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Behind the Numbers: November 2, 2008 - November 8, 2008

Exit Polls: A Look at Cell-Only Voters

Exit polling is notable after Election Day primarily for its massive store of data on voters. Among the unexplored numbers so far this year is new information about those voters who have abandoned their home phones and gone "cell-only." Cell-only voters have at least doubled their share of the electorate...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 7, 2008; 1:49 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  
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How Did Obama Do It?

Barack Obama's remarkable road to the presidency leaves in its wake a vastly changed political map and a string of shattered assumptions about the way demographics drive voting. Ohio, a state which stymied each of the past two Democratic nominees, went for Obama, as did five other 2004 Bush states:...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 5, 2008; 1:19 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (3)
 
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The Ghost of Exit Polls Past

Regional coding in 1972 CBS News exit poll: Ghettos 1 - Black Ghetto 3 - Non-Ghetto...

By Jon Cohen  |  November 4, 2008; 11:23 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  
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Exit Polls: The Erie Connection

Ohio and Pennsylvania: Barack Obama's two big pickups of the early part of the evening were built on two key strengths he carried throughout the election, according to preliminary exit poll data. Deep dissatisfaction with Pres. Bush topped seven in 10 in both states, and Obama won these voters by...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 4, 2008; 8:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
 
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Where are my exits?

Here's a brief overview of what to expect today from the exit polls and some tips about how not to be misled. First, you will need to wait a bit. The networks were not appreciative four years ago when early exit polls were leaked and widely misinterpreted, spurring premature Democratic...

By Jon Cohen  |  November 4, 2008; 12:13 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (2)
Categories:  Exit polls  
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WaPo-ABC Track, It's a Wrap

The Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll concluded last night after 19 nights of interviewing with Barack Obama ahead of John McCain 53 to 44 percent among likely voters. That is identical to the margin in the track's first release nearly more than two weeks ago. Over that time, neither candidate's...

By Jon Cohen  |  November 4, 2008; 1:25 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (1)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: The Final Countdown

It's hard to believe, but the 2008 presidential campaign will really be history by the end of tomorrow. As the candidates make their final pitches in late-night swing-state rallies, Barack Obama continues to hold a wide national lead over John McCain. The new Washington Post-ABC News tracking poll shows Obama...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 3, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (25)
Categories:  Tracking  
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WaPo-ABC Tracking: Advantage Obama

Sen. Barack Obama holds a sizable advantage over John McCain just two days before the longest and most expensive presidential campaign in history comes to a close. After nearly two years of ads, rallies, debates and barnstorming, Obama is up 54 to 43 percent among likely voters, in the new...

By Jennifer Agiesta  |  November 2, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (31)
Categories:  Tracking  
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