Predictions contest results (paging darnellbarlow!)
I tossed the adjective "humiliating" into the title of our first annual Baseball Insider MLB predictions contest -- for reasons that will soon be obvious. Fact is, I am notoriously awful at predictions (as detailed in the original blog post). And I am proud to say I upheld my own longstanding tradition by performing horribly in our contest.
We had a total of 56 entries (not counting my own), and my point total of 2 1/2 wound up beating only four entrants (while finishing tied with nine others). My fellow bloggers, Cameron Smith and C.J. Holley, also performed pathetically, earning just 2 1/2 and 3 1/2 points, respectively.
To refresh everyone's memories, we gave one point for every correct division winner or wild-card winner (a half-point if your pick for division winner won the wild card, or vice-versa), two points for each correct World Series participant, three points for correctly picking the World Series winner and one point each for every major award winner.
We also -- and this, as you will see, became critical -- asked every entrant to guess the number of wins for the Washington Nationals this season, as a tiebreaker.
And now, to the part you've all been waiting for ...
We wound up with a tie for first place between (all names are the entrants' commenter IDs) darnellbarlow and Jacques7, each of whom scored 11 1/2 points. Here is a closer look at each contestant's picks:
darnellbarlow nailed seven of the eight playoff teams, including five of the six division winners (his only whiff was the Cubs winning the NL Central). He also correctly predicted the Yankees winning the World Series (over the Cubs, alas) -- which was worth a whopping five points (two for the Yankees getting into the World Series, and three for them winning it). Although he went 0-fer the award picks, his playoff prognosticating was good enough to lift him to the top of the standings.
Jacques7, meantime, nailed six of the eight playoff teams and four of the six division winners, plus scored with the Yankees winning the World Series (also over the Cubs). All told, those playoff picks were good for 10 1/2 points, but Jacques7 also hit with Tim Lincecum winning the NL Cy Young, boosting his total to 11 1/2.
That took us to the tiebreaker, and it was a close one.
Jacques7 had the Nationals winning 75 games in 2009; darnellbarlow had them winning 74. The Nationals, in fact, won 59 games.
Therefore, the winner of our first annual Baseball Insider predictions contest is darnellbarlow. Congratulations! Before I can hand over the Very Special Prize, I need darnellbarlow to contact me via email at firstname.lastname@example.org.
In the meantime, here are some other interesting notes from the contest:
*Three contestants -- jdschulz50, brothbart and ArlingtonNatsFan -- finished in a tie for third with 11 points. (jdschulz50 was also the only contestant who correctly picked the Rockies to make the playoffs.)
*Only one entrant, compucat, got the World Series (Yankees over Phillies) exactly right, but compucat got only one other playoff pick correct and was shut out in the awards picks, which is how he/she wound up with only 10 points.
*The award picks were particularly difficult this year, as only one entrant (feyd991) correctly guessed Zack Greinke would win the AL Cy Young and nobody nailed the correct picks for either rookie of the year (Andrew Bailey in the AL, Chris Coghlan in the NL) or the NL manager of the year, Jim Tracy. But here's a shout out to Ted_Striker, who was the only person to nail both MVP picks, Joe Mauer and Albert Pujols.
Thanks again to everyone who submitted their picks. We'll do it again next year, for sure, and this time I promise I'll do better.
November 30, 2009; 12:39 PM ET
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