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Behind the Numbers: January 27, 2008 - February 2, 2008

Parsing the GOP: The Bush Factor

Analyzing early state exit polls, five key GOP voter groups emerge: Economy-focused voters, independents, those dissatisfied with the Bush administration, evangelicals and the "very conservative." These are the voters to watch on Tuesday, and we'll take a look at each in a series of posts here on Behind the Numbers....

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  February 2, 2008; 6:06 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (5)
Categories:  Exit polls , Groups to Watch  
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Parsing the GOP: 'Independents'

Analyzing early state exit polls, five key GOP voter groups emerge: Economy-focused voters, independents, those dissatisfied with the Bush administration, evangelicals and the "very conservative." These are the voters to watch on Tuesday, and we'll take a look at each in a series of posts here on Behind the Numbers....

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  February 1, 2008; 12:26 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (84)
Categories:  Exit polls , Groups to Watch  
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Which 'Super' Do You Choose?

It's the motherlode of presidential primaries vs. the perfect season this week, and neither is a clear winner in the hearts of Americans according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll out today. About four in 10 adults said they are more excited about the Super Bowl, while nearly the...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  January 31, 2008; 11:30 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (12)
Categories:  Post Polls  
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Parsing the GOP: Economy Voters

Analyzing early state exit polls, five key GOP voter groups emerge: Economy-focused voters, independents, those dissatisfied with the Bush administration, evangelicals and the "very conservative." These are the voters to watch on Tuesday, and we'll take a look at each in a series of posts here on Behind the Numbers....

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  January 31, 2008; 3:31 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Exit polls , Groups to Watch  
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Independents? In Florida?

Independents helped lift John McCain to victory in Florida. Really. As widely (and accurately) reported, Florida's GOP primary was limited to registered Republicans, so how did independents play such a decisive role? The answer is a twisted tale of state law, election procedures and survey research. But at root, there...

By Jon Cohen  |  January 31, 2008; 12:51 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (10)
Categories:  Polls  
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Giuliani's exit, and the role of endorsements

Giuliani's collapse from national front-runner to his swift exit after a disappointing showing in Florida is one for the record books, and the subject for another day, but where do his voters go? Perhaps anticipating Giuliani's demise (pre-election polls nailed this one), exit pollsters in Florida asked GOP voters for...

By Jon Cohen  |  January 30, 2008; 6:30 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  
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BTN: John Edwards

John Edwards exited the Democratic presidential election race today, here's the tale of the tape ... How he fared: Iowa 30 percent (2nd place, by two-tenths of a percentage point); New Hampshire 17 percent (3rd); Nevada 4 percent (3rd); South Carolina 18 percent (3rd); Florida 14 percent (3rd). High-point in...

By Jon Cohen  |  January 30, 2008; 3:47 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Polls  
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Obama 2008 vs. Jackson 1988

Former Pres. Bill Clinton caused a stir this week by comparing Barack Obama's success in South Carolina to Jesse Jackson's in 1988 and 1984. But an analysis of the data shows that, while there are some similarities, Obama has already crossed racial divides in his presidential bid that Jackson...

By Jon Cohen  |  January 28, 2008; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (169)
Categories:  Exit polls  
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