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A Break for the Nats, Mets, Phillies and Marlins

Looks as though these four NL East teams won't have to worry about Jake Peavy being in the division, now that the Braves -- as Cameron examines one post down -- have traded for Javier Vazquez instead.

(And yes, I know that Peavy is only 2-4 with a 4.18 ERA in his career against the Montreal-Washington franchise. Let's not kid ourselves here, people. You don't want to see this guy five times a year.)

The Braves still might add another starting pitcher -- they are expected to be big players in the A.J. Burnett sweepstakes, for example -- but it's doubtful they could still land Peavy, who now seems destined to be traded to the Cubs.

How much better is Peavy than Vazquez? Here are Peavy's ERA+ figures from the past five years (adjusted for league and park effects, with 100 being league-average):

159 (led league)

And here are Vazquez's:


Basically, it's the difference between getting a No.1 starter and a No. 3. Vazquez can be counted upon for 200 innings and a dozen or so wins -- and a Tim Hudson-Vazquez-Jair Jurrjens combo makes for a nice front end of the rotation -- but he's simply not the difference-maker Peavy would have been.

By Dave Sheinin  |  December 3, 2008; 11:14 AM ET
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Next: MVPedroia Signs Six-Year Deal With Red Sox


And a break for the Nats, Os, and Phils in Dustin Pedroia agreeing to a contract that runs through 2014 at $40.5 million. Essentially, a Tulo contract with an extra year of FA bought out. Since he is up 1 ROY and MVP on Nick and FotF, this may reestablish the reasonableness of any Tulo / Cano type of contract benchmark.

Posted by: jca-CrystalCity | December 3, 2008 12:45 PM | Report abuse

I've been advocating a 6-year, $45m deal for Zim since last year at this time, let's hope the Lerners see this "recession" as an opportunity and offer numbers like that.

Posted by: BobLHead | December 3, 2008 12:49 PM | Report abuse

BobL - a 6 year deal for FotF would buy out 3 years of free agency. 5 years, $37.5 million would align his years with Pedroia's (with an $11 million option). I don't believe RZ will give the Nats a home town discount if he does not soon see evidence that the club is going the right way.

Posted by: jca-CrystalCity | December 3, 2008 9:29 PM | Report abuse

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