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The State of the Races

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David S. Broder, Dan Balz and Chris Cillizza report this morning on "The State Of the Races," assessing the electoral outlook in all 50 states and finding that "Barack Obama and the Democrats hold a commanding position two days before Tuesday's election, with the senator from Illinois leading in states whose electoral votes total nearly 300 and with his party counting on significantly expanded majorities in the House and Senate."

For a visual representation of how Barack Obama and John McCain are expected to perform on Tuesday in the battleground states, click here for the state-by-state breakdown.

And in the above video by Emily Freifeld, Broder and Balz discuss their 50-state outlook piece.

By Web Politics Editor  |  November 2, 2008; 10:24 AM ET
Categories:  Political Geography 101 , Today at The Post  
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Next: McCain's Supporters Looking to Beat the Odds

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Sunday, November 02, 2008
Gateway Pundit
EXPLOSIVE NEW AUDIO-- Obama Promises San Francisco Audience He Will Bankrupt Coal Industry!!

OBAMA TOLD A SAN FRANCISCO AUDIENCE THAT HE WILL BANKRUPT THE COAL INDUSTRY!!!

ATTN: Coal states Virginia , Ohio, Pennsylvania, Colorado, and Indiana, guess what Obama told San Francisco about you?

OBAMA TELLS SAN FRANCISCO HE WILL BANKRUPT THE COAL INDUSTRY:

from his talk to the San Francisco Chronicle in January 2008:


"Let me sort of describe my overall policy.

What I've said is that we would put a cap and trade system in place that is as aggressive, if not more aggressive, than anybody else's out there.

I was the first to call for a 100% auction on the cap and trade system, which means that every unit of carbon or greenhouse gases emitted would be charged to the polluter. That will create a market in which whatever technologies are out there that are being presented, whatever power plants that are being built, that they would have to meet the rigors of that market and the ratcheted down caps that are being placed, imposed every year.

So if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can; it's just that it will bankrupt them because they're going to be charged a huge sum for all that greenhouse gas that's being emitted.

That will also generate billions of dollars that we can invest in solar, wind, biodiesel and other alternative energy approaches.

The only thing I've said with respect to coal, I haven't been some coal booster. What I have said is that for us to take coal off the table as a ideological matter as opposed to saying if technology allows us to use coal in a clean way, we should pursue it.

So if somebody wants to build a coal-powered plant, they can.

It's just that it will bankrupt them."


This goes hand-in-hand with what he's said about nuclear energy.
His preconditions make it impossible to expand nuclear energy at this time.
From The Wall Street Journal:


On nuclear power, Sen. Obama says he's open to expanding nuclear energy, which now provides 20% of the nation's electricity, as part of an effort to increase power sources that emit little or no carbon dioxide. But he also has said there is no future for expanded nuclear energy until the U.S. comes up with a safe, long-term solution for disposing of nuclear waste. He opposes the Bush administration's plan for storing waste at Yucca Mountain in Nevada.

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 4:33 PM | Report abuse

"Clinging to Guns and Religion"-
BHO in SFrancisco

Closing the deal-
(IBD/TIPP @2- Most Accurate in 2004
NBC/Mason Dixon- McCain leading NC/Ohio/Mo)

By Salena Zito
TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, November 2, 2008

The narrative of this historic presidential election has come down to which candidate will close the deal and win the trust of Pennsylvania voters.

From the outside looking in, Pennsylvania has become a metaphor for all that is wrong with our country when it comes to race -- especially those of its Democrats who are soft on or wary of Barack Obama.

Yet on the inside, Pennsylvania is far from its broad-brush portrayal as racist. It is not the color of the candidate; it is the culture he represents.

Say what you will, Obama's "spread the wealth" tongue-slip hit home here.

Most Pennsylvania Democrats who live outside of Philadelphia are very Midwestern in their values and their votes.

If they lose their jobs, they go out and get two more to make up for the loss. They do not take handouts and they don't whine; they provide for themselves and their families.

Their voting patterns and other traditions passed along to their sons and daughter will help to decide this election.


"In an odd way, many liberals are tone-deaf about normal people, who worship God, country, sports and their communities and don't care all that much about politics," says former Villanova political scientist Bob Maranto.

Maranto says what's causing Pennsylvania voters to give Obama a second look goes beyond Obama's "share the wealth" notion: "They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies who have never run anything in their lives (but) that now want to run the country."

He adds that "it is all in the arrogance."

Liberal Democrats often have a hard time in this state because they don't understand why voters in poor, rural areas don't "vote their pocketbooks." Frankly, these are not very materialistic people; if you live in Johnstown or in Elk County and you care that much about money, then you will leave for better opportunities in the big city.

People who stay behind don't care as much about money as they care about their families or communities.

To ambitious politicians such as Obama or running mate Joe Biden, that's just crazy; they can't imagine folks who care more about family or community than about getting ahead.

Much the same can be said for the Pittsburgh region, where many people live within a few miles of where they grew up.

Who will close the deal in Pennsylvania? The polls say Obama; the pundits, too.

Let's see what the voters say.

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 3:58 PM | Report abuse

Posted by my 9 yo daughter-

I Know, I know- it's the most intelligent post in my name all year!

Vote for McCain !!!!!! :)
"McCain rules
Obama DROOLS"!!!!!!! HAHAHAHAHAH

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 3:49 PM | Report abuse

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 3:56 PM | Report abuse

Vote for McCain !!!!!! :)
"McCain rules
Obama DROOLS"!!!!!!! HAHAHAHAHAH

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 3:49 PM | Report abuse

McCain supporters talk about "Obama doesn't 'Add Up'"...

What doesn't "ADD UP"?
-NOTORIOUS SPEWACCUSER

In 1988, Bill Clinton stated "No one" wants to raise payroll taxes in order to fix social security because it's "regressive"....

YOUR CANDIDATE'S REGRESSIVE PROPOSALS (FOR THE FIRST TIME IN HISTORY REMOVING THE PAYROLL TAX CAP) FOR "SPREADING INCOME AROUND" DON'T ADD UP!

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 3:12 PM | Report abuse


McCain supporters talk about "Obama doesn't 'Add Up'"...

What doesn't "ADD UP" is that someone would vote for the same political party that has DEMONSTRATED that they are IRRESPONSIBLE LEADERS.

Our economy is in the hole, respect for the US dollar has fallen, our military is transparent to our enemies, our beloved Constitution has been assaulted, and now the same party is picking on little old ladies and whining about their tax bill.

Save OUR Country and Constitution from the PROVEN FAILURE of the Republican Party

VOTE Obama Nov 4

Posted by: thenotoriousflavio | November 2, 2008 2:40 PM | Report abuse

Torrito-
I'm a middle aged guy- many years to work- I believe in paying my fair share- I would not complain about a rise in my income tax during this economic crisis....BUT Obama is proposing something WAY beyond that- his wanting to "spread the wealth around" includes removing the payroll tax cap on Soc. security taxes, a move which Democratic Economic hero Bill Clinton called "Regressive" because it is regressive...the more a small business owner profits, the more she's taxed...it will lead to layoffs in my business and in many many others. Obama wants to send my additional tax dollars to those who currently pay no income tax....and he will have more and more former employees to send checks to. He also will raise business taxes- which we will all pay. He doesn't care- he supports corn ethanol which helps Illinois farmers, makes us all pay higher food prices, and does nothing to reduce our dependence on foreign oil- uses one unit petrol for every one it saves.
So, he's obviously more motivated by what's best for Barack Obama than what's best for America...and he's obviously also very successful in fooling you and those like you.

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 1:57 PM | Report abuse

"Clinging to Guns and Religion"-
BHO in SFrancisco

Closing the deal-
(IBD/TIPP @2- Most Accurate in 2004
NBC/Mason Dixon- McCain leading NC/Ohio/Mo)

By Salena Zito
TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, November 2, 2008

The narrative of this historic presidential election has come down to which candidate will close the deal and win the trust of Pennsylvania voters.

From the outside looking in, Pennsylvania has become a metaphor for all that is wrong with our country when it comes to race -- especially those of its Democrats who are soft on or wary of Barack Obama.

Yet on the inside, Pennsylvania is far from its broad-brush portrayal as racist. It is not the color of the candidate; it is the culture he represents.

Say what you will, Obama's "spread the wealth" tongue-slip hit home here.

Most Pennsylvania Democrats who live outside of Philadelphia are very Midwestern in their values and their votes.

If they lose their jobs, they go out and get two more to make up for the loss. They do not take handouts and they don't whine; they provide for themselves and their families.

Their voting patterns and other traditions passed along to their sons and daughter will help to decide this election.


"In an odd way, many liberals are tone-deaf about normal people, who worship God, country, sports and their communities and don't care all that much about politics," says former Villanova political scientist Bob Maranto.

Maranto says what's causing Pennsylvania voters to give Obama a second look goes beyond Obama's "share the wealth" notion: "They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies who have never run anything in their lives (but) that now want to run the country."

He adds that "it is all in the arrogance."

Liberal Democrats often have a hard time in this state because they don't understand why voters in poor, rural areas don't "vote their pocketbooks." Frankly, these are not very materialistic people; if you live in Johnstown or in Elk County and you care that much about money, then you will leave for better opportunities in the big city.

People who stay behind don't care as much about money as they care about their families or communities.

To ambitious politicians such as Obama or running mate Joe Biden, that's just crazy; they can't imagine folks who care more about family or community than about getting ahead.

Much the same can be said for the Pittsburgh region, where many people live within a few miles of where they grew up.

Who will close the deal in Pennsylvania? The polls say Obama; the pundits, too.

Let's see what the voters say.


Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 1:46 PM | Report abuse

I'm an old retired guy who doesn’t have to work and I can honestly say it won't matter to me in the long run who wins this election. At my age any election I participate in could be my last. I do believe however that the current administration has been the worst in my lifetime (born during FDR). I don't think anyone can rationally deny that. We have had 8 years of corruption, unnecessary war and shredding of the Constitution. Over the last month we have watched with our own eyes the slow motion impoverishment of America. Now this same party wants us to give them 4 more years so that John the "maverick" can fix Washington. ...like I was born yesterday.

If "small town working class" rust-belt voters in Ohio, Pa., Michigan and Indiana help re-elect the GOP then I for one don't want to hear anymore whining from them about their disappearing jobs and livelihoods, the high cost of college and gas, lack of health care etc. Let Johnnie' and Sarah’s "patriotism" put food on your table. Go flip burghers!

Screw 'ya. Cling to your guns and religion and “small town values”. Pray to Jesus when you go hunting for a meal. Stay with that church and keep your weapon. You will need both the soup kitchen and the rifle. You will deserve what you get. Your kids can go to community college if you can afford it and you can forget about ever retiring. You’re probably out of work anyway.

I got mine already. I live comfortably in the sunny South on a golf course in a paid off house, got my steady income, my "socialist" medicare and prescription drug coverage that you younger people wish you had but will never get under the Republicans. I sent my girls to college and they are successfully out on their own. The world won't run out of gas before I go and the planet won't get too hot.

A McCain election ain't gonna hurt me.

As Johnny Carson used to say - I upped my lifestyle - up yours!

I’m an old man. Trust me on this. God helps those who help themselves - if you're in deep doodoo economically and you vote Republican for their "values", you deserve it.

Posted by: toritto | November 2, 2008 12:29 PM | Report abuse

Golly, Union States support the Socialist!

Who'd have thunk that?! :-/

Seemstome-Do you understand WHAT an Intelligence Quotient is?

See, having a High IQ, does not prevent oneself from doing VERY stupid things.

Like Picking a VP who would have had her butt handed to her during the Primaries-IF, she'd have tried to actually COMPETE!

At least Biden was always a Veep Contender-just for Who?

Nothing against Sarah, I like her and we both attended Hawai'i Pacific University at the same time(Although I was at the Hawai'i Loa Campus in Kaneohe), but, She is simply not even remotely as qualified, or NEEDED, as someone like Mitt Romney!

Maybe in four years, if the Nation survives, she might try to actually run, and maybe even qualify to be Mitt's Veep!

But, she has a LOT to learn between now, and then!

Posted by: SAINT---The | November 2, 2008 12:26 PM | Report abuse

"Clinging to Guns and Religion"-
BHO in SFrancisco

Closing the deal
By Salena Zito
TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, November 2, 2008

The narrative of this historic presidential election has come down to which candidate will close the deal and win the trust of Pennsylvania voters.

From the outside looking in, Pennsylvania has become a metaphor for all that is wrong with our country when it comes to race -- especially those of its Democrats who are soft on or wary of Barack Obama.

Yet on the inside, Pennsylvania is far from its broad-brush portrayal as racist. It is not the color of the candidate; it is the culture he represents.

Say what you will, Obama's "spread the wealth" tongue-slip hit home here.

Most Pennsylvania Democrats who live outside of Philadelphia are very Midwestern in their values and their votes.

If they lose their jobs, they go out and get two more to make up for the loss. They do not take handouts and they don't whine; they provide for themselves and their families.

Their voting patterns and other traditions passed along to their sons and daughter will help to decide this election.


"In an odd way, many liberals are tone-deaf about normal people, who worship God, country, sports and their communities and don't care all that much about politics," says former Villanova political scientist Bob Maranto.

Maranto says what's causing Pennsylvania voters to give Obama a second look goes beyond Obama's "share the wealth" notion: "They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies who have never run anything in their lives (but) that now want to run the country."

He adds that "it is all in the arrogance."

Liberal Democrats often have a hard time in this state because they don't understand why voters in poor, rural areas don't "vote their pocketbooks." Frankly, these are not very materialistic people; if you live in Johnstown or in Elk County and you care that much about money, then you will leave for better opportunities in the big city.

People who stay behind don't care as much about money as they care about their families or communities.

To ambitious politicians such as Obama or running mate Joe Biden, that's just crazy; they can't imagine folks who care more about family or community than about getting ahead.

Much the same can be said for the Pittsburgh region, where many people live within a few miles of where they grew up.

Who will close the deal in Pennsylvania? The polls say Obama; the pundits, too.

Let's see what the voters say.


Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 12:22 PM | Report abuse


"Clinging to Guns and Religion"-

Closing the deal
By Salena Zito
TRIBUNE-REVIEW
Sunday, November 2, 2008

The narrative of this historic presidential election has come down to which candidate will close the deal and win the trust of Pennsylvania voters.

From the outside looking in, Pennsylvania has become a metaphor for all that is wrong with our country when it comes to race -- especially those of its Democrats who are soft on or wary of Barack Obama.

Yet on the inside, Pennsylvania is far from its broad-brush portrayal as racist. It is not the color of the candidate; it is the culture he represents.

Say what you will, Obama's "spread the wealth" tongue-slip hit home here.

Most Pennsylvania Democrats who live outside of Philadelphia are very Midwestern in their values and their votes.

If they lose their jobs, they go out and get two more to make up for the loss. They do not take handouts and they don't whine; they provide for themselves and their families.

Their voting patterns and other traditions passed along to their sons and daughter will help to decide this election.


"In an odd way, many liberals are tone-deaf about normal people, who worship God, country, sports and their communities and don't care all that much about politics," says former Villanova political scientist Bob Maranto.

Maranto says what's causing Pennsylvania voters to give Obama a second look goes beyond Obama's "share the wealth" notion: "They are suspicious of him and his Ivy League buddies who have never run anything in their lives (but) that now want to run the country."

He adds that "it is all in the arrogance."

Liberal Democrats often have a hard time in this state because they don't understand why voters in poor, rural areas don't "vote their pocketbooks." Frankly, these are not very materialistic people; if you live in Johnstown or in Elk County and you care that much about money, then you will leave for better opportunities in the big city.

People who stay behind don't care as much about money as they care about their families or communities.

To ambitious politicians such as Obama or running mate Joe Biden, that's just crazy; they can't imagine folks who care more about family or community than about getting ahead.

Much the same can be said for the Pittsburgh region, where many people live within a few miles of where they grew up.

Who will close the deal in Pennsylvania? The polls say Obama; the pundits, too.

Let's see what the voters say.

Posted by: thecannula | November 2, 2008 12:18 PM | Report abuse

John McCain's IQ from his navy days is purported to be 133. It's probably closer to 115. Obama's is easily 140, and we are going to need every bit of it in the next 6 months.

Posted by: seemstome | November 2, 2008 11:52 AM | Report abuse

I just saw a video that claimed Obama was an space alien and he has to eat babies to survive. That was one of the milder ones.

Posted by: seemstome | November 2, 2008 11:48 AM | Report abuse

Obama will win by over 300 electoral votes
unless something horrible happens in the next 48 hours.

Without a terrorist attack, Bush attacking Syria or Iran, or the revealing of the so called Whitey video there is no hope for Bush, I mean McCain.

Posted by: seemstome | November 2, 2008 11:38 AM | Report abuse

OBAMA'S 'NATIONAL CIVILIAN SECURITY FORCE' CALL:
IT MAY COST HIM THIS SUPPORTER'S VOTE

http://my.nowpublic.com/world/obamas-national-civilian-security-force-call-scary-11th-hour-revelation

OR http://members.nowpublic.com/scrivener

Posted by: scrivener50 | November 2, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

Actually, the most important race is Arizona. If Obama beats McCain in Arizona, then not only will Napolitano trounce McCain in 2010, but the rise of latino influence in national politics will be very clear for all to see.

In 2012, Obama can focus on turning Texas blue.

JakeD, you need to become comfortable with the notion of an enduring moral, progressive democracy.

Sincerely,

"Deep Blue"

Posted by: jrob822 | November 2, 2008 11:37 AM | Report abuse

YES ON 8!!!

Posted by: JakeD | November 2, 2008 11:14 AM | Report abuse

No. It is more important because Obama will win California.

Posted by: JakeD | November 2, 2008 11:03 AM | Report abuse

Obama has expanded his lead by demonstrating that he is a practical man who will govern from the center ......................


http://thefiresidepost.com/2008/11/01/obama-will-govern-from-the-center/

Posted by: glclark4750 | November 2, 2008 10:57 AM | Report abuse

As horrendous as some of the attack ads against Obama have been, there is a new ad that even the news networks won't touch.

See why, and decide for yourself if the attacks are not now over the top and beyond the pale.

http://scootmandubious.blogspot.com/2008/11/anti-obama-ad-networks-will-not-run.html

Posted by: scootmandubious | November 2, 2008 10:46 AM | Report abuse

Jake, why? Did anybody slap your ass lately?

Posted by: Serge_Birbrair | November 2, 2008 10:43 AM | Report abuse

Here in California, Proposition 8 is actually more important than the federal election. I am praying for heavy rains in San Francisco Tuesday.

Posted by: JakeD | November 2, 2008 10:38 AM | Report abuse

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