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Predictions contest results (paging darnellbarlow!)

I tossed the adjective "humiliating" into the title of our first annual Baseball Insider MLB predictions contest -- for reasons that will soon be obvious. Fact is, I am notoriously awful at predictions (as detailed in the original blog post). And I am proud to say I upheld my own longstanding tradition by performing horribly in our contest.

We had a total of 56 entries (not counting my own), and my point total of 2 1/2 wound up beating only four entrants (while finishing tied with nine others). My fellow bloggers, Cameron Smith and C.J. Holley, also performed pathetically, earning just 2 1/2 and 3 1/2 points, respectively.

To refresh everyone's memories, we gave one point for every correct division winner or wild-card winner (a half-point if your pick for division winner won the wild card, or vice-versa), two points for each correct World Series participant, three points for correctly picking the World Series winner and one point each for every major award winner.

We also -- and this, as you will see, became critical -- asked every entrant to guess the number of wins for the Washington Nationals this season, as a tiebreaker.

And now, to the part you've all been waiting for ...

We wound up with a tie for first place between (all names are the entrants' commenter IDs) darnellbarlow and Jacques7, each of whom scored 11 1/2 points. Here is a closer look at each contestant's picks:

darnellbarlow nailed seven of the eight playoff teams, including five of the six division winners (his only whiff was the Cubs winning the NL Central). He also correctly predicted the Yankees winning the World Series (over the Cubs, alas) -- which was worth a whopping five points (two for the Yankees getting into the World Series, and three for them winning it). Although he went 0-fer the award picks, his playoff prognosticating was good enough to lift him to the top of the standings.

Jacques7, meantime, nailed six of the eight playoff teams and four of the six division winners, plus scored with the Yankees winning the World Series (also over the Cubs). All told, those playoff picks were good for 10 1/2 points, but Jacques7 also hit with Tim Lincecum winning the NL Cy Young, boosting his total to 11 1/2.

That took us to the tiebreaker, and it was a close one.

Jacques7 had the Nationals winning 75 games in 2009; darnellbarlow had them winning 74. The Nationals, in fact, won 59 games.

Therefore, the winner of our first annual Baseball Insider predictions contest is darnellbarlow. Congratulations! Before I can hand over the Very Special Prize, I need darnellbarlow to contact me via email at sheinind@washpost.com.

In the meantime, here are some other interesting notes from the contest:

*Three contestants -- jdschulz50, brothbart and ArlingtonNatsFan -- finished in a tie for third with 11 points. (jdschulz50 was also the only contestant who correctly picked the Rockies to make the playoffs.)

*Only one entrant, compucat, got the World Series (Yankees over Phillies) exactly right, but compucat got only one other playoff pick correct and was shut out in the awards picks, which is how he/she wound up with only 10 points.

*The award picks were particularly difficult this year, as only one entrant (feyd991) correctly guessed Zack Greinke would win the AL Cy Young and nobody nailed the correct picks for either rookie of the year (Andrew Bailey in the AL, Chris Coghlan in the NL) or the NL manager of the year, Jim Tracy. But here's a shout out to Ted_Striker, who was the only person to nail both MVP picks, Joe Mauer and Albert Pujols.

Thanks again to everyone who submitted their picks. We'll do it again next year, for sure, and this time I promise I'll do better.

By Dave Sheinin  |  November 30, 2009; 12:39 PM ET
 
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Next: Stuck in Indianapolis, hope I live to tell the tale

Comments

Will admit to doing worse than you, with 2 (Dodgers and Phillies). Came close on a few of the tougher picks - runner ups for AL Cy Young (CC), NL Pennant (Dodgers), and had an Oakland pitcher for ROY (Cahill). Not sure how Torre in NL MOY. On these things I tend to "go all in" on a dog to either win or lose big. My dog was the As. A dog if I ever saw one.

Posted by: jca-CrystalCity | November 30, 2009 5:56 PM | Report abuse

I swept the AL divisions and wild card but the Cubs and Mets let me down (along with everyone else) in the NL. The awards section was also brutal. Thanks for falling off the wagon, Josh Hamilton!

Posted by: PhilliesPhan | November 30, 2009 6:10 PM | Report abuse

I came across an online community for individual seeking interracial love. It is --Mixedmingle dot com--- All singles there are seeking interracial relationships. Interracial is not a problem here, but a great merit to cherish!

Posted by: sallyworking2006 | December 1, 2009 7:45 AM | Report abuse

Thanks Sally. Any thoughts on John Henry's payroll tax idea or his complaints about owners pocketing revenue sharing?
http://www.boston.com/sports/baseball/redsox/extras/extra_bases/2009/12/red_sox_owner_j.html

Posted by: jca-CrystalCity | December 1, 2009 11:21 AM | Report abuse

Can you give us any hints on how (and how much) The Post will be covering next week's Winter Meetings?

Posted by: greggwiggins | December 1, 2009 4:05 PM | Report abuse

Sally -- while you're at it, maybe you could give us some insight into your picks for next year?

By the way, I've got nothing against interracial relationships, but I think it's a little misguided to actively seek them to the exclusion of other relationships. That's not being post-racial. Aren't we in the post-racial era now?

Posted by: fischy | December 1, 2009 9:57 PM | Report abuse

I don't think I submitted an entry, as I don't tend to do the prediction myself.

However, are there any predictions as to when comments to Nationals Journal might be enabled again? As comments to this blog were recently disabled, I'm guessing that it may be a maintenance issue? I won't ask about the potential timing of any new posts there, but I'm rooting for before the winter meetings start (which would be next Monday, methinks).

Posted by: natsfan1a1 | December 2, 2009 9:41 AM | Report abuse

the prediction "thing," rather.

Posted by: natsfan1a1 | December 2, 2009 9:42 AM | Report abuse

came across an online community for individual seeking interracial love.

http://www.nowgoal.com/22.shtml

Posted by: bgfgf402 | December 5, 2009 9:42 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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