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O'Malley leads Ehrlich by 6 points in new poll

John Wagner

A new poll released Tuesday morning has Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) up by 6 percentage points over his leading Republican challenger, former governor Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R).

In the Center Maryland/OpinionWorks poll of likely voters, O'Malley leads Ehrlich 47 percent to 41 percent.

That is a somewhat larger margin than in other recent polls. O'Malley had a 3 percentage point lead in a poll released late last month by Gonzales Research and Marketing Strategies. A Rasmussen Reports poll last week declared the race a dead heat, with O'Malley leading by 1 percentage point.

The Center Maryland/OpinionWorks poll also found that 49 percent approve of the job O'Malley is doing as governor while 39 percent disapprove. Asked whether things in Maryland are headed in the "right direction" or "off on the wrong track," 40 percent said right direction while 42 percent said wrong track.

"These are not great numbers for Governor O'Malley considering the partisan tilt of the state, but on balance, he is still up," said Steve Raabe, president of Annapolis-based OpinionWorks, which conducted the poll with the nonprofit Center Maryland. "Dissatisfaction with O'Malley is not that intense. Particularly in these economic times, you would expect it to be worse."

The telephone poll of 600 likely voters was conducted Aug. 13 to Aug. 18 and was said to have a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

By John Wagner  |  August 24, 2010; 7:00 AM ET
Categories:  2010 Elections , John Wagner  
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Next: Ehrlich pushes 'no-brainer' military tax exemption


Ehrlich has a chance but just a tiny one.

Posted by: Hellmut | August 24, 2010 7:28 AM | Report abuse

ehrlich was voted out of office for a reason.
If Palin comes to Maryland and actively campaigns for Murphy, Ehrlich wont even win the republican nomination.

Posted by: MarilynManson | August 24, 2010 9:56 AM | Report abuse

According to the blog, Maryland Politics Watch, this is a bogus poll conducted by people who have given OMalley thousands of dollars for his campaign. The Center Maryland co founders can hardly be seen as objective pollsters. Why dosn't the Wapo disclose this obvious conflict of interest?

Posted by: VikingRider | August 24, 2010 11:12 AM | Report abuse

Come on Washington Post - You gotta to better. Here's the story from Maryland Politics Watch:

Both the Post and the Sun ran the results of a poll commissioned by Center Maryland showing Governor Martin O’Malley leading former Governor Bob Ehrlich by six points. But what neither newspaper reported is that Center Maryland is a PR site founded and run by former O’Malley staffers.

In January, we tracked $54,802 in political contributions made by the founders, with $21,312 going to O’Malley and 92% of the money headed to Democrats. Since then, Center Maryland co-founder Martin Knott has given $500 to Lieutenant Governor Anthony Brown (6/4/10) and $5,500 to O’Malley in three contributions (an apparent violation of campaign finance law that limits individual donations to $4,000 per candidate); co-founder Howard Libit has given $1,333.33 to O’Malley (in two contributions on 6/18/10 and 8/10/10); and co-founder Tom Loveland has given $500 to O’Malley (8/7/10). None of them gave money to Ehrlich this year. And all of these contributions were made while they were supposedly running a “news site” that reported “straight down the middle.”

This poll is an outlier as almost all the others find O’Malley and Ehrlich neck-and-neck. Given that fact and the above connections, the Post and the Sun should have disclosed the background of those who commissioned it to their readers.

Posted by: EIEAR | August 24, 2010 11:48 AM | Report abuse

Yesterday at the grocery store, I noticed more Murphy bumper stickers then Ehrlich bumper stickers on the cars in the parking lot.

When is the Post going to give Murphy some ink?

Posted by: MarilynManson | August 24, 2010 12:24 PM | Report abuse

Kendel Ehrlich has been doing some polling at various saloons, cocktail lounges, and country club bars throughout the state, someone should send a car to get her home.

Marty is so HOT! Bob Ehrlich reminds me of having constipation on a really hot, muggy day.

Posted by: SoCali | August 24, 2010 2:31 PM | Report abuse

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