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La plus ça change, MD governor edition

As Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley (D) tries to fend off a challenge from Bob Ehrlich, the Republican he unseated from the job four years ago, regional breakdowns in the new Washington Post poll reveal a familiar starting dynamic.

The table below also shows the big differences for Ehrlich between his win in 2002 against then-lieutenant governor Kathleen Kennedy Townsend (D) and his loss in 2006.

                 vote pref.   2006 Vote	  2002 Vote
                  O'M  Ehr.  O'M   Ehr.  Town. Ehr.
Baltimore city    71    20    75    23    75    24
Baltimore suburbs 39    55    45    54    35    65
Anne Arundel/How. 42    54    45    54    38    61
Montgomery        59    29    62    37    61    38
Prince George's   63    18    79    21    77    23
Rest of state     38    54    38    61    32    68
*Washington Post poll; registered voters

By Jon Cohen  |  May 10, 2010; 12:17 PM ET
Categories:  Maryland , Post Polls  
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I would have liked to have seen "rest of state" broken down further, to see the numbers from the Panhandle, Southern Maryland and the Eastern Shore. But from the numbers as presented, it looks like the election will be decided mostly in the suburban areas east of the Patuxent River. The preferences shown for Prince George's and Montgomery seem too low overall, although they suggest that Ehrlich is further behind in the former and O'Malley in the latter. While I don't belong to either party, I respected Ehrlich for not pandering to the religious right over the years, and I hope he doesn't succumb to the temptation to pander to the Tea Partiers.

Posted by: Carstonio | May 17, 2010 4:05 PM | Report abuse

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