Will Eric Fehr have another breakout season?

Good analysis. He might also benefit from playing with Marcus Johansson most of the time, as opposed to Brendan Morrison. Too early to say, but that's another X factor.

How many times can one have a "breakout season"?

@Tom - looks like you've got some competition now for statisical analysis buddy! He doesn't think Fehr is gonna have another breakout yr yet you're very adament about it. I tend to agree with you so we'll see.

If my desires come true and Fehr is promoted to the 2nd line in place of a traded Flash, then I expect him to have 25+ goals with the extra time with a better center and LW (Semin). I see Semin-MJ/MP-Fehr at some point this year with Laich on the 3rd line with Chimeria and MP/MJ at center.

I personally dont see him having another "break out" year while trapped on the 3rd line and Flush taking away his chance at playing on the 2nd. IF he can get significant playing time with Semin on the 2nd line. He could probably pot 30 goals. Otherwise, he will hover in the low 20's again. Then again, who knows until it happens right?

Will Eric Fehr have another breakout season?
A: Of course he will! ...or my name ain't WTF.

This is the first one of these stat threads I have actually read all the way through.

In a nutshell, if you give this guy more ice time with good complimentary players, he will score more goals.

Incidently he looked better on ice in the preseason than he ever has in a Caps uniform, and that also is encouraging.

SAOTI, I imagine you did not like ESPN rating Semin as overrated? I disagree because Semin gets better every year and he sure sent a lot of rubber Halak's way. Had Semin had a good center last year, some would have gotten in.

How about this for a goal scoring song?

http://www.sing365.com/music/lyric.nsf/Red-lyrics-Sammy-Hagar/238C4E962D464A1648256EDE000F93D8

He is getting long in the tooth for a breakout season - he better start playing consistently, especially with the new contract. I think the fans are going to be less forgiving for him this year if he stinks it up...can anyone say Getzlaf?

It's past the witching hour, is AGordon still in the organization?

Nice lyrics and rhythm but too 80ish for my taste

A Gordon cleared. And for the record nobody claimed Kennedy.

Also all opening night rosters have to be established by 3pm EST today. Expect more moves.

Neil,
Why didn't you post this article BEFORE I drafted Fehr?

Stevie K.

That proves it -- Kennedy is a bust and GMGM is the worst GMGM evah!

Then I do apologize for my rant yesterday afternoon concerning Gordon. What length contract did he sign? If it was a one year I would expect him to bolt to another team mext year where he has more of an opportunity to break the lineup.

As far as the analysis goes, how did the "comps" compare to Fehr in terms of ice time? Also, did the "comps" have the strong upward trend in terms of points and ice time that Fehr has? Or were they guys that played a lot in their younger years and then plateaued? The "analysis" looks pretty crude to me. Of course, injuries, Laich blocking him from getting more ice time, poor performance of linemates, etc., could all have adverse impacts.

Re: waivers - just like we're high on our prospects who had to clear waivers, the Detroit blog had some favorites. One of these is Derek Meech. Anyone know about him?

I didn't realize how much Matt Hendricks actually looks like BB! Our gritty forward is the stay-puff marshmellow man after a month at the gym.

When I think of a "breakout" season, and I don't care when it happens, I think of a sudden and significant increase in production.

If a guy like Fehr goes from being a 20 goal scorer to a 30+ goal scorer...BREAKOUT.

...and if he is consistent his paycheck is gonna breakout too.

pokerface,

Sources feeding you anything or is all quiet?

@PhilR

Bob McKenzie tweeted a few minutes ago that everyone placed on waivers yesterday cleared, so it appears Andrew Gordon is off to Hershey.

@JIMALLCAPS

You know I stand up for my boy. I for one dont feel he is overrated in the least. He's a lethal player and brings more to the game than others give him credit for. I also imagine if you polled NHL d-men, they'd probably say seeing Semin come in on them 1v1 is the last thing they would want. :)

interesting part of the following article regarding AnGus...

"Rookie forward Anton Gustafsson was reassigned to South Carolina Sunday, but the Charleston Post and Courier reported the former first-rounder may not report to the team."

Um, ... What?

@FrankM73

This is from a Carolina Stingrays blog posted Monday night on Anton Gustafsson not reporting:

http://www.postandcourier.com/blogs/stingrays/?plckController=Blog&plckBlogPage=BlogViewPost&UID=1cc16a25-da92-4a83-9970-cea0213bc833&plckPostId=Blog%3a1cc16a25-da92-4a83-9970-cea0213bc833Post%3ae504bd95-987c-430b-b206-6b2ec0eeef3c&plckScript=blogScript&plckElementId=blogDest

lylewimbledon:
i wonder if, when discussing jessiman, ny ranger fans utter: can anyone say fehr

TSN announced their top 50 players ranking. Crosby was first, of course - they love little Cindy up in Toronto, don't they? Ovi is 2, Nick is 9, Green is 27, and Semin is 41. I couldn't find Flash on the list - I'm sure he must be there, so I will keep looking.

*head collapses in dejection* Well... I guess 2 out of the 3 Swede center-men panning out is better than other teams! (provided MoJo does become a 2 or 3 Center-man for the Caps.

More fuel for the anti-GMGM masses!

I sincerely hope there is something lost in translation!

@zmega...don't look on the bottom 50 list, you won't find him there either...but if you read this site regularly you would think he was the worst player on the Caps since Jeff Schultz

How about this for the new goal-scoring song?

http://www.sing365.com/music/lyric.nsf/Red-lyrics-Sammy-Hagar/238C4E962D464A1648256EDE000F93D8

In order for Fehr to have a "breakout season" one of the following three things must occur first:

#1. Boudreau is fired.

#2. Fleischmann is traded.

#3. Fehr is traded.

As long as Boudreau is coaching this team and Fleischmann is on it, Fehr is not going to be given a chance to succeed.

Did people really think A. Gordon wouldn't clear waivers?

"I sincerely hope there is something lost in translation!" - FrankM73

I think his skills and talent were lost in translation.

"I couldn't find Flash on the list - I'm sure he must be there," - zmega

Maybe he is using his Playoff Cloaking Device given to him by the Romulans.

Also, funny how ESPN declares Semin overrated, and TSN says he's Top 50 in the NHL.

How about no song? Or do we need a song to tell us when to cheer for a goal?

My question would be what are the numbers of the year - 1 and year - 2 for those 32 comperable players as well as the year + 2 and year + 3.

Also, Fehrs numbers are just as close, if not closer to the year + 1 numbers for the comperables, especially if you factor in games played.

And what is the avg TOI/game for the comperables in their seasons? Did they see an increase in TOI in year + 1 as well?

And I am also curious if Brooks Laich and Tomas Fleischmann are included in those comperables -

Laich at 24 had 21 goals 16 Assists, 37 points and went on to 23 goals, 30 Assists, 53 points the following year.

Fleischmann had 19 goals, 18 assists, 37 points at 24 and went on to have 23 goals, 28 assists 51 points the following season.

So if you look at 2 comperables who are on the same team as Fehr who were 24 just in the last 3 seasons, things look a lot better for Fehr than looking over the last 40 years at a wide variety of teams.

I personally look for Fehr to have about 22 goals, 23 assists, 45 points this season.

OMG...A GORDON CLEARED WAIVERS! THE CAPS FUTURE IS SAVED!!!!!

Some of you are so overdramatic about the weirdest things.

A Gordon is an AHL lifer. The NEW Alexander Giroux of the Bears.

And Fehr--will get hurt (again) and will not come close to 20 goals again.

I like him but he is a combination of Fleishman and B Gordon. Some skill, but likes the smell of the first aid room.

And Gus...see ya! Join the list of former NHL players sons who couldn't live up to their fathers.

@ zmega..

Green and Semin are on that list?

Green shouldn't be, unless he is listed as a forward.

Semin shouldn't be, unless he is being graded on his ability to draw, I mean, TAKE offensive zone lazy penalties.

One of these is Derek Meech. Anyone know about him?

_________________________

Soft, bottom pairing type of guy. We have no use for him.

My lines...

8/19/22
21/90/28
25/hendrix/16
King/39/10

Our defense is INSTANTLY upgraded this year! Though I think Schultz's true colors will shine through...

But Alzner and Carlson should have made the team LAST YEAR! :)

@Gfisher1:

You may be right...still, I think it would be a great tune to hear at some point in the building.

wooooo
sahhhh

...i will ignore the lunatics
...i will ignore the lunatics

A couple of guys were claimed off of waivers yesterday. Tampa claimed C Mattias Ritolla from Detroit and the Islanders claimed forward Michael Garbner from Florida.

Also, Flash being on the team is not preventing Eric Fehr from being on the 2nd line this year. Fehr is a RW and Flash will be playing center this year.

He is getting long in the tooth for a breakout season - he better start playing consistently, especially with the new contract. I think the fans are going to be less forgiving for him this year if he stinks it up...can anyone say Getzlaf?

Posted by: lylewimbledon |

And we also picked Anton Gussy over Eberle...do you have a point to make, or are you just pointing out one of the infinite examples possible to show when a GM messed up a draft pick? (Which takes all about 5 seconds to google)

PhilR - same as yesterday.

There's a huge jump on almost every NHL team from their top two pairs and their 5-7 d-men; just because a guy has feasted off slower, less mobile d-men in the past does not automatically he'll do so in the future.

Fehr has magic hands, that's undeniable - but with his glaring lack of footspeed I just don't see him ever getting much time and space against good d-men every night, which he'd do as a top-6.