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Behind the Numbers: October 26, 2008 - November 1, 2008

WaPo-ABC Tracking: Nine Divided by 56 is...

In a mere 56 hours, voters in Dixville Notch, NH will cast the first Election Day ballots of the 2008 contest, and in that time, John McCain will need to close a big gap among likely voters if he is to defeat Barack Obama. In today's Washington Post-ABC News daily...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 1, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (70)
 
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Parsing the Ideological Divide

Voters perceptions of where Barack Obama and John McCain stand ideologically appear nearly set in stone, despite a massive barrage of late advertising aimed at shaking those views. The percentages calling the two "about right" in their ideological positioning is largely unchanged over the course of the campaign. More than...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 1, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Track: I'm Rubber, You're Glue

Half of all voters think John McCain has gone too far in criticizing Barack Obama, while most think Obama has been measured in his return volleys. To play catch-up, McCain, who has not lead in a national poll in six weeks (more than 155 polls according to pollster.com), has increased...

By Jon Cohen  |  October 31, 2008; 5:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (8)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Race, Ethnicity and Turnout

Barack Obama continues to hold the lead in the Washington Post-ABC News daily tracking poll, topping John McCain by a 53 to 44 percent margin among likely voters. Obama currently outpaces recent Democratic nominees among white voters, but his advantage among nonwhite voters is even more dramatic. Overall, nonwhites go...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 31, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (10)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Breaking Up Is Hard To Do

Sen. John McCain has made no evident headway in separating himself from President Bush in the final days of the campaign, and that connection continues to be a drag on his candidacy. According to the new Washington Post-ABC News daily tracking poll, Bush remains deeply unpopular, with a majority expressing...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 30, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (10)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Facing Off on Leadership

New Washington Post-ABC News daily tracking data finds Barack Obama and John McCain once again about evenly matched on who would be the stronger leader. Obama continues to hold a wide lead as the candidate better able to bring needed change to Washington. Earlier in the month, Obama had opened...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 30, 2008; 7:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (2)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Safe vs Risky

John McCain has drawn even with Barack Obama as a "safe" choice for president, even as his campaign has made little headway in convincing more voters that electing the Democrat is too big a gamble. And McCain's relative progress on the question has not translated into new momentum: Obama leads...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 29, 2008; 4:32 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (13)
Categories:  Tracking  
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Post-ABC Tracking: Better Know A Candidate

As the last days of the 2008 presidential campaign unfold, voters seem poised to make an informed choice next week, though voters are divided about whether issues or personal traits are a more important factor. New data from the Washington Post-ABC News daily tracking poll shows nearly eight in 10...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 29, 2008; 7:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (13)
Categories:  Tracking  
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New Track: The Economy, Taxes At Center Stage

Barack Obama's advantage on handling the economy dips to single digits in today's Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, but his lead on handling taxes has held relatively steady through John McCain's hits on the topic on the campaign trail. The presidential vote in the new poll holds steady at 52...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 28, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Track: Early Birds for Obama

More than twelve million voters have already cast ballots in the presidential contest, according to one estimate, and new data from the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll shows these voters breaking Democratic by a wide margin. Among those who said they have already voted at an early voting location or...

By Jon Cohen  |  October 28, 2008; 7:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (8)
Categories:  Tracking  
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Post-ABC Tracking: In the Final Week

The Washington Post-ABC News daily tracking poll shows Barack Obama kicking off the final full week of campaigning with a seven-point lead over John McCain, but beneath the nationwide number are big regional and racial differences. Obama is outperforming any Democrat back to Jimmy Carter among white voters, getting 45...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 27, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (42)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Battling On the Economy

In the new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll, John McCain has notched up on the economy, but Barack Obama still holds a sizable lead as the candidate more trusted to handle the electorate's top issue. But closing the gap over the next nine days will take a bigger boost. A...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  October 26, 2008; 4:57 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (18)
Categories:  Tracking  
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