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24 Battlegrounds?

Barack Obama campaigns today in Quad Cities, Iowa, in a so-called "swing state" decided by under one percentage point in 2000 and 2004. It is the second leg of a multi-state tour that culminates Thursday in Denver with his accepting the Democratic nomination at the party's national convention.

Obama's trip, with stops in Wisconsin yesterday and Missouri and Montana later this week, underscores the focus of both campaigns on a number of "battleground" states -- electoral toss-ups with the potential to tip the scales in the presidential election. This year, there are many contenders for the honor, and the ensuing influx of ad dollars and candidate visits.

The Washington Post has its list , as do many others. Compiling 22 of these analyses shows that Iowa and Missouri are commonly perceived to be top-tier swing states this election cycle, with Wisconsin and Montana cited less frequently. Colorado, where Obama will speak to 70,000 Democratic faithful, made all 22 lists. In all, 24 states meet the criteria for battleground status in at least one of these lists compiled by political or polling analysts, news organizations or through online prediction markets.

Only Ohio, a state that has tipped toward the winner in each of the past 11 presidential elections, joins Colorado with a place on each of the 22 lists. Nevada (21 mentions), New Hampshire (19) and Virginia (17) round out the top five. Next in line for the battleground moniker are Michigan (16), Florida (15), New Mexico (15), Missouri (11), Iowa (11) and Pennsylvania (11)

In 2004, President Bush won eight of these 11 states, suggesting a relative disadvantage for Sen. John McCain this year in his quest for 270 Electoral College votes. Bush won Ohio by two percentage points four years ago, but he beat Sen. John F. Kerry by five or more points in four of this year's top 10 (Colorado, Florida, Missouri and Virginia).

Here is the full list, assembled from the sources listed below.

Out of 22 battleground lists:

               # of      % of 
State        Mentions  Measures 
Colorado        22       100
Ohio            22       100
Nevada          21        95
New Hampshire   19        86
Virginia        17        77
Michigan        16        73
Florida         15        68
New Mexico      15        68
Missouri        11        50
Iowa            11        50
Pennsylvania    11        50
Minnesota        8        36
Wisconsin        7        32
Oregon           6        27
North Carolina   5        23
Montana          4        18
North Dakota     4        18
New Jersey       3        14
Indiana          2         9
Washington       2         9
Alaska           1         5
Delaware         1         5
South Carolina   1         5
South Dakota     1         5

Sources:
CNN, Cook Political Report, Fivethirtyeight.com, Gallup, Intrade, Karl Rove and Co., The Los Angeles Times, Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball, Marc Ambinder, MSNBC-First Read, National Public Radio, Pollster.com, Rasmussen Reports, RealClearPolitics, The Hotline, The New York Times, The Pindell Report, The Politico, The Rothenberg Report, The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, Zogby

By Kyle Dropp  |  August 25, 2008; 10:44 AM ET
 
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Comments

Could one take the number of measures (polls?) taken as an indicator of the degree of interest in the state by pollsters? Could this infer a ranking for the closeness of the race in those states?

This would seem to track with coverage and past elections as well.

Posted by: jdwill | August 26, 2008 11:39 AM | Report abuse


"Mark these Words. "OBAMA will be President"...


Of all experience. Which ever existed. And all , That will ever exist. Every experience is unique, to the receiver. Mental stimulation. Inducing , action , Causing chemical exchanges. Between information processors. Of various life forms.

Description of our thought process. Which is accepted in this time and space , of human existence here on planet Earth.

Humans have memory ! They can analyze memory. They can use the information. Make calculated Judgments’ and decisions , resulting in, “objectives “.

Inducing chemical exchange, within the information processor, impacts, “Goals and Objectives” , Out of nothing more , then a single thought.

This is absolutely correct. There is not one human on Planet Earth. That can prove the afore mentioned statement false….! .

So, the receiver of this statement has to engage though t, as to reality. That the above stated fact, has not. Changed since the beginning of time.

Everything created by humans . Started as a thought. Chemical exchanges engaged by thought. Stimulated by , processes, within the brain. Out of nothing more then, impact. Of a significant, emotional event. That engrains memory . Out of less than thin air.

One thought, has created the largest * Corporacracy * of Power, anywhere. Ever known to exist. Our Government is what *they* decide! Have you been fooled ?

The above statement is absolutely correct. Meaning, all combined wealth of Corporations, as a majority. Control the largest quantity, of power. Which ever existed ..

The * Corporacracy * erases, nations’ , borders and steals sovereignty of the people. With objectives to expunge any reason for patriotism !

This statement is more factual. Than what is stated on the back of , U.S. Dollar bills.

“ In “God” “ We” “Trust ”.

Be grateful . To your Master .

Posted by: LibertyisFreedom | August 28, 2008 3:18 PM | Report abuse

We have a farm in Iowa. for decades we grew corn. After a while crops were not as good as in the past. We changed to grazing live stock. after a while the herd got so big stock was getting sick and there wasn't enough space.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
We decided to kill off a few. Took them to market. Recleared the land now things are all better.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
For the average Texan Moron and most of America included. (I say it this way because most shutter at the thought of killing eventhough common sence is the choice.) It is time to clear the fields. The world has to many humans. The only remidty is to kill off part of the herd.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
All the induced aspects of control are not working. 2.5 million abortions a year. Not working they are still breading like rats. Hitler murdered 2 million Jews a year at the peak of crop cleansing. The public called it a holicaust. America has murdered over 50 million babies they call it choice.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I'd say the world is ready for a good job of curing the problem.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
About 6 well place nucular bombs on major cities in America and around the world should be looked at as a cure. We have supplies in place around the planet. Human kind will survive. The wealthy will have their share to survive for reestablishment of "CORPORACRACY". IT IS TIME.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Consider our selfs lucky. America is going to have a great black leader to administer "CHOICE" to "CHANGE" humankind. If, just if things go as predicted. the fields will begin being cleared in 2009-2010.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
It will be a great time on planet Earth. There will be fewer population. An we will be back to the values that made this country what it is today. But we will be starting almost over again. Not quite. But it will be almost a clean field.

Posted by: Anonymous | August 28, 2008 5:20 PM | Report abuse

We have a farm in Iowa. for decades we grew corn. After a while crops were not as good as in the past. We changed to grazing live stock. after a while the herd got so big stock was getting sick and there wasn't enough space.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
We decided to kill off a few. Took them to market. Recleared the land now things are all better.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
For the average Texan Moron and most of America included. (I say it this way because most shutter at the thought of killing eventhough common sence is the choice.) It is time to clear the fields. The world has to many humans. The only remidty is to kill off part of the herd.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
All the induced aspects of control are not working. 2.5 million abortions a year. Not working they are still breading like rats. Hitler murdered 2 million Jews a year at the peak of crop cleansing. The public called it a holicaust. America has murdered over 50 million babies they call it choice.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
I'd say the world is ready for a good job of curing the problem.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
About 6 well place nucular bombs on major cities in America and around the world should be looked at as a cure. We have supplies in place around the planet. Human kind will survive. The wealthy will have their share to survive for reestablishment of "CORPORACRACY". IT IS TIME.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Consider our selfs lucky. America is going to have a great black leader to administer "CHOICE" to "CHANGE" humankind. If, just if things go as predicted. the fields will begin being cleared in 2009-2010.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
It will be a great time on planet Earth. There will be fewer population. An we will be back to the values that made this country what it is today. But we will be starting almost over again. Not quite. But it will be almost a clean field.

Posted by: Liberty is Freedom | August 28, 2008 5:21 PM | Report abuse

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