Yet again the dog: Lions favored over Skins
By Evan Bliss
Have I missed something here? Is Vegas really favoring the Lions by 3 over the Redskins? Is this creatively brilliant or positively insane? What is a horseshoe? Are there any horse socks?
I only gamble when I know I’m going to win, not really gambling, but I’d like to look at why Sin City thinks a 1-5 disaster should beat a 4-3 tempest with lady luck on their side.
My first investigation pertains to history. Yes, the Lions beat the Redskins to snap their NFL worst-ever 19 straight losses. But, the Redskins were also the last team to beat the Patriots before they won 22 straight. Maybe Washington is a team hungry for historical recognition. There’s no such thing as bad press, even if it’s losing to the Lions. Wrong, that was horrible, but luckily there’s no record at stake on Sunday so that can’t be the reason Detroit is favored.
Investigation numero dos is mathmatical: the transitive theory. If the Redskins lost to the Rams by 14 (step away if you need to scream or cry) and the Lions beat the Rams by 38, according to this theory the Lions are better than the Redskins by 52 points, I would say that justifies them being favored. However, Washington beat Chicago, Philadephia, and Green Bay by a collective 11 points and Detroit lost to all three of those teams by a collective 10 points, so technically Washington should be favored by 1.
Third must be the home field advantage. Vegas might think because the Lions are at home they have a better chance of winning. Not quite. Have you ever met a Lions fan? They’re not very enthusiastic about their team. It’s been years since they’ve been good, and since Barry Sanders since they’ve been good enough to watch. They do look like they’re on track, but they’re still 1-5. I’d be surprised if your television set picks up a faint and dull roar from the crowd on Sunday.
Maybe Vegas thinks something could happen to Washington’s players before the game. Detroit’s not Motor City or Mo-town any more. Now it’s Mo-bandoned Warehouse City or No-Mo-Grocery Store City. We from Washington can poke fun at this because we’ve been through our own recent turbulent times. Hang in there Detroit, but it won’t be Stafford and the Lions that pull you through like the Saints and Big Easy Brees.
If Vegas is taking into account that Washington’s greatest recent tradition is playing down, or up, to their opponent, and losing the games they should win, then I must say I will never gamble on sports because those bookies are too clever for me. The Redskins are a better football team than the Lions. Better players, better coaches, better record. But the better team doesn’t always win on Sunday. The team that comes to play, that executes their game plan, and maybe catches a lucky break or two usually wins. With a bye-week break coming up, there might be a couple Redskins out on an early mental vacation. Sigh. Thanks a lot Vegas.
Box Seats blogger
| October 29, 2010; 3:26 PM ET
Categories: Evan Bliss, Redskins | Tags: Evan Bliss, Redskins
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