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Ehrlich says Post poll is 'out of whack'

Washington Post Editors

Former Maryland governor Robert L. Ehrlich Jr. (R) dismissed a Washington Post poll published Wednesday that shows him trailing Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) by 11 percentage points, saying the findings are "so far out of whack" with any other public or private survey he has seen this election season.

"It's light years from what both sides I think know to be reality," Ehrlich told reporters following an event in Baltimore County, at which he chastised the O'Malley administration for not doing enough to ensure the voting rights of overseas military personnel from Maryland.

Ehrlich did not elaborate on any problems he saw with the poll or its methodology, saying it is his policy not to discuss polls.

Ehrlich was later asked what he thought about news that President Obama is coming to Maryland next month to campaign for O'Malley.

"I guess that kind of gives a lie to that poll," Ehrlich said, implying Obama would not be coming unless the race were far closer.

As for Obama's visit, Ehrlich said: "There's nothing unexpected there at all."

By John Wagner  | September 29, 2010; 11:30 AM ET
Categories:  2010 Elections  
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Will O'Malley fare better than Fenty?

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I think O'Malley will win. That's the perspective I'm operating with. But that doesn't mean the Post poll is accurate. Truth is, I don't know. What I do know is that the Post's polling in last year's governor's race in Virginia was indeed flawed and indeed out of whack. Post poll after Post poll consistently lowballed how far ahead McDonnell was. And to make it worse, at the same time the Post was trumpeting its own inaccurate polling, they were actively poo-pooing other polls that had a far more accurate grasp of the lay of the land. This was one of several reasons why the Post's performance in local political coverage last year was widely panned, and deservedly so.

Does this mean the O'Malley/Ehrlich poll is out of whack as Ehrlich suggests? No, it doesn't automatically mean that. But given the Post's documented polling screwups last year, Ehrlich's position shouldn't be summarily dismissed either. But as I said in the beginning, I'm of the view that it's a sideshow. Ehrlich's gonna lose, even if the Post poll is out of whack.

Posted by: mbcnewspaper | September 29, 2010 12:34 PM | Report abuse

Ehrlich is the one out of whack.

Maryland didn't want him last time and we don't want him this time either.

He'll have to find some other way of funding his retirement.

Posted by: MarilynManson | September 29, 2010 1:52 PM | Report abuse

So his policy is not to discuss anything, but to toss unsubstantiated sound-bites. Sounds familiar: he also likes to make promises with no information on HOW to afford them. When is this air-bag going to start giving the public details?
Hit-and-Run Ehrlich....

Posted by: allardcranston | September 29, 2010 3:01 PM | Report abuse

Okay, keep going with that theory and come back and talk to us after the election. He was fired with good cause and he should find some other way to support his family.

Posted by: Princey | September 29, 2010 3:27 PM | Report abuse

Obviously a Post poll is skewed to the left. This is basically giving an endorsement to O'Malley, without formally doing so, but under the "auspices" of a "poll". Hence, some of the pro-O'Malley comments above mine. There will be many more O'Malley defenders on here than Ehrlich, so of course there will be an 11 point difference in a poll. Just as if Fox News had a poll, it would be 11 points to Ehrlich. Putting a poll out on the post is akin to being a facebook like button for Martin.

Posted by: netbeagle | September 29, 2010 4:15 PM | Report abuse


So if the poll showed a close race or Ehrlich winning then its accurate? This is what we have become in america, a bunch of political hacks on only believe in our side. No one wants the truth unless its what they want to hear.

Posted by: ged0386 | September 29, 2010 4:33 PM | Report abuse

If the rest of country benefited from big government like the DC-Batimore area, dems would be talking about gaining seats not losing them. That said, Ehrlich probably has beef in that they probably use a likely voter filter which puts a lot of weight on 2006 and 2008. It's probably more like a 6-8 point advantage where indpendents could help Ehrlich pull it out. More likely he draws a respectable 45% of the vote.

Posted by: dummypants | September 29, 2010 5:29 PM | Report abuse

Just like on his endlessly banal radio show, the Bobster uses nothing like logic or facts to back up his out-of-whack assertion. I can name five things for which the Err-lick administration is/was known: what will be mile for mile the highest-priced toll road in America, politically inspired purges (google 'Ehrlich Steffen' for a refresher), slots slots slots, highest-priced MVA fees in the country, and -- wait for it -- Michael frickin Steele. Nuff said about why the Bobster's bound to lose. Good riddance to he, the wife and the kids come Nov. 2.

Posted by: MMinMd | September 29, 2010 5:54 PM | Report abuse

"Ehrlich did not elaborate".... that seems to be the standard reply whenever Ehrlich is asked for detail.

Posted by: hankdickey | September 29, 2010 6:14 PM | Report abuse

The talent pool of the Maryland GOP must be pathetically shallow, to need to nominate a warmed-over loser like Bob Ehrlich for governor.

Posted by: pundito | September 29, 2010 10:56 PM | Report abuse

Ged, if someone told you that green jelly beans were the best all your life and they asked your opinion of which is better, green or orange? What would you vote? I'll bet green, if I may. And no, I'm not the person who just wants to hear what I want to hear. Did you even read my post? My want is for a poll that is open to unbiased factors, Rasmussen, Gallup, etc. All papers have a slant whether to the right or the left. Just as a Washington Times poll would have a slant to the right, because you know they would poll closest to their readership.

Posted by: netbeagle | September 30, 2010 8:51 AM | Report abuse

Even right-wing Rasmussen has Ehrlich losing. Whining about polls only makes you look even more like you are losing.

Posted by: AxelDC | September 30, 2010 9:25 AM | Report abuse

Axel, I never said Ehrlich was winning and definitely not apt to whine about anything. While Rasmussen does have a slight GOP bias, it is a little more upright than the Post poll. O'Malley with a 11 point lead? Laughable. If you O'Malley guys really think there is an 11 point lead, while do all of you seem to be running scared about this election? You should have it in the bag, right? One of the top 3 left leaning states in the nation, and O'Malley supporters have a strange deer in the headlights look to them. No wonder the Democratic Gov. Association is opening up their coffers.

Posted by: netbeagle | October 1, 2010 9:26 AM | Report abuse

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