44: The Obama Presidency


Dan Balz's Take


The Pollster

A Shift on Abortion?

Both foes and supporters of legal abortion should sit back and take a broad view before overreacting to Thursday's release of new poll numbers showing a big shift in Americans' attitudes about abortion.

Posted on October 1, 2009 at 02:45 PM ET | Comments (12)

The Word on Barack Obama

By Jennifer Agiesta and Jon Cohen Nearly eight months into Barack Obama's presidency, Americans' perceptions...

Posted on September 8, 2009 at 12:10 PM ET | Comments (12)

Major Factor In Obama's WaPo Poll Slide: Drop Among Dems, Liberals

The Plum Line's Greg Sargent reports: A major factor in President Obama's slide in today's...

Posted on August 21, 2009 at 05:27 PM ET | Comments (7)

Biden's Watchdog Role May Have Bite

Vice President Biden, the anointed "Sheriff" of the stimulus is well rated generally in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, with public opinion riven by the views of the administration's economic programs as well as the usual sharp partisan lines.

Posted on July 27, 2009 at 01:05 PM ET | Comments (7)

Obama at Notre Dame: Catholics' Take

By Jennifer Agiesta President Obama heads to South Bend, Indiana this Sunday to deliver the...

Posted on May 15, 2009 at 03:37 PM ET | Comments (37)

Pew Study: 2008 Electorate Most Diverse Yet

The share of the electorate accounted for by white voters was at an all-time low of 76.3 percent.

Posted on April 30, 2009 at 06:34 PM ET | Comments (9)

Poll: Cheney Not the Leader of the GOP

By Jon Cohen Dick Cheney wrapped up his tenure as vice president with an approval...

Posted on March 16, 2009 at 01:15 PM ET | Comments (8)

Newt in 2012?

By Jon Cohen Newt Gingrich, who hinted at a possible 2012 presidential run at a...

Posted on March 6, 2009 at 11:34 AM ET | Comments (10)

Greenberg vs. Penn: When Pollsters Attack!

Mark Penn vs. Stanley Greenberg

Posted on March 2, 2009 at 06:18 PM ET | Comments (2)

Few Americans 'Very Confident' in Social Security and Medicare

Few Americans are "very confident" that Social Security and Medicare are in shape to provide benefits throughout their retirements, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll.

Posted on February 23, 2009 at 10:30 AM ET | Comments (4)

Poll: GOP Voters More Worried on Deficit

By Jonathan Cohen Deep public worry about the federal budget deficit has jumped since December,...

Posted on February 23, 2009 at 07:08 AM ET | Comments (14)

With Afghanistan Troop Decision, Obama Makes His First Major Move without Majority Support

Barack Obama today authorized sending an additional 17,000 U.S. troops to Afghanistan, marking his first big move as commander in chief and his first presidential decision without clear majority support.

Posted on February 17, 2009 at 07:21 PM ET | Comments (11)

Crist and Obama: The Odd Couple

By Jennifer Agiesta President Obama and Florida Gov. Charlie Crist will make an unlikely pair...

Posted on February 10, 2009 at 12:00 PM ET | Comments (0)

Gallup: Public Backs Obama in Stimulus Fight

White House officials, frustrated by Republican claims that they have public opinion on their side, distributed a new Gallup poll this morning showing President Obama with "the upper hand in the stimulus fight."

Posted on February 9, 2009 at 11:44 AM ET | Comments (14)

Rough Waters for the GOP

As the RNC meets to pick its next chairman and assess the implications of universal...

Posted on January 29, 2009 at 05:22 PM ET | Comments (7)

Majority of Americans Oppose Torture

By Jon Cohen A majority of Americans in a new Washington Post-ABC News poll oppose...

Posted on January 21, 2009 at 01:33 PM ET | Comments (20)

Gallup: Majority of Americans Back Stimulus Package

A narrow majority of Americans favor the Democratic leadership's efforts to put a $775 billion economic stimulus package on President-elect Barack Obama's desk quickly after he takes office.

Posted on January 9, 2009 at 01:47 PM ET | Comments (40)

Poll: Most Support Barring Burris from Senate

Overall, 51 percent in the USA Today-Gallup poll said the Senate should block Burris from filling the now open seat.

Posted on January 6, 2009 at 05:44 PM ET | Comments (31)

Gallup: Americans Give Obama Transition the Thumbs Up

Seventy-eight percent of Americans approve of how President-elect Barack Obama is running his transition according to a new Gallup poll.

Posted on December 2, 2008 at 04:12 PM ET | Comments (14)

Final WaPo-ABC News Tracking Poll Shows Stable Obama Lead

The Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll concluded last night after 19 nights of interviewing, with Barack Obama ahead of John McCain 53 to 44 percent among likely voters.

Posted on November 4, 2008 at 07:24 AM ET | Comments (18)

WaPo-ABC Track: Early Birds for Obama

Among those who said they have already voted at an early voting location or sent in an absentee ballot, Barack Obama picked up 60 percent of the vote in the new poll to John McCain's 39 percent.

Posted on October 28, 2008 at 09:11 AM ET | Comments (10)

The Race Goes to 11 -- Powell Helps with Indies

By Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta Barack Obama is up 11 points on John McCain...

Posted on October 22, 2008 at 05:06 PM ET | Comments (9)

Obama Leads Among the Young and the Landline-less

Barack Obama is up 12 points over John McCain among white voters under 30, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll.

Posted on October 21, 2008 at 05:00 PM ET | Comments (7)

WaPo-ABC Daily Tracking Poll, Release #1

By Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta Democrat Barack Obama enters the final two weeks of...

Posted on October 20, 2008 at 05:25 PM ET | Comments (11)

Snap Polls: Obama Wins and Two-Thirds Want No More Debates

Barack Obama completed a three-debate sweep on Wednesday night, according to snap polls by CBS News and CNN.

Posted on October 15, 2008 at 11:53 PM ET | Comments (47)

A Night with Three Victors

Both presidential candidates gained ground and moderator Gwen Ifill won points after almost all those tuning in said she had treated the rivals "fairly."

Posted on October 3, 2008 at 12:08 AM ET | Comments (112)

Polls Show Obama Edge on Economy

McCain trails Obama on economic questions across a range of polls.

Posted on September 24, 2008 at 07:03 PM ET | Comments (61)

Tepid Public Approval for Fed Action

Federal officials attempting to deal with the crisis on Wall Street are facing not only Capitol Hill questioners but also a skeptical public.

Posted on September 23, 2008 at 03:39 PM ET | Comments (14)

Poll: Palin 'Gets' It

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Posted on September 10, 2008 at 03:45 PM ET | Comments (253)

Iowa Without Edwards

The data suggest that Obama would still have won the Iowa caucuses even if Edwards were not in the race.

Posted on August 11, 2008 at 11:28 AM ET | Comments (8)

Obama Lead Nearly 2 to 1 Among Jewish Voters

Barack Obama has a large, nearly 2 to 1 lead over John McCain among Jewish voters, according to the latest Gallup data.

Posted on July 23, 2008 at 11:54 AM ET | Comments (67)

When It Comes to the First Ladies Club, Public Views Obama Like an Incumbent and McCain Like a Challenger

By Jennifer Agiesta Public opinion on potential first ladies most often produces one of two...

Posted on July 2, 2008 at 05:03 PM ET | Comments (5)

Americans Support Gun Rights and Gun Bans

The Supreme Court ruling reflects the public's mixed sentiments on gun issues.

Posted on June 26, 2008 at 11:30 AM ET | Comments (0)

Trust in Congress Scrapes the Bottom of the Barrel

A new Gallup poll released this today shows the U.S. Congress at the bottom of a list of 16 "institutions" in terms of public trust. --Jon Cohen

Posted on June 20, 2008 at 06:32 PM ET | Comments (15)

Obama Has 20 Point Lead on Lowering Gas Prices

Half of voters say Barack Obama would have better chances of easing pain at the pump. --Jon Cohen

Posted on June 16, 2008 at 07:30 PM ET | Comments (130)

Change vs. Experience All Over Again

By Perry Bacon and Jennifer Agiesta RALEIGH, N.C. -- Welcome to change vs. experience, Round...

Posted on June 9, 2008 at 06:03 PM ET | Comments (0)

Do Voters Who Threaten to Actually Bolt?

Do Voters Who Threaten to Bolt Actually Do It?

Posted on June 6, 2008 at 11:45 AM ET | Comments (26)

Exit Polls: In Obama Montana Win, Echoes of Iowa

Barack Obama closed out the long Democratic nomination battle in Montana as he began it five months ago in Iowa, by scoring a big win in an overwhelmingly white state. --Jon Cohen

Posted on June 3, 2008 at 11:26 PM ET | Comments (0)

Exit Polls: South Dakota, Clinton's Last Win

Once again, older white women gave Hillary Clinton a victory -- her last as the primaries come to a close. --Jon Cohen

Posted on June 3, 2008 at 10:23 PM ET | Comments (42)

Americans Favor Meeting with the Enemy

New Gallup poll data shows that six in ten American favor talks with rogue governments. --Jon Cohen

Posted on June 2, 2008 at 01:57 PM ET | Comments (0)

Clinton's Three Questions

By Jon Cohen As Hillary Rodham Clinton ponders her options, there are three questions she...

Posted on June 2, 2008 at 10:19 AM ET | Comments (0)

Exit Polls: Clinton's Win Broad and Deep

Hillary Rodham Clinton won voters across the board in Puerto Rico even as women made up a lower percentage of voters than in any previous nominating contest. --Jon Cohen

Posted on June 1, 2008 at 06:08 PM ET | Comments (0)

The Impact of Wright

Public polling has revealed several potentially troubling trends for Barack Obama's campaign over the past few days.

Posted on April 29, 2008 at 03:43 PM ET | Comments (0)

The Pa. Expectations Game

It is zero hour in Pennsylvania, and another opportunity to test the mettle of pollsters taking last minute reads of Democratic primary voters. --Jon Cohen

Posted on April 22, 2008 at 10:54 AM ET | Comments (0)

Voter Views on McCain's Temperament

Cross-posted from Behind the Numbers.

Posted on April 21, 2008 at 02:35 PM ET | Comments (51)

Clinton Lead in Pa. Dwindles

Hillary Clinton's Pennsylvania lead has dwindled to six points, according to a new statewide survey of likely Democratic primary voters. --Jon Cohen

Posted on April 8, 2008 at 02:35 PM ET | Comments (0)

Clinton Keeps Her Pa. Lead

Hillary Clinton holds a 9-point lead in the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. But it is the survey's general election numbers from three key swing states that may do more to bolster the New York senator's campaign. --Jon Cohen

Posted on April 2, 2008 at 02:17 PM ET | Comments (0)

McCain Democrats? Putting a Survey in Historical Context

By Jon Cohen Democrats afraid their party will suffer from the extended primary battle point...

Posted on March 27, 2008 at 06:05 PM ET | Comments (15)

New Pennsylvania Poll Shows Slim Clinton Lead

A new poll shows Hillary Clinton hanging to a slim lead in Pennsylvania, highlighting the breadth of Barack Obama's newfound appeal and the challenges Clinton faces should the race for the Democratic nomination reach the Keystone State. --Jon Cohen

Posted on February 27, 2008 at 11:50 AM ET | Comments (98)

Independents? In Florida?

By Jon Cohen Independents helped lift John McCain to victory in Florida. Really. As widely...

Posted on January 31, 2008 at 05:33 PM ET | Comments (0)

Exit Polls: How McCain Won

Updated 11:20 p.m. By Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta Network exit polls out of Florida...

Posted on January 29, 2008 at 07:00 PM ET | Comments (0)

Obama 2008 vs. Jackson 1988

Former Pres. Bill Clinton caused a stir this week by comparing Barack Obama's success in South Carolina to Jesse Jackson's in 1988 and 1984. But an analysis of the data shows that, while there are some similarities, Obama has already crossed racial divides in his presidential bid that Jackson never did.--Jon Cohen

Posted on January 28, 2008 at 01:14 PM ET | Comments (0)

Obama Landslide Despite Racial Split in S.C.

As expected, Democratic voters in today's South Carolina primary were largely split along racial lines, with Barack Obama picking up overwhelming support among African Americans and a more competitive, three-way race for white voters, according to the National Election Pool exit poll. --Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta

Posted on January 26, 2008 at 08:24 PM ET | Comments (12)

New Racial Dynamic in S.C.

The racial divide has deepened in South Carolina, with Barack Obama leading Hillary Clinton by a wide margin among African Americans, but badly trailing both Clinton and John Edwards among white voters. And underneath the chasm in vote preferences in the new McClatchy-MSNBC poll by Mason-Dixon, there are signs of other, potentially irreconcilable differences. --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 25, 2008 at 04:36 PM ET | Comments (16)

Can Giuliani Turn it Around?

Polls forecast a tough road to the nomination for Republican Rudy Giuliani.(Getty Images). By Jon...

Posted on January 23, 2008 at 05:54 PM ET | Comments (22)

Behind McCain's Win

Arizona Sen. John McCain won the South Carolina GOP primary, losing only the party's most conservative voters and doing significantly better among evangelicals than he did in Iowa. --Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta

Posted on January 20, 2008 at 09:03 AM ET | Comments (0)

A Tale of Two Electorates

Arizona Sen. John McCain and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee are in a close race for the top spot in South Carolina, with McCain winning moderate and liberal GOP voters and Huckabee excelling among religious conservatives, according to preliminary network exit poll data. --Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta

Posted on January 19, 2008 at 08:10 PM ET | Comments (0)

Gender Gap Benefits Clinton

In her Nevada caucus win today, Hillary Rodham Clinton benefited from a sizable gender gap and big turnout from mainline Democrats. According to the network's entrance poll , women made up 59 percent of all caucusgoers, and went for Clinton over Illinois senator Barack Obama by a wide margin (51 percent to 38 percent). --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 19, 2008 at 04:48 PM ET | Comments (0)

Mormons, Party Regulars Fuel Romney Success

A quarter of GOP caucusgoers were Mormon, according to the network's poll, and they broke overwhelmingly for Romney, himself a Mormon.--Jon Cohen

Posted on January 19, 2008 at 02:03 PM ET | Comments (0)

Burned Once Before in the Granite State

By Jon Cohen "America's beleaguered pollsters know exactly how Dole felt in 1996 after losing...

Posted on January 12, 2008 at 10:54 AM ET | Comments (0)

The Invisible Primary Voter: Evangelical Democrats

Since nearly eight in 10 white evangelicals voted for President Bush in 2004, Democrats have been plowing thought, money and time into changing the story line. They have faith advisers, faith forums and faith strategies that show there is such a thing as a progressive evangelical. So imagine their annoyance when exit polls in Iowa and New Hampshire asked only Republican voters if they consider themselves "born-again" or evangelical. --Michelle Boorstein and Jon Cohen

Posted on January 10, 2008 at 05:29 PM ET | Comments (0)

What if the Polls Were Right?

By Jon Cohen Democratic Pollster Peter Hart has a contrarian view on the latest polling...

Posted on January 9, 2008 at 07:55 PM ET | Comments (28)

About Those Democratic Polls

Yesterday's Democratic result is sure to fuel debate among poll-watchers about the accuracy of polls in contests with African American candidates. --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 9, 2008 at 12:55 AM ET | Comments (50)

Numbers Shift in Advance of N.H. Primary

On the eve of the New Hampshire primary, a slew of new polls. Go figure. --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 7, 2008 at 07:59 PM ET | Comments (3)

Younger Iowans Were More Ideological, Survey Shows

A detailed look at what happened in Iowa.

Posted on January 7, 2008 at 02:32 PM ET | Comments (1)

Obama Takes the Lead in N.H.

Sen. Barack Obama (Ill.) has jumped to a double-digit lead in New Hampshire with two days to go, neutralizing New York senator Hillary Rodham Clinton's onetime advantage among female voters, according to two state polls released today. --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 6, 2008 at 09:26 PM ET | Comments (0)

Clinton, Obama Tied in NH; McCain Leads GOP Field

The first CNN-University of New Hampshire-WMUR poll taken after the Iowa caucuses shows Illinois Sen. Barack Obama and New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton still in a tight battle for the Democratic primary, while on the Republican side, Arizona Sen. John McCain has taken his first lead since April. McCain holds a narrow, six percentage point, lead over the GOP field, supported by 33 percent of likely primary voters in the new poll to 27 percent for former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney. --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 5, 2008 at 07:08 PM ET | Comments (0)

Change Trumps Experience in Iowa

The Iowa caucuses are typically low-turnout affairs that are notoriously hard to predict, but this year, pre-election polls accurately captured the underlying dynamics of both party's contests. Illinois Sen. Barack Obama appealed to a change-oriented Democratic electorate, while former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee won the GOP race in large by picking up significant support among evangelicals. --Jon Cohen and Jennifer Agiesta

Posted on January 3, 2008 at 11:07 PM ET | Comments (0)

About That Independent Turnout

Questions about the validity of entrance polls.

Posted on January 3, 2008 at 09:01 AM ET | Comments (7)

Obama, Huckabee Lead Register Poll

Among Democrats, Barack Obama holds a 7-point lead over Hillary Clinton and an 8-point advantage over John Edwards -- outside the margin of sampling error for the first time in this poll. On the GOP side, Mike Huckabee is up six points over Mitt Romney, 32 percent to 26 percent, with John McCain well back in third place at 13 percent. A month ago, Huckabee stood at 29 percent, Romney at 24 percent. --Jon Cohen

Posted on January 1, 2008 at 10:00 AM ET | Comments (70)

Iowa: Nearly 80,000 polled

When Iowans return home Thursday evening after the caucuses, they'll be greeted by an uncommon quiet: no pollsters or campaigns will be calling. --Jon Cohen

Posted on December 30, 2007 at 02:04 PM ET | Comments (7)

The Missing Oprah Bounce

More than eight in 10 Democrats said Oprah Winfrey's endorsement would not make any difference come primary day. --Jennifer Agiesta

Posted on December 11, 2007 at 06:22 PM ET | Comments (0)

War Top Issue Now, Could Shift By '08

While polls show voters are most concerned about the war in Iraq, previous election cycles indicate that the focus could shift by the time those voters cast their ballots.

Posted on September 12, 2007 at 12:53 PM ET | Comments (1)

In Line, But Out of Step With Public?

At a candidate forum at Howard University, Democrats decried a Supreme Court decision on...

Posted on August 16, 2007 at 03:55 PM ET | Comments (4)


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