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A Saturday Not-Live Debate

Governor

After much posturing by their respective camps, Maryland's two leading gubernatorial candidates agreed yesterday to participate in a debate held hosted by a Baltimore television station. But viewers won't get to see it until a couple of days after it happens.

Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R) and Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley (D) are scheduled to tape the debate on Saturday, Oct. 14, said Jay Newman, vice president and general manager of WJZ TV, the CBS affiliate in Baltimore. He said the debate would probably air Oct. 16.

Numerous details remain to be worked out, including whether reporters will be allowed to cover the event live and whether viewers in other parts of the state will have an opportunity to watch it.

The agreement was announced yesterday afternoon after the campaigns accused each other of ducking debates. Hours earlier, O'Malley told reporters in Baltimore that "the governor is afraid to do a televised debate, so he continues to run away."

For weeks, Ehrlich's team has held firm in its desire to finish debates by mid-October so the governor can spent the final weeks of the race interacting with voters.

As of yesterday morning, aides said the governor was willing to join in two live televised debates next week, before his imposed deadline. O'Malley aides said the mayor's schedule would not permit that, but he was eager to participate in debates until the election Nov. 7, including one held by the NAACP.

"We're looking forward to getting on with it, to debating the issues and not debating debates," O'Malley spokesman Rick Abbruzzese said yesterday, adding that the mayor would have preferred the WJZ debate be broadcast live.

Ehrlich spokeswoman Shareese DeLeaver said her side was happy to have one debate scheduled and declined to speak about the prospect for others.

Ehrlich and O'Malley have shared a stage twice, in untelevised forums with limited opportunity for direct interaction.
Ehrlich's running mate, Kristen Cox, meanwhile, experienced an awkward moment yesterday in a forum before the AARP in Cambridge, when she seemed to suggest that the gas tax had been raised under Ehrlich. It has not.

Prince George's Del. Anthony G. Brown (D), O'Malley's running mate, had just finished ticking off tax and fee increases under Ehrlich when Cox took her turn to speak.

She noted that Ehrlich inherited a large backlog of transportation projects and said: "There had been no inflationary adjustment to the gas tax for years. That was one thing. ..... It was a painful decision to make, but we had to make some difficult decisions."

John Wagner

By Phyllis Jordan  |  October 5, 2006; 8:59 AM ET
Categories:  Governor  
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Next: Ehrlich's Running Mate Choice

Comments

O'Malley is dropping like a rock in the polls, his lead is down from 20 plus points to just 4 points, he's almost out of cash, he's so desperate that he's had to beg City Council members for their money, Ehrlich is about to drop the hammer on him by spending a few million to finish him off. This is gonna be great to watch, Ehrlich's going to do a classic good ol' Balmer whoopin on him, I can't wait.

Posted by: ron | October 5, 2006 11:30 AM | Report abuse

It's a shame the people for these important offices can't debate more often. The voters want to see debates so they can compare and contrast and make an unfiltered choice. In Montgomery County Leggett convinced the Chamber of Commerce (Developers) to cancel their long scheduled post-primary county executive debate. They endorsed him. Watch the developer money for which he criticized Silverman start to flow to Leggett. I don't accept developer dollars. The Post's interest in developer money has subsided since the man they want to crown won the primary.

Posted by: Robin Ficker Independent for Montgomery County Executive | October 5, 2006 11:32 AM | Report abuse

Ron, if your man Ehrlich is about ready to drop anything, it's going to be the fact that he can't handle the campaign. Why else he is really afraid to have debates? Why shut off debates by mid-October? Why have all of these stipulations, unless he's completely insecure with his current position? And, if O'Malley is about ready to lose, why is it that EVERY poll taken, internal or external, has O'Malley ahead while Ehrlich's approval is above 50 percent? Says to me that they may like Ehrlich but they trust O'Malley better. Kind of pathetic that your man has got to send out dollar bills to get money and completely make up malicious and phony allegations and then request a taped debate.

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 12:08 PM | Report abuse

JD-- Just like O'Malley, Kathleen Kennedy Townsend led Ehrlich in all the polls until several weeks before the election. Of course, KKT led Ehrlich by alot more than O'Malley leads him at this same exact point in the election. And Ehrlich has alot more to spend this time around. All the trends point to Ehrlich winning, his job approval is up to about 60 percent in the latest poll by the way, FYI. Ehrlich will win it when the final gun goes off. Of course, he'll have to rough up O'Malley some more first. I can't wait.

Posted by: ron | October 5, 2006 12:53 PM | Report abuse

Ron, you're right on with your analysis. The rap on O'Malley always has been that he has a very weak chin and cannot take a punch. Ehrlich is about to expose that and will take O'Malley down very hard.

Posted by: tim | October 5, 2006 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Ron & Tim, actually several weeks before the election, both Ehrlich and Townsend were tied; she was not ahead. And what trend lines are you referring to? All trend lines have Ehrlich in the low 40s? And, as you claim, he has an approval rating of 60 percent, why would he then be performing 15 percent below his approval? The problem with you repugs is that you can't think for yourselves without drinking Bush/Ehrlich's cool aid. Fortunately, the American people are waking up to this kind of leadership, and in just a few weeks, people like you will be left wondering how you have sunk so low.

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 1:24 PM | Report abuse

At this point in time the polls were tied. In fact, some polls were showing Ehrlich ahead. He was up by 28% in the Baltimore region. Today he's up by around 4%. He hasnt led in a single poll since January and has yet to break out of the low 40's in months. He 2 million of his campaign war chest on negative attack ads and still cant break 45%, despite the fact that he's an incumbent.

Sorry Ron, Bob's doneski.

Posted by: Sorry Ron | October 5, 2006 1:26 PM | Report abuse

"The problem with you repugs is that you can't think for yourselves without drinking Bush/Ehrlich's cool aid."

And again the hateful nature of the Left show up. Geez, you folks still think you can win an election on nothing more than "We aren't George W. Bush."

I might have to hold my nose and vote for Ehrlich just to slap these fools down a bit.

Posted by: Rufus | October 5, 2006 1:28 PM | Report abuse

Oh, Rufus, woe is me! How does it feel to be completely outnumbered, not just in the state but in the entire country? It must be pretty hard to hold your nose, considering all of the pollution you and your environmental-killing, SUV-driving right wingers have caused. And thanks for the post who speaks the truth about the state of this race. The fact that Ehrlich is practically tied with O'Malley in the Baltimore suburbs means he'll win, hands down. Seems that all of the money he has on hand he's sending out to his voters, bribing them to come to the polls. It might be a good move, considering he's got to to do something to get his voters to the polls, especially since the party has covered the pedophile Foley scandal.

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 1:42 PM | Report abuse

Not so fast, JD. You're just wrong about last time, KKT was further ahead than O'Malley at this point and she still lost. And Ehrlich has alot more money this time around plus he's the incumbent. If O'Malley's got it wrapped up as you say, then why on earth is he begging Ehrlich for debates. I think that Ehrlich's campaign manager is much better than you give him credit for, the fact is that all the trends point to an Ehlrich win and that he is in the driver's seat and it is O'Malley who is playing defense now about his decisions which led to bankrupting Baltimore City schools and placing them on a federal watchlist, manipulating crime stats, etc. Don't look now but O'Malley's ready to go right over the cliff.

Posted by: Ron | October 5, 2006 1:54 PM | Report abuse

Ron, once again, you Republicans have a memory lapse. Take a look at these links: the first is from a poll taken in SEPTEMBER, which shows Ehrlich LEADING KKT. This clearly disputes your claim that Ehrlich was behind at this point during this leg of the campaign.

http://www.garesearch.com/Surveys/MD_Media_Sept_02_Pt_1.htm

The second link is of a poll taken a couple of weeks before election day, and it shows Ehrlich once again LEADING KKT. This proves my point that you don't know what you're talking about when it comes to polls.

http://www.garesearch.com/Surveys/MD%20Media%20Oct%202002.htm

And--for the record--to further discredit you, the average of the last five publicly released polls on the Gov's race has O'Malley ahead 50-42, an eight point spread.

Why is it I am able to substantiate my claims with FACTS and all you and your right-wing friends can put forth is lies, slander, and rhetoric.

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 2:18 PM | Report abuse

JD, you have just selectively cited a couple of Gonzales outlier polls showing Ehrlich ahead by just 1 point. There were other polls showing him way behind (much like this time with O'Malley), including polls from the Balimore Sun, which, of course, you have conveniently overlooked. Those are the facts. By the way, did you see the front page article in the Baltimore Sun today about African-American voters staying home and not voting for O'Malley or even switching to Ehrlich, it looks like Billy Murphy's ad for Ehrlich is proving quite effective.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 5, 2006 2:33 PM | Report abuse

Well, the reasoning behind selecting the Gonzalez poll was because that is really the only respectable poll in MD, at least according to you right-wingers, who deride the Sun and Post polls. And, the Gonzalez poll proved to be accurate, considering Ehrlich won by only a few points. The internals of that poll are interesting, speaking to the fact that Ehrlich led huge in Baltimore suburbs, but now he's even with O'Malley in that region. You can't deny that. Can you explain how Ehrlich is going to make that up?
As for the Baltimore Sun article, of course I read it, and actually thought the meeting was quite productive. I will admit the Dem party needs to do much better about nominating African-Americans, especially in MD. Personally, I voted for both Simms and Mfume. But, where else did the Repubs nominate another black candidate in MD, outside of Steele? Or, even better yet, name an elected black Republican in the MD legislature? Name an elected black Republican in the US Senate or House of Representatives? Name an elected black Republican as Governor? The truth is, outside of Steele, there is no one in your party who fits the bill, and even his qualifications are for the dogs. Both Blackwell and Swann in Ohio and PA respectively are getting trounced and the Dems are poised to have another black Senator, from Tennessee, no less, and a black Governor from Massachusetts.

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 2:45 PM | Report abuse

Ron, you are the one being selective. Go back and actually read the Sun poll you keep referencing. Ehrlich was up 28% in the Baltimore area at this point vs KKT in 2002. He's only by 4% right now. If he doesnt come out of that area with a huge lead, he mathematically cannot win, sorry.

The Gonzales poll along with Survey USA, Rasmussen, and Mason Dixon showed this race as a dead heat/slight-lead for Ehrlich in mid October. Obviously, we're not there yet, but only 1-2 weeks away.

And your blatantly lying about the article in the Sun today. It said that there is a possibility, not a fact that AA turnout will be low. You're nuts if you think they will swing to Ehrlich, at best they stay home.

Murhpy and his ad were a disaster he went on WBAL the next day and compared the BCPD to Hitler. He's a complete loon and now he's lost all credibility.

You make a great point about Ehrlich being the incumbent though. The fact that he's the incumbent and has attacked his opponent on TV, radio, and mail for 3 months, but still cannot break 45% is downright pathetic.

Bob's doneski, sorry.

PS- he wont debate because he's afraid he'll take another whoopin just like he did at the AARP as confirmed by a neighbor who attended the event and just so happens to be a Ehrlich supporter. He's terrible in debates and Q&A sessions while O'Malley is in his comfort zone.

Posted by: Ron, Ron, Ron... | October 5, 2006 2:57 PM | Report abuse

Just to add this comment about Ehrlich's debating skills . . . in the sole debate he had with KKT in 2002, he got his butt whooped beyond imaginable. I firmly believe if that debate had been broacasted on one of the major local networks, people would have seen what a complete jerk a pugnacious jock he is. And while we're talking about debates, his running mate, who is blind to Ehrlich's lies, too, can't even get the facts straight about her own administration! Truth is, when it comes to the facts, the Republicans can't dispute them.

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 3:03 PM | Report abuse

JD- refering to the gas tax gaffe? If so, lmao, I know what you mean.

Posted by: Run, Ron, Run.... | October 5, 2006 3:06 PM | Report abuse

Ron Cubed--yes, that's what I'm referring to. But, she's made similar gaffes before, not being able to answer questions, or declaring that she's unfamiliar with the Governor's positions, etc. Sounds to me like she's super qualified, considering she's following in Steele's footsteps!

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 3:23 PM | Report abuse

"Murhpy and his ad were a disaster he went on WBAL the next day and compared the BCPD to Hitler. He's a complete loon and now he's lost all credibility."

I doubt that your depiction of Murphy sits well with Baltimore City's or PG county's African-American community. Murphy hit a home run with his ad, which is why O'Malley's camp is so panicked and desperately seeking $$$ from city council members now that O'Malley's campaign is almost bankrupt. Ehrlich's about to drop a multimillion dollar campaign ad blitz square on O'Malley and finish his political career off once and for all.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 5, 2006 3:29 PM | Report abuse

You haven't yet debunked why Ehrlich is actually soliciting votes by sending out dollar bills? As a fundraising ploy? Why, when, as you say, he has so much money in the bank?

Republicans always have much more money than Dems, simply because they have more millionaire contributors, since they favor those at the top of the ladder instead of those at the middle or bottom.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 5, 2006 3:31 PM | Report abuse

Ehrlich's dollar bill ploy is a common, standard fundraising ploy in marketing. His campaign did it last time in 2002 when he won. They're just trotting it out again here. Using that ploy doesn't detract from his huge lead in the money chase over O'Malley, it just adds to his lead. By the way, most of Ehrlich's contributors are regular people, not millionaires as you incorrectly suggest. It's O'Malley with ties to the elite, O'Malley's even gone to Hollywood to raise money because he can't raise enough from average Marylanders. O'Malley's campaign is in free fall.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 5, 2006 3:42 PM | Report abuse

If it's technically considered a typical campaign ploy, when they is it possibly illegal? Ehrlich and the Republicans doing something illegal? Shocker!

Once again, the facts don't square with your rhetoric. According to the public information provided through UMBC, if you conduct a search of Bob Ehrlich's campaign for out-of-state contributors, you'll see that he has received $3.2 million. Same search for O'Malley has him receiving $3 million. Seems that BOTH candidates are receiving money from out-of-state donors, but, contrary to your claims, Ehrlich has received more than O'Malley. And, if you also conduct another search, you'll see that the average Ehrlich contribution compared to O'Malley's is much larger, because, guess what, he gets his money from MILLIONAIRES!
Check it our for yourself:

http://mdelections.umbc.edu/campaign_finance/index.php

Posted by: JD | October 5, 2006 4:00 PM | Report abuse

Why isn't Edward Miller's ( Governer ERlich's Chief of staff) role in the Abramoff scandels Being investigated by the Maryland legisture?
He certainly makes Mihel Steele's comments about Washington lobbiest Dirty money dubiest at best.

Posted by: GEorge Broadbent | October 5, 2006 9:42 PM | Report abuse

JD:I am a fan of blogger Merlin whose October 3 blog is certainly revealing. It's pasted below:

EHRLICH TO IMPORT GLOVES FROM CHINA

Ehrlich's recent infamous "dollar bill" campaign solicitation that "time is running out, and my campaign war chest is quickly evaporating as we buy advertising and expand our voter outreach efforts across the state," says it all. Ehrlich's campaign is in bad shape. He has spent too much too fast. $7.3 million has gone down the tube in nasty TV advertising and a direct mail campaign to destroy Martin O'Malley but no results.

After burning two thirds of his campaign treasury one month before the election, Ehrlich cannot be expected to wage a fair fight against Martin O'Malley. Ehrlich has to wait until gloves from China arrive. Efforts are underway to infuse huge sums of laundered money into Ehrlich campaign. Benjamin Wu, a former Assistant Secretary at the Commerce Department, who was tasked in Maryland by Karl Rove, is working overtime to keep cash flowing into Ehrlich's campaign. PACS associated with foreign governments and gambling/prostitution interests are being contacted a second time.

The direct mailing flier, "FBI is investigating Martin O'Malley's Leadership of the Police Department" has backfired and hurt Ehrlich the most. Voters have begun to view Ehrlich as a slick or crooked politician unlike his "likeable" image. Ehrlich knows that the negative campaign did not help him at all so he has released a new "positive" TV spot.

It appears that the game is up for Ehrlich because Karl Rove's blue print for Maryland is now in possession of democrats. The workbook identifies local players, spells out strategies that show how to use, influence (bribe) and bring faith-based communities to polling booths on Election Day. During the last three years, the Ehrlich administration has skillfully poured millions of dollars into PG, Montgomery and Baltimore counties through Economic Development and faith-based grants. Republican ingenuity in using State funds for their political gains can easily be tracked on the road ways: Gleaming vans/cars flaunting names of churches or non-profit groups carry people to republican events and are actively involved in the GOP's voter outreach initiative.

O'Malley, a smarter and battle hardened candidate is all set to demolish Ehrlich during the debates. It is safe to predict a double digit victory for Martin O'Malley in Maryland where Democrats outnumber Republicans 2 to 1. Based on an analysis of primary votes that Martin and Ehrlich got in Montgomery, Prince Georges and Baltimore Counties, one should not be surprised if the margin goes over 15% on November 7.


Posted by: Merlin | October 3, 2006 0

Posted by: Sam | October 5, 2006 9:47 PM | Report abuse

I'm still laughing at JD's nonsensical whine about right-wingers and their SUV's! So JD, did you walk to work today? No? So it's OK for you to kill the environment, eh? Own an air conditioner? MURDERER!

Hypocritical leftist nitwittery at it's finest!

Posted by: Rufus | October 6, 2006 8:20 AM | Report abuse

OMG- O'Malley and Cardin are finished. They're both bankrupt and going down hard. Here comes the ad blitz -- thats already been present for 3 months -- its all over folks.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2006-10-05-maryland-races.htm

Wait a second, they both lead by wide margins. Whats going on here?

Posted by: : | October 6, 2006 8:59 AM | Report abuse

Actually, Ehrlich's just start his add blitz and you'll see him begin to go after O'Malley much harder and in a much more personal way regarding the Mayor's conduct. Should be alot of fun to watch. Ehrlich has almost caught O'Malley and he has alot more to spend, especially in the last month of the campaign which is the most critical time of all when people start really paying closer attention.

Posted by: ron | October 6, 2006 10:43 AM | Report abuse

Do you purposely ignore headlines, polls, etc. that you do not like or do not play into your arguement?

I just posted that latest poll #'s.

O'Malley and Cardin are stomping Ehrlich and Steele, respectively.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2006-10-05-maryland-races.htm

Click the link my friend, it wont bite, I swear.

Posted by: Ron the robot | October 6, 2006 11:53 AM | Report abuse

Ataboy Ron the robot! Keep them straight.

Posted by: Le | October 6, 2006 12:38 PM | Report abuse

MSNBC poll showing O'Malley leading by just 4 points, which is within the margin of error so his lead is statistically insignficant. So in other words, it's a dead heat. All the trends are pointing to Ehrlich winning this things. He's got more $$$, alot more $$$$, and he's been narrowing O'Malley's lead over the past few months and will soon pass him. http://msnbc.msn.com/id/15047026/

Posted by: tim | October 6, 2006 1:52 PM | Report abuse

Your spin is weak. The MSNBC poll is dated (9/26/2006).

You choose to ignore the latest polling because it doesnt fit your agenda.

Here it is again, the LATEST poll-

http://www.usatoday.com/news/polls/tables/live/2006-10-05-maryland-races.htm

All the trends point to Bobby stuck in the low 40's, which happens to be terrible for an incumbent with less than 5 weeks to go. Actually its god awful.

Bob's doneski.

Posted by: Sorry little timmy | October 6, 2006 2:27 PM | Report abuse

Great website for this sort of debate...

http://www.pollster.com/polls/?state=MD&race=governor_race

Posted by: Anonymous | October 6, 2006 2:52 PM | Report abuse

ASK GOVERNOR EHRLICH: WHY HE SWITCHED HOTELS IN CHINA?

If Ehrlich goes after O'Malley, then it will be fair game to look at Governor's personal conduct during his overseas trips.

Yes! It will be "fun" to watch Ehrlich's
pictures popping up all over the internet when he was abroad. Why doesn't someone ask Governor Ehrlich about his switching hotels in China?

Tell Ehrlich about this blog and see the sweat appearing on his face!! Just ask about activities in Macau and Hongkong.

Posted by: Merlin | October 6, 2006 2:56 PM | Report abuse

The MSNBC poll showing the Ehrlich/O'Malley race statistically even is dated 9/26, as you conceded. You have cited a USA Today poll taken between 9/27 and 10/1. I think that any reasonable person would conclude that two polls done within only 5 days of one another are both equally current. So your position that the poll done 5 days later is somehow more reliable doesn't really hold water or make sense. And the trends do point in Ehrlich's favor. He's got a lot more money to spend that O'Malley. And Ehrlich's approval is now up to 60 percent, when it had been in the low 50s until recently.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 6, 2006 3:22 PM | Report abuse

Oh my God! I read somewhere, Macau is notorious for child sex tourism.

Posted by: Shirley | October 7, 2006 4:16 PM | Report abuse

The race is now a dead heat. Hard to argue that, but the O'Malley surrogates continue to spew this nonsense that he's destroying Ehrlich. He was up 17-21 points just 6 months ago and he's up 4 now. It'll be tied in two weeks.

And why is O'Malley afraid to debate on the radio? He rejected Ehrlich's call for 4 radio debates (the hosts were 2 from MOM-leaning side, 2 from BE-leaning side).

As for the WaPo talking about the Cox comment--did they miss Anthony Brown in the Gazette? C'mon Phyllis and John--Anthony Brown had a huge verbal gaffe in the Gazette. He went on a little tirade about he wanted to expand the purple line from New Carrolton down to Springfield, VA. He says they plan to build a second Potomac crossing in MoCo and that they also plan to build a 2nd Bay Bridge. Wilson bridge how many billion now just to expand it? And Anthony Brown wants to just build another bridge on the Potomac, then another metro bridge (or more expensive underground), build the metro oh another 10-15 miles (it'd have to be underground), and another Bay Bridge....

Well we could pay for all of that if we doubled our sales tax, increased our income tax by 80%, increased our gas tax 10 cents a gallon and increased our state property taxes 50%--all at the same time. Yep, that's the O'Malley-Brown plan.

Posted by: Bryan | October 9, 2006 8:39 AM | Report abuse

Bryan:

Twenty-eight days are left for Governor Ehrlich to be booted out from the State House. Ehrlich's negative radio advertising did not work, Martin O'Malley continues to surge.

The Gallup polls find him 12 and 14 pt ahead among likely and registered voters. Ehrlich is finished in Baltimore suburbs. He cannot expect much in Montgomery and Prince George's counties. Despite all odds, Martin is doing fine financially. He has raised $13 million compared to $17 million of Bob Ehrlich.

Posted by: Sam | October 9, 2006 1:36 PM | Report abuse

Again, recent MSNBC poll showing O'Malley leading by just 4 points, which is within the margin of error so his lead is statistically insignficant. So in other words, it's a dead heat. Look for Ehrlich to move ahead in the next 2 weeks. It's gonna be great. http://msnbc.msn.com/id/15047026/

Posted by: Anonymous | October 9, 2006 5:39 PM | Report abuse

MSNBC - McClatchy Maryland Poll

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 22 through September 26, 2006.

Now, the only choice left for Governor Bob Ehrlich and the first lady Kendal, is to move Macau, open a massage parlor and do "whatever he does" during his frequent East Asian trips. Hey! It is legal there.

Posted by: Sam | October 10, 2006 12:20 PM | Report abuse

Bryan - How is it hard to argue? Ehrlich is the incumbent, hasnt broke 45% since January, hasnt led in a single poll since January, the race is static at O'Malley +5-7, Ehrlich's multi-million dollar ad buy and direct mail campaign has failed, O'Malley's favorables are just as high as Ehrlich's, and again 20 or so consecutive polls show the challenger leading. I would hardly call it a dead heat. Its O'Malley's to lose, but weirder thing have happend.

Thanks for playing though.

Posted by: Hard to argue what? | October 10, 2006 1:58 PM | Report abuse

"20 or so consecutive polls show the challenger leading."

Actually, that's wrong. The very recent MSNBC poll listed above shows that the race is a dead heat, with Ehrlich and O'Malley now tied.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 10, 2006 2:23 PM | Report abuse

The MOST recent poll conducted by Gallup shows O'Malley leading by 12 points. Let me guess. That poll obviously concludes that this race is a dead heat (give or take 12 points)?

I also suggest you learn how to read. 43-43, 44-44, 45-45, 46-46, 47-47. Those numbers indicate a race that is tied. The poll you referenced has the race at 47-43. The MOE is 4%, but you cannot assume your candidate automatically receives that 4%. At least not in a reality-based world. But I should have known not to expect more from you. You live in a fantasy world where an incumbent sitting in the low 40's who hasnt led in 6 months is still somehow in good shape. You also live in a world were 47-43 = tied, because you say so. Come back to reality, my son...

Posted by: Come back, my son, come back... | October 10, 2006 2:43 PM | Report abuse

My only point is that in the recent MSNBC poll the race is statistically a dead heat because it's within the margin of error. You have conceded this in your last email, so we actually are in agreement about what that poll shows.

Posted by: Anonymous | October 10, 2006 2:53 PM | Report abuse

I get these polling calls at least once per week and I never give them the correct answers because they do not have a right to know.

This is very common and it is also why the Dems lead going into the election and the Republics are declared the winners the next day.

Posted by: Rufus | October 11, 2006 7:36 AM | Report abuse

Notice O'Malley is now going more and more negative. O'Malley will soon be out of cash. Ehrlich has him on the ropes and is about to unload the knockout punch. It's gonna be great.

Posted by: Ron | October 11, 2006 8:58 AM | Report abuse

O'Malley has ruined almost every agency in the city. How about all the scandals, Dept of Public Works, City Police Department bogus Homicide numbers, school system. Not to mention his escapades and unfaithful acts. Why would anyone with a brain want this guy to do to the state what he has done to the city? Citistat cripples the city, and Statestat will cripple the state. Wake up people, O'Malley needs to go! He's a showman, not a leader. Drive through Baltimore City and you will see Bloodymore, Murderland tagged on the walls. What's that say to you?

Posted by: city employee | October 12, 2006 7:12 PM | Report abuse

It's been awhile since I lived in Maryland, when we left Ehrlich just beat the snot out of KKT, that live debate was hilarious! Her heckelers, that she brought to boo Ehrlich even walked out on her in embarrassment. Anyway has anyone else noticed that entering Baltimore City from the South, you can tell exactly when you leave Baltimore County and enter city limits, it's the potholes!! I'll bet those are still there. KKT had spent nearly $18 mil reveiewing whether or not the roads needed fixed and still wanted to spend at least that much more to analyze the roads, note I said analyze, not fix! Where did the money go? In the debate she had about 5 lines memorized for the whole debate, none of which answered the question at hand but were your copy of your standard rhetorical answers from the left. Ehrlich wiped the floor with KKT all because he had answers to the questions. It'd be awesome to have a copy of that debate, and even better to see history repeat itself in the O'Malley vs. Ehrlich debate! Maybe we can see it on youtube.com.

Posted by: CM | November 1, 2006 10:27 PM | Report abuse

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