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Obama Campaign Offers Bullish Field Report

By Shailagh Murray
Senior aides to Sen. Barack Obama described an electoral map that heavily favors their candidate and an organizational juggernaut aimed at sweeping the battleground states that are still up for grabs.

More Democrats are voting early than in previous elections, campaign officials told reporters on a Friday afternoon conference call, including large numbers of new voters. And the army that Obama has mobilize for Election Day can fairly be described as nothing like the Democratic Party has ever seen.

Battleground states field director Jen O'Malley outlined the basics. The campaign has enlisted 1.5 million active volunteers, operates 770 offices, and makes personal contact with an average of 400,000 voters per day. Obama workers have spoken by phone or at the front door with 12 million people since Labor Day.

Remember those two enormous Missouri crowds on Saturday, totaling 175,000 people in St. Louis and Kansas City? The next day, the state campaign staff booked 35 percent of their remaining get-out-of-the-vote shifts in the Show-Me State with people who had attended the rallies and decided to get involved.

The best news for Obama, said campaign manager David Plouffe, is that Sen. John McCain is not seriously threatening in any state that voted for Sen. John Kerry in 2004. The campaign had worried about New Hampshire, because of McCain's long history as a candidate there. But Sarah Palin's unusually strong negatives with Granite State voters have reversed any such gain, Plouffe said.

McCain is making an aggressive run at Pennsylvania, but Plouffe pointed out that Democrats hold a 1.2 million voter-registration advantage in the state, double the 2004 rate.

The "cold, hard numbers," as Plouffe put it, are this: McCain would have to win 15 percent of the Democratic vote, 95 percent of the Republican vote, and 60 percent of independents to carry Pennsylvania on Nov. 4.

"It's a daunting task," said Plouffe, who said Democrats would continue to vigorously defend the electoral vote-rich state, even though most polls show Obama with a solid lead in Pennsylvania. "We've got to keep it in the Obama column," Plouffe said.

Among states in President Bush's 2004 column, Plouffe said Iowa appears a clear convert, with a huge ground disparity due to Obama's reactivated caucus organization.

Nevada, Florida and Ohio, he predicted, would "end up being fairly competitive and close." In Florida, Democrats are poised to overtake the GOP's traditional absentee ballot advantage by taking the lead in early voting tallies. In Ohio, the economic crisis has given Obama a big lift; Plouffe said the candidate was showing strength in all areas of the Buckeye State, and not just traditional urban strongholds.

Slightly longer shots include Missouri, Indiana, North Carolina and Montana, but Plouffe said, "We think we have a credible argument and pathway in all of them."

He said Georgia and North Dakota are "tightening up," and he called West Virginia "a jump ball."

But he warned, "Don't pay too much attention to polling right now. We assume there's going to be some tightening." The Obama campaign has built its ground game, Plouffe said, "aimed at winning very close elections."

By Web Politics Editor  |  October 24, 2008; 4:12 PM ET
Categories:  Barack Obama , Battlegrounds  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: John Elway Helps McCain Kick Off Colo. Swing
Next: Palin Details Special Needs Policies


You are not taxed on your GROSS, you are taxed on your NET!. For a typical small business to make a 250,0000 PROFIT, they would have to earn approx. a million a year, and $750,000 of that would be deducted for their expenses. But then, if you are a small business owner, you know that, and your talk about how your GROSS of 250,000 will be taxed more under Obama is just a deliberate attempt to mislead.

Posted by: revbgary | October 26, 2008 12:59 PM | Report abuse

How can McCain run the country if he can't run his own campaign!

McCain/Palin has become PALIN/TheOldGuy

Click here for CNN's PALIN GONE WILD!

McCain Adviser: "She is a diva. She takes no advice from anyone. She does not have any relationships of trust with any of us, her family or anyone else."---SCARY!

Next thing you know, she'll be running around with a "B" carved into her cheek and a black eye.

Save our country!
Vote Obama Nov. 4

Posted by: thenotoriousflavio | October 25, 2008 8:41 PM | Report abuse


Stanley (tool) Works- a Choice Between Jobs and Tax Bill- Raise Business Taxes=Layoffs!

Voting with their feet: when companies 'reincorporate abroad,' are they being unpatriotic? Or responsible?

Publication: National Review
Publication Date: 23-FEB-04 Format: Online

IMAGINE you are the CEO of a major multinational firm. Your chief financial officer comes to you and says if you move your legal home from the United States to Bermuda the company will have a 20 percent increase in net profits. With the increased profits, the company will be able to expand production, hire more workers, more R&D, and pay stockholders a higher dividend.

However, your VP for government relations tells you that if the company changes its legal home you, as the CEO, will be accused of being unpatriotic by some members of Congress and certain presidential candidates. Even worse, these same politicians will threaten to bar your company from obtaining U.S. government contracts, and demand that the IRS and government regulatory agencies single out your company for special scrutiny.

As the CEO of the company, you know you have a fiduciary responsibility to your stockholders to maximize their economic return by all legal and ethical means. You also know that the proposal to move your company is entirely legal and would be considered good management practice. You are also aware that many of the politicians who are likely to attack you are the same people who attacked managers in other industries, like mutual funds, for not being good custodians of investors' money. Despite what thoughtful people will clearly recognize as hypocrisy, those political attack dogs can cause considerable damage to you and your company as they have to other firms engaged in similar totally legal and appropriate behavior.

The Stanley Works (tools) company, for example, had planned in 2002 to reincorporate in Bermuda, in the hope of lowering its tax bill. The move was ditched, however, after political pressure was brought to bear on the company. Subsequently, Stanley was forced to lay off about 1,000 of its U.S. staff.

Posted by: thecannula | October 25, 2008 3:50 PM | Report abuse

Bar Stool Economics 102
Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes,
it would go something like this:

The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing. -- drank nothing.
The fifth would pay $1 -- drank tap water.
The sixth would pay $3. -- drank giner-ale
The seventh would pay $7. -- drank bud
The eighth would pay $12. -- drank heineken
The ninth would pay $18. -- drank gin and tonic
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.-- drank top shelf XO and wrote it off as a business expense

the rest is bull

Posted by: thenotoriousflavio | October 25, 2008 2:35 PM | Report abuse


I thought he was a RISK TAKER.

I KNOW McCain is a gambler.

I think I'll follow in MCCAIN's footsteps and take a risk and put my bet on OBAMA!

Posted by: thenotoriousflavio | October 25, 2008 2:11 PM | Report abuse

Bar Stool Economics 101
Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100. If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes,
it would go something like this:

The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay $1.
The sixth would pay $3.
The seventh would pay $7.
The eighth would pay $12.
The ninth would pay $18.
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.

So, that's what they decided to do.
The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed
quite happy with the arrangement, until one day,
the owner threw them a curve.
'Since you are all such good customers, he said, 'I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20.
Drinks for the ten now cost just $80.
(So he reduced their bill in proportion to what they currently paid-)
'I only got a dollar out of the $20,'declared the sixth man.
He pointed to the tenth man,' but he got $10!'

'Yeah, that's right,' exclaimed the fifth man.
'I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!'
'That's true!!' shouted the seventh man. 'Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!'
'Wait a minute,' yelled the first four men in unison. 'We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!'

The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.

The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!

And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.

David R. Kamerschen, Ph.D.
Professor of Economics, University of Georgia
For those who understand, no explanation is needed.
For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible

Posted by: thecannula | October 25, 2008 2:04 PM | Report abuse

Has any one seen this video of McCain cussing at Obama supporters at the McCain Rally? I cant tell if it is real or not.

Huckabee is the GOP favorite for 2012, Obama is the Dem favorite. according to a new poll at

Posted by: pastor123 | October 25, 2008 11:10 AM | Report abuse

2 Lies Constantly Told about
Obama's Tax Poicy-

1. Same as Clinton's- Nope, Bill said in 1988 that Raising the Cap on Payroll Taxes was "REGRESSIVE" (ouch)- which is exactly what Obama wants to do!

2. 98% of small businesses make less than 250K- ONLY if one counts everyone selling used license plates on EBAY- A Much Larger Percentage of Small businesses that EMPLOY (AND WILL LAY OFF) PEOPLE make over 250K a year.

My small business grossed many times Obama's glass ceiling last year and employed one more person this year than it will employ next year if my taxes are raised by 3% PLUS 15.65% (payroll cap elimination) as Obama would do!

So, if Obama's elected, add my small business and others like it to the big businesses already laying off this quarter- Yahoo, Ebay, Sprint, Alcoa,Chrysler, etc.
Keep those tax rates rising on employers Obama....even Bill Clinton called raising the payroll cap "Regressive"...that's what Obama's tax policy is Bill!

Posted by: thecannula | October 25, 2008 12:24 AM | Report abuse

Reagan Appointee and (Recent) McCain Adviser Charles Fried Supports Obama

Charles Fried, a professor at Harvard Law School, has long been one of the most important conservative thinkers in the United States. Under President Reagan, he served, with great distinction, as Solicitor General of the United States. Since then, he has been prominently associated with several Republican leaders and candidates, most recently John McCain, for whom he expressed his enthusiastic support in January.

This week, Fried announced that he has voted for Obama-Biden by absentee ballot. In his letter to Trevor Potter, the General Counsel to the McCain-Palin campaign, he asked that his name be removed from the several campaign-related committees on which he serves. In that letter, he said that chief among the reasons for his decision "is the choice of Sarah Palin at a time of deep national crisis."

Fried is exceptionally thoughtful and principled; his vote for Obama is especially noteworthy.

Posted by: toritto | October 24, 2008 8:55 PM | Report abuse

OBAMA BIDEN 08...!!!


Posted by: fu_buki | October 24, 2008 8:12 PM | Report abuse

What did he say about Virginia? Did I miss that somehow? Would be good to know.

Posted by: fairfaxvoter | October 24, 2008 8:07 PM | Report abuse

And the boots on the ground keep marching on. Millions of volunteers all over America. Canvassing, calling, Black, White, Asian, Latino. Calling their neighbors, demanding an end to the Republican disaster that befell America with the election of Reagan.

Ignoring the noisy rantings of the Corporate press as it tries to force the old guy and the beauty-queen on America as puppets of their corporate masters, the American people have woken up.

Right-wingnuts are making plans to emigrate for fear that their crimes will catch up to them. They have been repudiated and their political party destroyed.

01/20/09. The End of an Error!

Posted by: thebobbob | October 24, 2008 7:55 PM | Report abuse

The point of this story is that the McCain campaign embellished this story beyond what the woman had reported and the campaign was giving out information about this incident when the police repeatedly questioned the woman because they were not getting a coherent story. They were guilty of promoting a racially charged story with inaccurate information. By not asking them to offer an apology you are not guilty of the "lynching" but rather standing there looking at the injustice and just shrug your shoulders and say "I am not responsible because I did not put the noose around the neck."

Posted by: Gator-ron | October 24, 2008 7:44 PM | Report abuse

Gator-ron, I was thinking Churchill though, not MacArthur. I am not a racist, nor will I "apologize" for something some crazy did to herself. The McCain campaign, yesterday, refused to even confirm Ms. Todd was working with them.

What was your opinion of Tawana Brawley? That went on for longer than 18 hours.

Posted by: MarkInAustin | October 24, 2008 6:44 PM | Report abuse


"Think Dunkirk (we shall return)."

I think it was Battan and it was "I shall return."

So these Robocalls is your idea of a good campaign and you are glad to pay for the beutification of Palin at a rate that is higher than paid to advisors whohelp with the issues. For you the campaign was not about issues it was about keeping power so you could get your tax breaks, I suppose.

In case you missed it Charles Fried a campaign advisor of McCaign's announced that he voted for Obama. The best thing that could happen to the American people is the election of Barack Obama but close behind it is the defeat of John McCain and all that his campaign has stood for.

One other thing of interest was that the McCain campaign was promoting this story when in fact there were no hard facts because the police were repeatedly questioning the woman because of inconsistencies in her story. So it was the McCain campaign that was responsible for promoting this fictiteous story even though it could inflame racial tensions. So much for all the indignity of McCain supporters who bristled at the NYT when they suggested that there was a hint of racism in the campaign. There was not a hint of racism, it was full blown. The McCain campaign is racist and an apology to the American people for assuming the worse when the facts were not available.

Are you a racist MarkinAustin or do you think an apology is in order. It does not seem that Mr McCain learned very much when he voted against making Martin Luther King's birthday a holiday.

Posted by: Gator-ron | October 24, 2008 6:35 PM | Report abuse

I believe the libs/Dems probably are correct that Obama has this in the bag. I for one will be quite happy not hear the press tear this country down for at least 4 years. So much of the hatred and bile from the left is mostly contrived but partially true if you are anti-war and liberal in your thoughts and actions. Most young people from all generations start out this way, many realize what these ideals really mean when they get their first paycheck, others it takes until they have their first child and start noticing the trash that is pumped into their kids eyes and ears 24x7. When that happens they need only look in the mirror to find who allows it.

Posted by: johs | October 24, 2008 6:19 PM | Report abuse

I am neither obfuscating nor am I complaining about how one penny of my donation has been spent. Even if McCain loses, it was a battle that had to be waged. Think Dunkirk (we shall return).

Posted by: MarkInAustin | October 24, 2008 6:10 PM | Report abuse



Thought this would appeal to you so you know how your money was spent. Don't obfuscate by saying you gave to McCain and not the RNC, that does not fly!

Posted by: Gator-ron | October 24, 2008 5:53 PM | Report abuse


Ashley Todd the twenty year old woman who had a reverse B on her right cheek that she claimed was "carved" into her face with a knife by a six foot four black assailant. By coincidence she is a campaign worker for John McCain and her assailant only bettered her when he found out she was a McCain supporter. He was a politically active criminal. If that sounds a little contrived and farfetched, that is because it is. She admitted today that the story was a fabrication.

Her story is no less a fabrication than thecannula's assertion that he is a business man.

He now wants us to believe that as a businessman that he will spend time talking about things for which he has no particular expertise. I could critique the ridiculousness of his proposition. If you are really interested in polls and polling accuracy I will refer the reader to:

There you will find that the chances of a McCain victory is in one in 25 or the kind of thing that occurs once a century.

The Republican Party has been led by a man who has put campaign further in the gutter than any candidate in the post Truman era. His supporters seem to have no integrity and are wont to dissemble and distort and in the case of Ashley commit a crime for their win at all cost attitude. It would seem to me just to get rid of this gutter mentality in politics that a vote against McCain even not for Obama would send a message how unwanted is their presence in the political system.

To win McCain must win all three of OH, FL and PA. Hold NC, MO, IN, and NV. He must reverse the trend that put Obama in the lead and do it in one fourth the time. Furthermore the financial crisis continues and no issue has captured the attention of the American people while this rages on.

Posted by: Gator-ron | October 24, 2008 5:31 PM | Report abuse

Jokes heard on Wall Street recently:

What's the difference between an investment banker and a Domino's pizza?

Answer: A Domino's pizza can still feed a family of four!!

What's the capitol of Iceland?

Answer: About $7.65!!!

Yuch Yuch


Posted by: toritto | October 24, 2008 5:19 PM | Report abuse

Good news!!

Dow down only 315 points today!!!



Posted by: toritto | October 24, 2008 5:16 PM | Report abuse

From- Investment News- the leading news source for investment advisors

Congress mulls major 401(k) changes
By Sara Hansard
October 7, 2008, 5:18 PM EST Post a Comment Recommend (252)

A wide range of sweeping changes to the 401(k) system were proposed Tuesday at a hearing on how the market crisis has devastated retirement savings plans.
Chief among them was eliminating $80 billion in tax savings for people enrolled in 401(k) retirement savings plans.

This was suggested by the chairman of the House Committee on Education and Labor.

“With respect to the 401(k), it appears to be a plan that is not really well-devised for the changes in the market,” Rep. George Miller, D-Calif., said.

“We’ve invested $80 billion into subsidizing this activity,” he said, referring to tax breaks allowed for 401(k) contributions and savings.

With savings rates going down, “what do we have to start to think about in Congress of whether or not we want to continue and invest that $80 billion for a policy that is not generating what we … say it should?” Mr. Miller said.

Congress should let workers trade their 401(k) assets for guaranteed retirement accounts made up of government bonds, suggested Teresa Ghilarducci, an economics professor at The New School for Social Research in New York.

When workers collected Social Security, the guaranteed retirement account would pay an inflation-adjusted annuity under her plan.

“The way the government now encourages 401(k) plans is to spend $80 billion in tax breaks,” which goes to the highest-income earners, Ms. Ghilarducci said.

That simply results in transferring money from taxed savings accounts to untaxed accounts, she said.

“If we implement automatic [individual retirement accounts] or if we expand the 401(k) system, all we’re doing is adding to this inefficiency,” Ms. Ghilarducci said.

Rep. Robert Andrews, D-N.J., raised the issue of which investment advisers are allowed to offer workers investment advice.

The Department of Labor is considering “loopholes” that would allow advisers to offer “conflicted investment advice if the advisers work for subsidiaries of financial services companies that sell the investments,” he said.

With American workers facing $2 trillion in losses from retirement plans over the past year and Democrats expected to gain seats in the House and the Senate, actions being contemplated by the committee are an important harbinger of what could come out of Congress next year.

(Wonder if a Democratic Congress and White House could get this done? Can't do much about the former, But Can about the latter. Same plan was pushed through in Argentina!)

Posted by: thecannula | October 24, 2008 5:15 PM | Report abuse


RealClearPolitics (updated more frequently than zogby)

Obama/Biden 286
249 Solid 37 Leaning
McCain/Palin 160
137 Solid 23 Leaning
Toss Up 92
92 Toss Up

Obama/Biden 306
259 Solid 47 Leaning
McCain/Palin 160
137 Solid 23 Leaning
Toss Up 72
72 Toss Up

Obama/Biden 306
259 Solid 47 Leaning
McCain/Palin 157
137 Solid 20 Leaning
Toss Up 75
75 Toss Up



Posted by: kkrimmer | October 24, 2008 5:05 PM | Report abuse

Wonder who Barack will tag for Secy. of State and Treasury Secy.?

Posted by: HonestHonestAbe | October 24, 2008 4:54 PM | Report abuse

Who will you support in 2012, take part in a national poll at

See Mike Huckabee and Al Sharpton fight about Acorn

Posted by: pastor123 | October 24, 2008 4:54 PM | Report abuse

Democrats Planning to Tax Our 401K's?- No Wonder Obama dropping with those making 30k-75k/year! today-

If we drop out the Zogby survey--polling that has been erratic and out of sync with most other organizations--Obama's lead drops to 4.2%, 48.8% to 44.6%. Odder still, are the results of the IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll (worthy of notice, because TIPP was the most accurate pollster in 2004, predicting the outcome within a fraction of a percentage point): they show the race virtually dead even nationally. IBD/TIPP writes: "McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics."

B.Franco- these people live SOMEWHERE (and Not all in Texas and the South)...the state polls change about a week later...

Posted by: thecannula | October 24, 2008 4:47 PM | Report abuse

The electoral map:

Lookin good!


Posted by: toritto | October 24, 2008 4:46 PM | Report abuse

Who cares what the national polls say. It's the electoral votes that count and Obama seems to have an insormontable lead at this point with only 11 days left.
MCain is spending the little time and money left trying to defend states that are traditionally red and that are turning now either blue or purple at this time.

Posted by: BFranco | October 24, 2008 4:36 PM | Report abuse

thecannula, let's hope that keeps going.

Posted by: MarkInAustin | October 24, 2008 4:30 PM | Report abuse today-

If we drop out the Zogby survey--polling that has been erratic and out of sync with most other organizations--Obama's lead drops to 4.2%, 48.8% to 44.6%. Odder still, are the results of the IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll (worthy of notice, because TIPP was the most accurate pollster in 2004, predicting the outcome within a fraction of a percentage point): they show the race virtually dead even nationally. IBD/TIPP writes: "McCain has cut into Obama's lead for a second day and is now just 1.1 points behind. The spread was 3.7 Wednesday and 6.0 Tuesday. The Republican is making headway with middle- and working- class voters, and has surged 10 points in two days among those earning between $30,000 and $75,000. He has also gone from an 11-point deficit to a 9-point lead among Catholics."

Posted by: thecannula | October 24, 2008 4:22 PM | Report abuse

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