WaPo-ABC Track: Early Birds for Obama
More than twelve million voters have already cast ballots in the presidential contest, according to one estimate, and new data from the Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll shows these voters breaking Democratic by a wide margin.
Among those who said they have already voted at an early voting location or sent in an absentee ballot, Barack Obama picked up 60 percent of the vote in the new poll to John McCain's 39 percent.
These voters make up 9 percent of "likely" voters in the track.
The senator from Illinois has a similar lead, 58 to 39 percent, among those who plan to vote early but have not yet. (Those who plan to vote on Election Day also go for Obama, but by a narrower, 51 to 45 percent.)
These early voting numbers are a near mirror-image of those from the last two elections: A paper using the National Annenberg Election Study reports that George W. Bush scored 62 percent of early voters in 2000 and 60 percent of them in 2004.
By
Jon Cohen
|
October 28, 2008; 7:00 AM ET
Categories:
Tracking
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Posted by: awaler | October 28, 2008 8:47 AM | Report abuse
So much for Zouk's comment that California is 50/50.
BB
Posted by: FairlingtonBlade | October 28, 2008 9:27 AM | Report abuse
But what I seem to be unable to find: how are the early voting numbers stacking up==the volume?
Posted by: marjiemarjiemarjie | October 28, 2008 6:48 PM | Report abuse
Posted by: JPW1 | October 29, 2008 10:29 AM | Report abuse
Democrats for John McCain and Sarah Palin in 2008
Posted by: hclark1 | October 29, 2008 11:35 AM | Report abuse
I just early voted in the state of Indiana!! =) A long line here and a LOT of Obama supporters!!
I think he's going to win Indiana!! =)
yeah!
Posted by: lexi1 | October 29, 2008 1:44 PM | Report abuse
People really ARE ready for change. I expect a "reverse Bradley" effect to take hold on election night. A lot of people who say they are for McCain will vote for Obama -- for the tax cut and the health insurance.
Posted by: JustTheFacts | October 29, 2008 7:42 PM | Report abuse
The Republicans can have Joe the Plumber. The real-life Average American, the nation's most statistically average man or woman found after a long non-partisan search, has come out for Obama, according to the search’s website: http://www.theaverageamerican.com
Posted by: worldview1 | October 30, 2008 10:10 PM | Report abuse
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These databites look interesting - but only at first sight. No one is interested in early voting data from deep red or deep blue states.
What about early voting in the battleground states?