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Obama Extends Fight to Three New States

By Peter Slevin
COLUMBIA, Mo. -- Buoyed by a huge turnout of early voters, Barack Obama's campaign is buying advertisements in three more states where a Republican victory was considered virtually certain a few weeks ago, including John McCain's home state of Arizona.

New ads are going up in Georgia, North Dakota and Arizona, Obama campaign manager David Plouffe told reporters as Obama prepared to spend the day in Iowa and Indiana, two states carried by President Bush in 2004.

Plouffe described an explosion of early and absentee voting in a string of battleground states that suggests heavy turnout among new voters and voters who only cast ballots occasionally, a key Obama demographic.

In the past, such groups have been courted but have been fickle on Election Day. A central element of Obama's strategy is to push as many people as possible to vote early or absentee, assuring a larger turnout and freeing field staff and volunteers to concentrate their get out the vote efforts on Election Day.

Republicans in recent elections have been more successful than Democrats in getting voters to cast ballots before Election Day, yet Plouffe cited projections for unusually high Democratic turnout in such battlegrounds as North Carolina, Nevada, New Mexico and Virginia -- all states where Republicans have done well.

"The die is being cast as we speak," Plouffe said. "On election day, Senator McCain is not going to have to just carry the day, but carry it convincingly."

In Florida, Plouffe said, Republicans finished with a 40,000 vote edge among early and absentee voters in 2004. This year, Democrats have already built a 200,000-vote lead and hours have been extended at early polling sites to handle the crush of voters.

Before registration efforts began there, he said, the campaign had identified 1.6 million potential supporters who not voted in 2004. Plouffe said Obama is doing better with Hispanics, including Colombians, Puerto Ricans and young Cuban-Americans, than Sen. John F. Kerry did in 2004.

"We're kind of out of the land of theory in a lot of these states. You're beginning to see how this election is likely to unfold," Plouffe maintained. He added that despite the early turnout, "We're confident that we've got a lot of good voters left."

Plouffe said the campaign is "confident that we're in very strong shape" in the states won by Democratic nominee John F. Kerry in 2004. Apart from a short visit to Pennsylvania, Obama has not recently campaigned in any of those states.

In Iowa, Democrats cast fewer ballots than Republicans on only one day since absentee voting began, according to state figures described by Plouffe.

In Nevada, Plouffe said 43 percent of early-voting Democrats are people who have not voted before or only sporadically.

In North Carolina, 19 percent of early voting Democrats have never cast a ballot in a general election.

Plouffe stopped short of predicting victory in each of the states he described. He reiterated the campaign's strategy of expanding the map to give Obama a wide array of paths to the 270 electoral votes needed to win the White House.

Several battleground states, he predicted, would be decided by a very few percentage points. The campaign, flush with cash and far outspending the McCain operation, has the luxury of buying ads in states that have not voted for a Democratic presidential nominee in years.

"We're going to give it a go in these last three or four days and see how close we can get," Plouffe said, speaking in a conference call from Obama's Chicago headquarters.

Georgia is a state where Obama built a field operation and devoted weeks to registering voters, only to pull its staff out when the hill seemed too steep. But early voting, especially among African Americans, as well as a residual force of 4,800 volunteer neighborhood captains, has given the campaign hopes of an upset.

As for Arizona, there is a thumb-in-the-eye quality of Obama's decision to buy ads in the Republican nominee's home state, but polls have shown the presidential race tightening in a state where Democrats in state and House races have done increasingly well.

Obama is competing hard in nearby New Mexico, Colorado and Nevada. Bush won those states in 2004, but Obama is leading polls in all three. He will campaign in Nevada and Colorado on Saturday before returning to Missouri.

"If someone [other than McCain] had been the nominee," Plouffe said, "I think Arizona would have been a full battleground. This could be a very, very close race."

By Web Politics Editor  |  October 31, 2008; 11:09 AM ET
Categories:  B_Blog , Barack Obama , Battlegrounds  
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Comments

Posted by: MarkInAustin | October 31, 2008 4:59 PM | Report abuse

I still can't believe that McCain didn't hire Mike Murphy to run his campaign like he did in 2000.


The Three Stooges could have done a better job of running campaign strategy than the second string Rovebots that McCain hired.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GEtZlR3zp4c
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Posted by: DrainYou | October 31, 2008 2:58 PM | Report abuse

Gort has been abducted, multiply replicated and is now being abused by the McCain campaign team in its final desperate effort to add four more years to the Cheney-Bush catastrophe. We've got only one day left to raise money and only four more days to knock on doors, make phone calls and boost voter turnout to a 48-year record. The turnout of the voting-age population was 63.1% in 1960. In 2004, it was 55.3%. The low point was 49.1% in 1996.
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mg56KbtmARc
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TUESDAY NOV 4th, 2008 - GOTV PEOPLE!


OBAMA/BIDEN-08!!!
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Posted by: DrainYou | October 31, 2008 2:25 PM | Report abuse

Then Odorous Flavors

You are quite amusing. When did you stop reading comic books?

Posted by: jhpbriton | October 31, 2008 2:24 PM | Report abuse

My friends down in AZ are fired up and ready to go! They've got a ground game and thousands of volunteers who have been hoping to make their voice heard in a state many assumed was going to remain deeply red. They've been telling everyone who would listen that AZ might flip from Red to Blue. Evidence: not only the recent tightening polls and their great governor's organization, but apparently their movement is even bringing Wildcats (UA) and SunDevils (ASU) together for the first time ever!

Posted by: osullivanc1 | October 31, 2008 2:18 PM | Report abuse

DOOH!


CNN takes a look at what went wrong with McCain's planned Phoney Plumber Joe photo op yesterday. According to the McCain campaign, Joe decided he didn't want to go at the last minute, but according to Joe, they never followed up with him after making the initial invite.
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http://ac360.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/30/joe-the-plumber-a-no-show/
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Either way, it led to one of the most humiliating moments of the campaign for McCain, who announced Joe's presence to the crowd only to quickly discover that Joe was a no show. An obviously flustered McCain then flubbed an attack line during his speech, and instead of recovering simply said: "never mind."
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iucdy83OXcE
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Here's more video of yesterday's McCain event -- absolutely hilarious!:
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http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PvpUqjXiTqA
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DOOH!
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Posted by: DrainYou | October 31, 2008 2:16 PM | Report abuse

DOOH!


CNN takes a look at what went wrong with McCain's planned Phoney Plumber Joe photo op yesterday. According to the McCain campaign, Joe decided he didn't want to go at the last minute, but according to Joe, they never followed up with him after making the initial invite.
.
http://ac360.blogs.cnn.com/2008/10/30/joe-the-plumber-a-no-show/
.


Either way, it led to one of the most humiliating moments of the campaign for McCain, who announced Joe's presence to the crowd only to quickly discover that Joe was a no show. An obviously flustered McCain then flubbed an attack line during his speech, and instead of recovering simply said: "never mind."
.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Iucdy83OXcE
.


Here's more video of yesterday's McCain event -- absolutely hilarious!:
.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PvpUqjXiTqA
.


DOOH!
.

Posted by: DrainYou | October 31, 2008 2:11 PM | Report abuse

McCain and Palin are even more clueless than W is as they have based their entire campaign on a series of nasty, false personal attacks on Barack Obama. Their bet has been that Americans are a fearful, frightened bunch who won't be willing to vote for a new direction. But the McCain-Palin calculus couldn't have been more wrong; their bet is going to fail, and fail badly.


When it does fail, it will leave the Republican Party with nothing. John McCain will almost certainly outperform Barry Goldwater in this election in terms of his share of the vote, yet he will leave his party in far worse shape than did Goldwater. At least Goldwater left his party with a devoted base of conservative activists, energized by his commitment to conservative ideology.


McCain, meanwhile, has stood for nothing other than attacks on Barack Obama. He has taken a Republican brand that had been shattered by George W. Bush and done nothing to repair it, leaving his party with no more of a clue about how to address the needs of ordinary Americans than they had when this election cycle began.


The fact that almost nobody in McCain's party seems to understand the devastating consequences of this failure is a strong indication that Republicans will be stuck in the political wilderness for many years to come.
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http://article.nationalreview.com/?q=NjIyYzU1ZTY3OThhNGNjNDZiMWU5MDY2MDI2YjYwYjM=#more
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Posted by: DrainYou | October 31, 2008 1:51 PM | Report abuse

NeilSagan

And you feel good about Sec of State in Ohio and their review of personal data?

Posted by: jhpbriton | October 31, 2008 1:16 PM | Report abuse

Indiana support is extremely soft for Barry. Latest Indy Star polls show gap of 3-4 points. Only hope for Dems is everyone in Lake County votes multiple times.

Posted by: jhpbriton | October 31, 2008 1:03 PM | Report abuse

Obama won't campaign in Arizona just up the ad buys. Too bad. I'd like to see him take McCain in that state too.

Watch Palin lie about the Branchflower report and also gives voters no assurances that Todd Palin will stay out of government business and government employee personell files.

http://tinyurl.com/PalinLiesAboutEthicsViolation

Posted by: NeilSagan | October 31, 2008 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Again, Slevin has been spun by the Obaminator.

Barry's problem is he has TOO MUCH $$$ and has oversaturated airwaves in battleground states. Campaign has hit point of diminishing returns. Hence, they are throwing $$$ at the wall in places he has no chance of winning to see if anything sticks.

I hope this is not a strategy he uses if elected.

Posted by: jhpbriton | October 31, 2008 12:58 PM | Report abuse

Regardless, Barack HUSSEIN Obama will not be inaugurated President on January 20, 2009.

Posted by: JakeD | October 31, 2008 12:54 PM | Report abuse

Wow! Obama is down in AZ, McCain's home state, by only 4 points without campaigning there. If we wins AZ that would be the ultimate bend over for McCain.

Posted by: thor2 | October 31, 2008 12:43 PM | Report abuse

JakeD-

He better win AZ, GA, ND and MO or it's going to be really ugly.

Obama doesn't need to win any of those states. They are just gravy.

Obama/Biden 08

Posted by: jboykin
************************
Bears repeating to the JakeDuh's of the world. Cause if they call VA for Obama and he is moving ahead in Pennsylvania, the lights are out on the Straight sh*t express. The Western states are just icing on the cake at that point. And McCain defending his home state at this date? Really?

Posted by: LABC | October 31, 2008 12:38 PM | Report abuse

"...But early voting, especially among African Americans, as well as a residual force of 4,800 volunteer neighborhood captains, has given the campaign hopes of an upset..."

Think about that. There are 4800 wonderful people in Georgia who apparently weren't furious, demoralized, and fed up when the Obama campaign withdrew and instead stepped up and kept fighting--for months now--for their candidate on their own. (Compare that to how the Michigan Republicans felt about McCain's "middle of the night" abrupt withdrawal.)

It reminds me of how strongly the "non-chosen" VP finalists on the Democratic side (Bayh, Sebelius, and Kaine, and of course Hillary) have been supporting Obama, much unlike the attitude toward McCain among some scorned Republican would-be VPs.

It's the same reason in both cases. This candidate and his campaign treat people well and build relationships that outlast adversity. I'm glad to see that may reward them even at the polls, if Georgia turns blue. If Obama wins, I know it will reward all of us with an effective government come January.

Posted by: fairfaxvoter | October 31, 2008 12:37 PM | Report abuse

JakeD spewed "McCain is going to win Arizona, Georgia, North Dakota AND Missouri."

COVER YOUR EYES EVERYONE! JakeD is trying to use his psychotic powers to "will" a win for McCain.

OH NO! He zapped me! My brain is shriveling! My IQ is dropping! dropping! dropping! DUHHHHHHHHhhhhhhnnnn..... LIMBAUGH AND O'REILLY ARE GODS!!!!


(Save OUR Country and Constitution from JakeD's psychotic mind melting rays

Vote Obama Nov. 4)

Posted by: thenotoriousflavio | October 31, 2008 12:25 PM | Report abuse

JakeD-

He better win AZ, GA, ND and MO or it's going to be really ugly.

Obama doesn't need to win any of those states. They are just gravy.

Obama/Biden 08

Posted by: jboykin | October 31, 2008 12:24 PM | Report abuse

WASHINGTON TIMES SPEWSPAPER gets the boot! (but not the booty)

I guess they decided he had enough toilet paper on the plane.


Save our Country and Constitution

Vote OBAMA Nov 4

Posted by: thenotoriousflavio | October 31, 2008 12:16 PM | Report abuse

Obama Plane Pitches Reporters From McCain-Endorsing Papers

Reporters from three newspapers that endorsed John McCain have been told that they can't travel aboard Barack Obama's plane in the final days leading before Election Day.

Posted by: lucygirl1 | October 31, 2008 12:12 PM | Report abuse

Barry's problem is he has too much money and has oversaturated airwaves in battleground states. Campaign has hit point of diminishing returns. Hence, they are throwing $ at the wall in places he has no chance of winning to see if anything sticks.

I hope this is not a strategy he uses if elected.

Posted by: jhpbriton | October 31, 2008 12:12 PM | Report abuse

Go Obama Go!

Let's have confident but not be complacent!

Sorry JakeD...I can see McCain edging out Obama in Arizona and North Dakota by 2pts but losing Missouri and Georgia.

I'm originally from the South and Bob Barr has more support in Georgia than you think. Barr's presence will dilute McCain's efforts.

Posted by: AJ2008 | October 31, 2008 12:12 PM | Report abuse

Obama Plane Pitches Reporters From McCain-Endorsing Papers

Reporters from three newspapers that endorsed John McCain have been told that they can't travel aboard Barack Obama's plane in the final days leading before Election Day.

Posted by: lucygirl1 | October 31, 2008 12:10 PM | Report abuse

Obama Supporters Using Huckabee in new online ad.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YADwYU-phpI

Criminal charges may be brought up on Palin for ethics issues? http://www.hotpres.com

Posted by: pastor123 | October 31, 2008 11:45 AM | Report abuse

Obama Supporters Using Huckabee in new online ad.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YADwYU-phpI

Criminal charges may be brought up on Palin for ethics issues? http://www.hotpres.com

Posted by: pastor123 | October 31, 2008 11:45 AM | Report abuse

McCain is going to win Arizona, Georgia, North Dakota AND Missouri.

Posted by: JakeD | October 31, 2008 11:22 AM | Report abuse

McCain is going to win Arizona, Georgia, North Dakota AND Missouri.

Posted by: JakeD | October 31, 2008 11:21 AM | Report abuse

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