Miller: Ehrlich unlikely to run for governor again
Everyone in Annapolis, it seems, has an opinion about whether former governor Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R) will run again next year.
Tuesday morning, Senate President Thomas V. Mike MIller Jr. (D-Calvert) offered his.
"I don't think he's going to run," Miller said, unprompted, during an apperance before a group of Maryland superintendents meeting in Annapolis.
Miller said he does not know whether Ehrlich will seek a rematch with Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) but ticked off several factors that he is no doubt weighing. Among them:
* In 2006, Ehrlich was the only incumbent governor from either party who lost in the general election.
* Republicans did not pick up any seats in the House of Delegates or Senate after four years of Ehrlich's tenure. (In fact, they lost seats in the House.)
* Democrats have registered far more new party members in recent years than Republicans.
"He's really going to think two or three times before he runs again," Miller said of Ehrlich. "The obstacles before him are steeper."
Miller predicted that Ehrlich will wait until February or March before announcing a decision. That will give Ehrlich time to see how O'Malley is faring amid a new round of budget cuts, Miller said.
The Senate president noted that polling suggests that O'Malley leads Ehrlich by about 10 points in a hypothetical 2010 matchup.
Miller said Ehrlich has room to improve upon his 2006 performance in Baltimore County, which is home to many conservative Democrats, but said he would have a tougher time in Charles and Howard counties than before.
For his part, Ehrlich has given no firm timetable for making a decision. Other Republicans looking at the race are hoping to hear from him by the end of the year.
October 20, 2009; 11:20 AM ET
Categories: 2010 Elections , John Wagner
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