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At Brown's election party, 'feeling pretty confident'

Updated 9:00 p.m.
By Karl Vick
BOSTON -- At the Park Plaza Hotel, guests climbed the wide carpeted staircases Tuesday night to the second-floor ballroom, where Scott Brown's campaign planned a victory celebration. "Your Vote Counts," read the video banner on the stage, in cursive letters over a flapping Stars and Stripes.

"We're feeling pretty confident," said Eric Fehrnstrom, a senior adviser to the Brown campaign. The Republican of the hour was on the 12th floor, and would have nothing to say until after polls closed at 8.

"The anecdotal reports of turnout are encouraging, in that the lines were long in the suburbs and less so in the urban areas," said Fehrnstrom. In the absence of exit polling, it was difficult to know more, he said, but he pointed out that the "movement" element that the campaign had taken on outdistanced some traditional get-out-the-vote efforts.

"Our campaign, from the start -- that's an exaggeration; for the last 21/2 weeks -- has been driven by incredibly self-motivated voters. So we are making phone calls, we are knocking on doors. But Scott Brown's following are the kind of people who will put on a scarf and gloves and go through the snow to their local polling places, without any encouragement from us," Fehrnstrom said.

Brown made dozens of such calls himself Tuesday, following an Election Day ritual of dialing friends and neighbors to remind them to vote, according to the consultant. "We told him we could automate those calls, but he preferred to do it himself," Fehrnstrom said.

The candidate also visited several call centers to thank volunteers, and ran some personal errands, to the post office and bank, perhaps savoring a respite from the sudden national drama of the campaign. "The last 2 1/2 weeks have been like being shot out of a cannon," Fehrnstrom said.

A rock band finished its sound check before the doors opened, and liveried waiters set up chafing dishes and a cash bar.

The candidate's daughter, Ayla Brown, a belter who made the semifinals on "American Idol," was expected to perform, judging by www.aylabrown.com and a stash of promotional literature behind the camera risers.

Asked what to look for in early returns, Fehrnstrom recalled another campaign night, with another client.

"What I would look for is the city of Quincy," he said. "I remember in 2002, Mitt Romney lost Quincy by one vote, something like one vote, very close. And when we heard that report, we knew it was all over for Shannon O'Brien," his Democratic opponent.

"My expectation is that we'll do very well in Quincy."

Ron Kaufman, a Republican National Committeeman who claims Quincy as his home town, emerged on the packed ballroom floor as polls closed to say that reports from the campaign's poll watchers were encouraging:

High Republican turnout in key precincts, he said; high turnout in districts richest in independent votes; and, "Boston's on the low end of turnout." The city is regarded as key to Democratic hopes.

Kaufman said he considered the reports reliable. "The one thing we have is volunteers," he said.

His guess of a victory margin, before returns were posted: "Between 8 and 12 points."

"All that stuff we felt the last few days hasn't stopped," said Kaufman, who traveled with Brown on the barnstorming tour that produced several strikingly enthusiastic crowds.

By Karl Vick  |  January 19, 2010; 8:00 PM ET
Categories:  44 The Obama Presidency  
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Comments

To quote a certain politician: "Let me be clear: we won, you lost." Now we can get on with the business of creating jobs and strengthening the economy. When that is done we can go back to the drawing board and craft an uncomplicated but good health care plan that covers most Americans who have no insurance. First things first. And don't forget our enormous debt.

Posted by: Kansas28 | January 21, 2010 12:23 AM | Report abuse

It is a Big Blow to all the Poor and Middle Class people that the GOP has 41 seats to Control of the Senate now. Because the NO GUTS Dems. have shown how Win in the pass, but their back to losing ways again. Just like the Boston Red Sox's. Now nothing will get done in Congress. I LOVE the USA, but the people of America are short minded and very, very impatience along with NO COMMON SENSE. Can anyone PLEASE tell the American People that the RICH and POWERFUL WILL CONTROL AND DONE GIVE DAM ABOUT THE MIDDLE CLASS AND POOR. All they CARE about is their GREEDY WAYS and HOW TO SCREW AMERICANS that done have COMMON SENSE.

Posted by: gjhardtimes | January 20, 2010 10:23 AM | Report abuse


Who's to blame for Coakley's loss?

http://www.youpolls.com/default.asp


.

Posted by: usadblake | January 19, 2010 10:24 PM | Report abuse

How embarrassing for Mass. voters and what a slap in the face for the Kennedy legacy. How awful that the great man who was a leader in health care reform to have his own state turn on the country like this. Just unbelievable.

Posted by: defiant | January 19, 2010 10:12 PM | Report abuse

CONGRATULATIONS MASS. you have added yet another "no" to the senate. What really makes some of us mad is that the weak-knee'd dems have forgot how to legislate since LBJ left. JEEZ, even excluding the wimp from Conn.who followed McCain around like a lapdog,the Dems still have a majority. Pass the damn healthcare bill in reconcilation & the republicans be damn. See if they have the guts to repeal it in the face of ever part of the health care profession backing it plus the AARP. IF YOU'VE GOT THE BALLS.GIT'ER DONE!!!

Posted by: tlrasnic | January 19, 2010 9:51 PM | Report abuse

It's funny how only a year ago, all I heard was "it's obama-time!, and "yes, WE CAN!". Everywhere I went in DC, that's all I heard or saw. Now, all I can think of are the voters in Massachusetts very clearly and distinctly shouting back, "NO, WE WONT!".

Posted by: pjd1020 | January 19, 2010 9:30 PM | Report abuse

Hey, Democrats, remember what you said to us just a few months ago?

"We won, you lost, so shut up!"

Right back at ya', losers!!!!!!!!!!

Congratulations, Senator Brown!!

Posted by: NoWayNotNow | January 19, 2010 9:29 PM | Report abuse

At 9:20, AP project Brown wins.

We'll see how Obama likes his serving of humble pie.

Posted by: Ombudsman1 | January 19, 2010 9:26 PM | Report abuse

BaracksTeleprompter posted:

Why isn't the Post reporting the election results? Libs.
_______________________________________________

Because it takes longer than 22 minutes to get the results to the collection center. dumbpublican.

Posted by: topwriter | January 19, 2010 9:23 PM | Report abuse

"they believe easily disproved lies about important issues"

Are you really that dim?

People don't like the idea that (a) the president's program doesn't address portability of insurance (b) it doesn't address cost (c) It doesn't give Americans more choice (d) it forces us to buy something that we don't want (e) For those of us with fine insurance, it taxes us more for less coverage.

It's a nightmare of a bill that trades our choice to enrich insurance companies. It smells of political payoffs. You don't have to be a genius to see what the democratic congress is up to.

Posted by: Ombudsman1 | January 19, 2010 9:13 PM | Report abuse

Why isn't the Post reporting the election results? Libs.

Posted by: BaracksTeleprompter | January 19, 2010 9:10 PM | Report abuse

Well, it is going to be interesting to see whether anything gets done in the next two years now that it appears that MA voted in another conservative Stonewaller. Thanks, Massachusetts, for the fabulous timing. You are the ones that we can look to when nothing gets done about the economy, taxes and health care.
Thanks!

Posted by: phorse | January 19, 2010 9:08 PM | Report abuse

The Massachusetts Massacre--

seems you can always count on Massachusetts

every time there is a revolution against tyranny

Posted by: ProCounsel | January 19, 2010 9:08 PM | Report abuse

Pass health care reform as a reconciliation bill, or change the filibuster rules. Take your pick.

Posted by: raschumacher | January 19, 2010 9:03 PM
=============================

Well.....I do believe the American people, certainly the fine folks in blue Massachusetts have said.....NO BILL.....and the dirty Democrats in Washington DC better start LISTENING......a revolution has started tonight........let do the will of the American people.......

Posted by: allenridge | January 19, 2010 9:08 PM | Report abuse

even the dimmest of the dems

in the house

will know what the massachusetts massacre means

to them

and they will vote NO on obamacare

obama--massachusetts said "let me be clear"

obama you are irrelevant, immaterial, incompetent

Posted by: ProCounsel | January 19, 2010 9:07 PM | Report abuse

Health reform is dead. Lets rejoice whit middle class. The people have spoken..

One guy here said change the rules of voting in congress.. uh jerko... the US Constitution...

Us white folks have fought in wars to protect something most on this board have not even bothered to read.

Posted by: robinhood2 | January 19, 2010 9:06 PM | Report abuse

Pass health care reform as a reconciliation bill, or change the filibuster rules. Take your pick.

Posted by: raschumacher | January 19, 2010 9:03 PM | Report abuse

blasmaic thanks for your comment. The overwhelming majority of Americans do not know, for example, that the Federal Reserve is a privatly-owned bank. For the most part, we are not taught this in our schools or universities. And we are not taught that the republic fell in 1913 when the Federal Reserve Act came into being. This international cartel of bankers is the root of the world's problems.

Posted by: Aurellano | January 19, 2010 9:01 PM | Report abuse

The American people, the people of Massachusetts have raised up and KILLED ObamaCare..........

......the American Revolution has started again........Massachusetts voters delivered Obama's Waterloo..........how appropriate

Posted by: allenridge | January 19, 2010 8:59 PM | Report abuse

Obama’s Failed Presidency
Predictive Profile AFTER the Massachusetts Rebellion


Obama's Presidency is in free fall FAILURE.

When a Republican even had a CHANCE in Massachusetts-- the verdict is in on the Obama Administration.

Team Obama was voted off the island by angry Americans fed up with the stimulus waste, cap and trade, obama's incessant asinine attacks on capitalism as he kills jobs, obamacare and most importantly 10% unemployment.

A failed embittered Presidency can be extremely dangerous--
so a profile of Obama's like FUTURE actions is critical.

In his monumental work "Hitler and Stalin" Alan Bullock notes both Hitler and Stalin were narcissists. ProCounsel is NOT stating Obama is either Hitler or Stalin. But his analysis, written long before Obama's ascendancy, is a useful model.

Bullock explains narcissism on page 11:

"In such a state only the person himself, his needs,feelings and thoughts, everything and and everybody as they relate to him are experienced as fully real, while everybody and everything otherwise lacks reality or interest."

Bullock describes the effects of narcissism and provides a predictive model useful for Obama on page 343:

"Narcissistic personalities are convinced of their special qualities and their superiority over others, and any threat to this self image--such as being criticized, shown up, or defeated--produces a violent outrage and often a desire for revenge."

Bullock cites 3 psychological reactions Stalin used to guard his narcissistic self image. Bullock credits Robert Tucker for these insights on page 356. The 3 reactions to expect for the Obama profile would be:

a. Repression–simply blankly deny the truth, no matter how obvious or even if caught on video

b. Rationalization-Admit but use the fault as proof of his zeal

c. Projection-Obama will attribute to others the motives and attitudes he refuses to admit in himself

Ironically, per the Profile Dems in the House and Senate will be in much more danger from a wounded irrelevant White House than the Republicans, as Obama will deem the Dems unworthy of him--THEY failed NOT him.

Don't believe the profile??

Just go back and review Obama's response to the Detroit airplane bombing. Obama went through all 3 stages above and that analysis is especially instructive as Obama was naked--without senior staff.

Posted by: ProCounsel | January 19, 2010 8:59 PM | Report abuse

Time for the gloves to come off. If brown wins watch whta exit polls say voters voted based on. Most people voting republicons are doing so for the same basic reason we saw bush elected for the first time in 2004. They believe easily disproved lies about important issues. Death panels and socialism and "rammed down our throats" -- gee lower premiums and better care -- ram away!

All manners of nonsesne they hear repeated ad naseum by the lying liars of right wing radio and fux the news. So - we'll hae a health care bill, we'll have Democrats moving to simply sidestep the GOP. We'll have more done by executive order. And if brown wins Mass and the nation will be stuck with a lousy bush republicon until the term ends and they regain some semblence of sanity and realize they have been played for suckers by the very people they loathe so much in the Blue parts of America - the real America.

Posted by: John1263 | January 19, 2010 8:58 PM | Report abuse

RIP-Liberalism!

Posted by: cschotta1 | January 19, 2010 8:51 PM | Report abuse

Aurellano, communism views fascism as capitalism in crisis, which, according to your analysis occurs when corporate and government merge.

Posted by: blasmaic | January 19, 2010 8:42 PM | Report abuse

It appears that the perception is
Obamaland Vs The USA now.

That said, Obama should just resign and let Biden represent the American people.

When the GOP and DEM bases both dropped to nil, it was clear that people moved their voter registrations out, to make it clear no legislation representation is there for them in the Fed 2009.

Posted by: dottydo | January 19, 2010 8:40 PM | Report abuse

will obama still give a state of the union speech???

why bother???

obama--irrelevant, immaterial,and inept

Posted by: ProCounsel | January 19, 2010 8:30 PM | Report abuse

The Massachusetts Massacre
a political autopsy- how and why obama’s presidency failed

coakley was the least significant among the losses on tuesday night. obama’s presidency not only failed, but was soundly rejected. but due to his predictive profile, obama will not comprehend the nature and extent of his failures.

obama had a systemic political failure in massachusetts.

political autopsy results–

1. while obama slept–how could massachusetts NOT be on obama’s radar screen?

obama has spent most of the year bribing senators due to a razor thin margin in the senate. yet obama sleeps while brown attacks.

more ominously obama had two systemic failures–strategic and tactical which will reappear with far more serious consequences in national security, as homeland napolitano makes coakley look like a genius.

2. strategic –obama failed to designate someone to monitor massachusetts. thats what presidents do--and obama didn’t.

obama is not only asleep at the switch, obama denies there are trains while the whistle gets louder and louder.

3. tactical–obama does not multitask well, he is hopelessly mired in a reactive mode. team obama has some great players, but the bench lacks depth.

Posted by: ProCounsel | January 19, 2010 8:27 PM | Report abuse

As we await the returns, I see the false right-left paradigm is alive and well on the blogs. The problem is not socialism, or primacy of equality. Truth has it that the United States is a representative democracy in form, not in practice. The corporations have merged with the state. According to Mussolini, this is the essence of fascism.

Posted by: Aurellano | January 19, 2010 8:21 PM | Report abuse

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