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Forecasting the Election


With the latest polls showing both the Maryland governor and U.S. Senate races tight if not tied, pundits across the nation are weighing in on how tomorrow's election will turnout.

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball predicts a victory for both Democrats: Baltimore Mayor Martin O'Malley for governor and Rep. Benjamin Cardin for U.S. Senate.

On the National Journal's Hotline race rankings, analyst Chuck Todd today says Republican Gov. Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. is slightly less likely to lose and Lt. Gov. Michael S. Steele is slightly more likely to win the open Senate seat.

Then there's the anxious bunch who worries that with a record number of absentee ballots out, we won't know a result for several days.

Tell us your predictions for the percentage breakdown in the governor and Senate races, and after the dust settles, we'll see who comes closest. For a tiebreaker, predict the black turnout.

By Phyllis Jordan  |  November 6, 2006; 12:00 PM ET
Categories:  Governor  
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