A Break for the Nats, Mets, Phillies and Marlins
Looks as though these four NL East teams won't have to worry about Jake Peavy being in the division, now that the Braves -- as Cameron examines one post down -- have traded for Javier Vazquez instead.
(And yes, I know that Peavy is only 2-4 with a 4.18 ERA in his career against the Montreal-Washington franchise. Let's not kid ourselves here, people. You don't want to see this guy five times a year.)
The Braves still might add another starting pitcher -- they are expected to be big players in the A.J. Burnett sweepstakes, for example -- but it's doubtful they could still land Peavy, who now seems destined to be traded to the Cubs.
How much better is Peavy than Vazquez? Here are Peavy's ERA+ figures from the past five years (adjusted for league and park effects, with 100 being league-average):
159 (led league)
And here are Vazquez's:
Basically, it's the difference between getting a No.1 starter and a No. 3. Vazquez can be counted upon for 200 innings and a dozen or so wins -- and a Tim Hudson-Vazquez-Jair Jurrjens combo makes for a nice front end of the rotation -- but he's simply not the difference-maker Peavy would have been.
Posted by: jca-CrystalCity | December 3, 2008 12:45 PM | Report abuse
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