Contest wrap-up: How we picked 'em
I finally got around to tabulating the 66 entries -- including my own and that of Nats beat writer Adam Kilgore -- in our 2010 playoffs/awards predictions contest, and there are not many outright surprises. Here are a few highlights, before I dump the raw data in here after the jump:
*The strongest consensus pick was the Phillies in the NL East (57 votes) -- though I have to wonder if someone in the Nationals' ticket office tipped off Philadelphia-area readers in advance about our contest, thus bringing in a disproportionate number of Phillies fans. Next biggest consensus was the Cardinals in the NL Central (55 votes), followed by Jason Heyward as the NL rookie of the year (46) and Roy Halladay as the NL Cy Young (44).
*The closest division race was the NL West, where the Rockies (26), Dodgers (21) and Giants (15) all got considerable support, and even the Diamondbacks (4) got some love. Nobody, however, was willing to take the Padres.
*The Phillies were the top vote-getter for both World Series winner (15) and loser (14). I'm looking into this now, but I'm pretty sure they can't be both.
*Is Halladay really so good that he should outpace the two-time defending NL Cy Young winner, Tim Lincecum, by a ratio of nearly 5-to-1 in our voting? Apparently so.
*Boy, we sure do consider Zack Greinke's 2009 AL Cy Young to be a fluke -- or else how to explain the fact he only got one vote for 2010?
*There were a handful of goof-ups and just plain goofy picks, which I will nonetheless include in the tabulations. For instance, someone picked Bob Melvin to win NL manager of the year for the Diamondbacks. Who knows? Maybe this person expects the D'backs to fire A.J. Hinch in mid-season, re-hire Melvin, and surge to the playoffs. Other voters picked rookie of the year candidates (Matt Wieters, Travis Snyder) who aren't eligible for the award. Still others forgot to include a tiebreaker pick (the Nationals' win total). And one voter had Evan Longoria (apparently following a midseason trade) winning NL MVP.
And now, the full data:
AL East
41 votes - Yankees
22 - Red Sox
3 - Rays
AL Central
33- Twins
17 - Tigers
16- White Sox
AL West
33 - Angels
20 - Mariners
11 - Rangers
2 - A's
AL wild card
26 - Rays
20 - Red Sox
15- Yankees
2 - Tigers
1- Mariners, Rangers, Twins
NL East
57 - Phillies
7 - Braves
1 - Marlins, Nationals
NL Central
55 - Cardinals
6 - Cubs
3 - Brewers
1 - Astros, Reds
NL West
26 - Rockies
21 - Dodgers
15 - Giants
4 - Diamondbacks
NL wild card
31 - Braves
8 - Rockies
6 - Phillies
5 - Cardinals
4 - Giants
2- Marlins, Reds, Mets, Cubs, Dodgers
1 - Diamondbacks, Pirates
World Series winner
15 - Phillies
13 - Yankees
9 - Red Sox
8 - Rays, Cardinals
3 - Twins
2 - Braves, Mariners, Cubs
1 - Rockies, Tigers, Dodgers, Nationals, Giants
World Series loser
14 - Phillies
13 - Yankees
7 - Red Sox
5 - Cardinals, Rockies
4 - Giants, Braves
3 - Rays, Mariners
2 - Twins, Tigers, Mets
1 - Angels, Dodgers
AL MVP
17 - Mauer
16 - A. Rodriguez
10 - Teixeira
9 - Longoria
5- M. Cabrera
2 - Pedroia
1 - Jeter, V. Martinez, Youkilis, M. Ordonez, G. Sizemore, Zobrist, I. Suzuki,
AL Cy Young
30- F. Hernandez
11 - Verlander
8 - Sabathia
4 - Lester, C. Lee
2 - Beckett
1 - Vazquez, Greinke, Sheets, Liriano, Brett Anderson, Peavy
AL Rookie
22- Matusz
17 - A. Jackson
9 - N. Feliz
6 - S. Sizemore
4 - D. Jennings
3 - W. Davis
1 - B. Snyder, Brignac, Wieters, T. Snyder
AL Manager
11 - Wakamatsu
10 - Leyland
9 - Scioscia
8 - Gardenhire
6 - Girardi, Maddon
5 - Washington, Guillen
4 - Francona
1 - Geren, Hillman
NL MVP
40 - Pujols
7 - H. Ramirez
5 - R. Howard
4 - Tulowitzki
2 - Kemp
1 - Longoria, McCann, Halladay, Sandoval, Utley, Holliday, R. Zimmerman
NL Cy Young
44 - Halladay
9 - Lincecum
4- Wainwright
3 - Haren
2 - Jurrjens, T. Hanson
1 - C. Carpenter
NL Rookie
46 - Heyward
9 - Strasburg
4 - I. Desmond
2 - A. Chapman, Colvin
1 - A. Escobar, Drabek
NL Manager
34 - Cox
6 - C. Manuel
5 - Bochy
4 - Torre, Tracy
3 - Hinch, Piniella
2 - Baker
1 - Macha, B. Melvin, J. Manuel, Russell, Riggleman, Black
Nationals' win total
11 - 72 wins
8 - 74, 75
5 - 73
4 - 70, 76
3 - 68, 71
1 - 58, 60, 63, 64, 65, 67, 69, 77, 78, 79, 81, 82, 83, 100, 162
By
Dave Sheinin
|
April 8, 2010; 10:19 AM ET
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