most measures of health and wellbeing and Cuba places hundreds of doctors throughout the third world running free clinics (might win more friends and defeat more terrorists than placing soldiers).
fkelemen

Posted by: fkelemen | October 2, 2008 7:56 PM | Report abuse

Look unto me, and be save, all the people of the earth: for I am OBAMA, and there is none else.
Posted by: xthat

***************
I totally don't get this Obama/Messiah thing these people post. It sounds retarded or drunk. This is an election for president, not Messiah. Sober up.

Posted by: Axel1 | October 2, 2008 7:45 PM | Report abuse

In my opinion, McCain is staring squarely at a wipe out. Most of the swing states and a couple that weren't look to be shifting decisively into the Blue Column. If Obama holds Pa (currently on a 15 point lead) and the other blue states (he has just pulled out of Michigan, then McCain has to win a whole bunch of states he is currently behind in on McCain-friendly polling methodology. As things stand, I see Obama holding everything Kerry won, and picking up Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Missouri (obama currently on a 5 point lead), Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia, and West Virginia could go either way.

For a start, the polls are radically undercounting those who have registered since 2004, most of whom are young voters who favour Obama by very significant margins. Some estimates put the number of new registrants for the Democrats since 2004 at above 3 million. A look at the primaries should show that the assumptions of only a 60% turn out this year which the pollsters use as their depreciation factor amongst "likely voters" is very low. A lot more than that will show, and the "ground war" being waged by Obama, especially now that it has largely recruited Clinton's footsoldiers is truly massive and very professional. The work in absentee ballots by Obama's team will ensure far higher levels of effective voting by Democrats than in 04. In Ohio, I read somewhere that absentee balloting had been about 40% done, most of it by the Obama team. It's also clear in Ohio that Obama's pitch at protecting jobs in auto -- which he mentioned in the debate, will play well with the constituency he needs.

It's probably also worth noting that in 2004, a number of states had anti-gay referenda on the ballot, which ensured a higher turn out of evangelicals. Not so this year. Palin may help compensate, but she is unlikely to get as many along as those hot-button issue votes. Interestingly, at least some of the evangelicals may be interested in Obama.

The polls are also largely landline based, because it's contrary to FCC rules to auto dial cellphones -- so the data tends to sharply favour McCain.

Overall, the current economic woes are playing well for Obama in the
constituencies he ought to have had to work hardest to get -- white people of modest education in blue collar jobs, and older people, especially older white men. The imponderable -- especially in states like WV and in Colorado, Indiana etc and especially in the rural parts of those states was how ready they'd be to put aside their prejudices about people of color and vote for Obama. The economic situation may make it harder to go with cultural identity. There's some evidence in the Kentucky polls that Obama is making up ground amongst rural white men. This is a danger sign for McCain, not in Kentucky so much, but certainly in places like WV where that demographic's behavior may swing the state. Curiously, searching about the net, I saw a youtube video of people calling themselves "rednecks for Obama" and talking a lot about their love for guns and the need for health care.

The way I read it, there are about 124 solid college votes for McCain. The rest are either solidly in the Blue column now, or more likely than not to be there come November 5.

I guess we'll see.

Posted by: FranBarlow | October 2, 2008 7:42 PM | Report abuse

kmar20009, don't count your chickens before they hatch. What do you think about the insurance stocks selling off today after comments by Sen. Reid (D-NV)?

NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- Several big life insurance stocks fell sharply Thursday, dragged down by jitters about their role in the credit crisis and fears sparked by a comment from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., Wednesday about a potential bankruptcy in the industry.

"We don't have a lot of leeway on time. One of the individuals in the caucus today talked about a major insurance company. A major insurance company -- one with a name that everyone knows that's on the verge of going bankrupt. That's what this is all about," Reid said prior to the Senate's approval of the $700 billion bailout bill.

http://money.cnn.com/2008/10/02/news/companies/insurance_stocks/index.htm

Posted by: MarkInAustin | October 2, 2008 7:34 PM | Report abuse

I slugged home with a gent this evening who at he end the ride said, The Democrats will say anything to get elected (not true, but..)

When I asked him if he really believed that Palin had given McCain foreign policy advice "many times", (McCain's words) he had to admit the answer was a no, not at all!

VETS AGAINST MCCAIN! (Couldn't muster a vote on the NEW G.I. Bill or attend the 20 Afghanistan hearings held in the Senate)

McCain's a Liar.......

BLUE STAR FAMILIES FOR OBAMA!

Posted by: SueMVetforObama | October 2, 2008 7:32 PM | Report abuse

Look unto me, and be save, all the people of the earth: for I am OBAMA, and there is none else.

Posted by: xthat | October 2, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

Pedraza1,
Instead of being led around like a sheep with its head up its ass. you might want to do a little research and see what kind of change Obama is talking about. That kind of change has already been tried in the USSR and Cuba and has failed miserably. In the name of economic equality for all, these governments have been succesful in providing not much of anything for anyone. Socialism is a miserable failure and should not be experimented with here. Unfortunately, that is what Obama is pushing for. Its real funny that those people who live in socialist countries will risk their own death to come to America, but I've never heard of anyone trying to swim to Cuba to improve their existence! Although I think America would be a lot better of if The pied piper Obama would begin swimming in that direction taking half of america with him!!!!

Posted by: cooleo1 | October 2, 2008 7:23 PM | Report abuse

The meltdown of the markets has scared the electorate sufficiently that it would take a miracle for McCain to regain his lead. And all he has is Palin. Rest comfortably knowing you will soon hear these words: "I, Barack Obama, do solemnly swear ........"

Posted by: kmar20009 | October 2, 2008 7:18 PM | Report abuse

The climate for a Republican candidate is very very ugly right now. Though they argue the point, it is fairly clear that the economy, the war, heck even the whole country has been mismanaged over the past 8 years. I recall how many times Bush vetoed bills that the Democrats tried to pass over the past 20 months that they have been able to pass legislation in the House. We have also seen Bush's signing statements essentially negate the intended purpose of bills passed by the Democrats.

By the way I am a diehard independent. I have no loyalty one way or the other, I am just saying that McCain faces an almost impossible hurdle to try and convince the American people that his economic and military policies are going to be good for America.

Posted by: bjuhasz | October 2, 2008 7:16 PM | Report abuse

Now, pay attention that ugly little man behind the curtain. You know the one. He's already working behind the scenes in several states to disenfranchise the newly registered, who are more likely to vote for Obama.

His method: If you can't win, steal.

Wouldn't be the first time. Old dog, old tricks. Watch out America, our very system of representative democracy is at stake.

- Arye Michael Bender -

Posted by: AryeDirect | October 2, 2008 7:12 PM | Report abuse

The Obama campaign clearly has the same level of skill and support going for it in the general election as it had during the primaries. How reassuring to find that intelligence and careful planning do count for something in our political process after all. Go Virginia!

Posted by: DoTheMath | October 2, 2008 7:05 PM | Report abuse

SonOfHistoryTeacher, I think you are spot on here. And while Bush said something similar once he was appointed president, his words were hollow and the country was too far damaged at that point (raping democracy has that effect, I suppose).
I am really looking to Obama to bridge the partisan divide and I think he will succeed amazingly.

Posted by: itsjustkate | October 2, 2008 6:54 PM | Report abuse

IF WE WANT TO WEIGHT BOTH CANDIDATES,LET'S START FROM THEIR EDUCTION...


NETHERLANDS ANTILLES

Posted by: fu_buki | October 2, 2008 6:51 PM | Report abuse

TIME TO RETIRE WITH WHATEVER IS LEFT OF YOUR DIGNITY,AND A GRACEFUL WAR Mr MCCAIN.

NETHERLANDS ANTILLES

Posted by: fu_buki | October 2, 2008 6:48 PM | Report abuse

Approximately 500,000 new voters in Virginia.

Democracy - you gotta love it!

That's building an organization.

The article assumes that the %bush and %kerry will stay the same this year and translate into the %McCain and the %Obama.

McCain supporters - how comfortable are you with that assumption?

I look forward to Obama's comments when he says:

Americans, there are no red states. There are no blue states. We are all Americans. Now let us work together to change Washington to work for Americans with me as your president elect. Lincoln said it best when he said, "Rejoice not, for although we have prevailed, they are our bretheren", and compassionately reaches out to McCain voters to build a better America.

Posted by: SonOfHistoryTeacher | October 2, 2008 6:45 PM | Report abuse

MCCAIN MUST BE DESPERATE TO PICK_UP A DIMWITTED COCKTAIL WAITRESS,WHOSE BEST FEATURE IS HER GLASSES....

NETHERLANDS ANTILLES

Posted by: fu_buki | October 2, 2008 6:44 PM | Report abuse

Barack Obama has way more ground game than folks are giving him credit for just ask Hillary Clinton. He has the dough and the youth vote is never counted in the polls since they have cell phones not home phones. Obama will take Virginia and we will thank Senator Webb and the other VA Democrats who are strong in that state. Obama is on offense and looking good in Florida and Ohio. never forget that California and New York New Jersey are blue locks. Anyone who is concerned about Obamas chances need only visit fivethirtyeight.com for the skinny on where the election is. With only a month left Mc Same has way too much ground to make up in order to check off the last item on his bucket list. The economy has come front and center and America knows Obama can be trusted and the Republican clowns who brought us George W. cannot. YES WE CAN BRING THE CHANGE WE NEED NOW! OBAMANOS!

Posted by: pedraza1 | October 2, 2008 6:40 PM | Report abuse

While the power brokers and pundits in DC and the big money donors and lobbyists were hanging around those DC cocktail parties that McCain was talking about, a community organizer put together an impeccable ground game and ran circles around the Press anointed Democratic candidate and took the D-nomination.

Then he took on McCain, who had the nomination sewn up for months before and did nothing but sit on his butt. McCain, being his same old cocky, maverick self, sure that all Americans who vote for him, dropped everything he believed in and became Bush III.

Meanwhile, the bright young community organizer inspired millions and millions of voters to take back their country from "the powers that be".

The world will be a different place on November 6th. Welcome to the 21st century.

Posted by: thebobbob | October 2, 2008 6:38 PM | Report abuse

pro36, I think you missed the entire point of the article. They cleared (meaning, exceeded) the goal they set for new voters to register. Where's the fraud?

Posted by: itsjustkate | October 2, 2008 6:31 PM | Report abuse

Gee, now we know what a community organizer does.

Posted by: Politicus08 | October 2, 2008 6:22 PM
-----------------------------------
Not yet.A community org or I would say a muslim communist organizer wanna get in WH and screw us all up.This is what he does or will do

Posted by: pro36 | October 2, 2008 6:30 PM | Report abuse

Obama camp saw that their fraud didnt work and could be uncover so they decided to Clears its Va. Voter Registration Goal.What a bunch of losers!

Posted by: pro36 | October 2, 2008 6:24 PM | Report abuse

Gee, now we know what a community organizer does.

Posted by: Politicus08 | October 2, 2008 6:22 PM | Report abuse

After the shameful vote in the Senate yesterday, why would any sane American vote for Obama or McCain?

Posted by: NoneoftheAbove08 | October 2, 2008 6:21 PM | Report abuse

Exactly.

Posted by: MarkInAustin | October 2, 2008 6:13 PM | Report abuse

Now the challenge is to get the new voters out to the polls in Nov. There is such tremendous negative energy right now, its unclear how the electorate will feel in one month

Posted by: nclwtk | October 2, 2008 5:44 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2010 The Washington Post Company