Shifting Party ID in Pennsylvania
A Democratic tilt in partisan views among Pennsylvania voters may have been one of the motivating factors beyond Sen. Arlen Specter's surprise party switch: In 2008, Democrats had their biggest advantage on party identification in Pennsylvania in nearly 20 years.
Here's the list of voters' party leanings in Pennsylvania from exit polls dating back to 1990.
Democrat Republican Dem.-Rep. Ind/Other 2008 44 37 +7 18 2006 42 38 +4 20 2004 41 39 +2 20 2000 40 40 0 20 1998 43 40 +3 17 1996 42 39 +3 19 1994 39 40 -1 20 1992 42 38 +4 20 1990 45 34 +11 20 1988 40 42 -2 18
***Update***
The Pennsylvania Secretary of State records party registration information about the state's voters, and their figures over the past decade show a similar pattern: Between 1998 and 2008, Democratic registration jumped by 860,552 but Republicans just 96,895; others went up 336,061 over that period.
p.s. Thanks to Jim Burton of POS for pointing out earlier typo in table, and for suggesting a look into the official figures from Pennsylvania.
By
Jon Cohen
|
April 28, 2009; 1:29 PM ET
| Tags: Arlen Specter, The Fix, Washington Post, exit poll
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