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Behind the Numbers: October 31, 2010 - November 6, 2010

Exit poll: big shift among independents

2010 2008 president National House GOP +19 Dem +8 California Sen. GOP +4 Dem +33 Kentucky Sen. GOP +16 GOP +20 Nevada Senate GOP +4 Dem +13 Ohio Senate GOP +39 Dem +8 Penn. Senate GOP +10 Dem +17 W. VA. Senate Dem +7 GOP +19 Wisc. Senate GOP...

By Jon Cohen  | November 3, 2010; 1:48 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  election 2010, exit polls  
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Exit poll: Johnson, Walker victories in Wisconsin

The G.O.P. wave has reached Wisconsin. A dramatic swing among independent voters helped derail Wisconsin Democrat Russ Feingold's bid for a fourth term against Republican businessman Ron Johnson. In the Governor's race, Republican Milwaukee County Executive Scott Walker defeated Democratic Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett. In the Senate race, the 27...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 11:56 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  barrett, feingold, johnson, walker, wisconsin  
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Exit poll: Manchin's victory in West Virginia

Democrat Joe Manchin has beaten back a strong challenge from Republican John Raese in the West Virginia Senate race. Manchin's coalition is drawn from Democrats, women, adult over 50 and voters earning less than $50,000 per year. Democrats accounted for 42 percent of statewide voters, while Republicans made up 35...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 8:47 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  senate, west virginia  
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Exit poll: Manchin's victory in West Virginia

Democrat Joe Manchin has beaten back a strong challenge from Republican John Raese in the West Virginia Senate race. Manchin's coalition is drawn from Democrats, women, adult over 50 and voters earning less than $50,000 per year. Democrats accounted for 42 percent of statewide voters, while Republicans made up 35...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 8:47 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  senate, west virginia  
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Exit poll: Paul's victory in Kentucky

In Kentucky's contest for U.S. Senate, Tea Party favorite Rand Paul captured the Senate seat, besting his opponent, Democratic Attorney General Jack Conway. Paul's winning coalition was drawn from majorities of Republicans, conservatives, men, middle and upper income earners, and middle aged and older voters. His strong showing is at...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 8:07 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls, Tea party  | Tags:  kentucky, tea party  
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Exit poll: Portman's victory in Ohio

Economic anxiety is particularly acute in Ohio, where Republican Rob Portman just defeated Democrat Lee Fisher in the U.S. Senate race. In Ohio, 34 percent have seen a job loss in their household in recent years, higher than the figure nationally. And a full 88 percent are either "very worried"...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 7:51 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  ohio  
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Early exit polls: top issues this election

As expected, the economy is on the top of voters' minds today, as more than six in 10 say it is the most important issue facing the country, according to preliminary exit poll data. About two in 10 cite health care as the most pressing issue. So-called "economy" voters tilt...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 6:10 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  afghanistan, economy, health care, tax cuts  
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Exit poll: priorities for the next Congress

Poll workers across the country will be counting millions more ballots throughout the night, but exit polls shed light on the new direction voters want the 112th Congress to take. Overall, voters came down firmly against expanded government: 56 percent told exit pollsters that the government is doing too may...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 1:35 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Exit polls  | Tags:  bush, health care, role of government, tax cuts  
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Early exit poll: Obama hurting Dems nationally

Barack Obama is not on the ballot today, but he's affecting election outcomes across the country and appears to be hurting Democrats nationally,according to preliminary exit poll data. Thirty-seven percent say their vote was against President Obama, 24 percent say it was in favor of Obama, and 37 percent say...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 2, 2010; 1:32 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (1)
Categories:  Barack Obama, Exit polls  | Tags:  Democrats, obama  
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Poll: union households part of GOP shift

With polls opening in less than 24 hours, one core Democratic constituency, labor union households, may be more splintered than in the past, according to the new Washington Post-ABC News poll. Union households back the Democratic candidate in their district over the GOP by a 54 to 42 percent margin,...

By Kyle Dropp  | November 1, 2010; 10:53 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Exit polls, Polls, Post Polls  | Tags:  exit polls, unions  
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