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Capital Weather Gang: January 6, 2008 - January 12, 2008

Alert: Sunday PM Storm Mainly Rain

The details for tomorrow's storm are finally crystallizing, but snow crystals aren't a big part of the equation, unless you happen to be a mile high in the atmosphere. Down at ground level, temperatures are going to be too warm for snow until the storm is pulling away and starting...

By Jason Samenow  | January 12, 2008; 11:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Alerts, Winter Storms  
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Test Your Weather History Knowledge

Are you a weather buff, a history buff, or both? The Weather Channel program "When the Weather Changed History" which had its debut last week, will air its second episode this Sunday at 9pm (ET)....

By Jason Samenow  | January 12, 2008; 2:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (9)
Categories:  Media  
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Alert: On the Edge of Sunday Night Storm

Probability of accumulating snow pretty low Indications are strong that a major storm will impact New Jersey to New England with some significant snows, especially the further north you go Sunday night. But once you get south of Jersey, precipitation amounts will likely decrease from northeast to southwest through the...

By Jason Samenow  | January 12, 2008; 12:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Alerts  
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Best Snow Chance Since Early December

But still not great; Uncertainty higher than normal Next Chance of Accumulating Snow: Sunday-Monday Probability: 55% Potential Impact: Commentary: A storm will organize off the coast of the Carolinas Sunday morning and then intensify as it merges with another storm to the northwest off the coast of the Delmarva peninsula...

By Jason Samenow  | January 12, 2008; 7:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (19)
Categories:  Winter Storms  
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Forecast: From Sunny to Stormy

Rain and snow likely Sunday evening The sun demands you do your outdoor deeds today. By tomorrow, clouds lower and thicken, and storminess likely approaches from the south. Rain is likely by the afternoon, possibly changing to snow overnight. TODAY Mostly sunny. 50-55. It will be hard to believe there's...

By Jason Samenow  | January 12, 2008; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Alert: Sunday Night Storm Odds Increasing

New information I'm analyzing suggests an increased risk of significant precipitation starting Sunday afternoon and especially Sunday night. The exact location of rain/snow line -- likely to be somewhere between the Chesapeake Bay and mountains -- is so uncertain, that it's too early to confidently say whether the metro area...

By Jason Samenow  | January 11, 2008; 10:50 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Alerts  
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CommuteCast: No Weather Worries

Mostly clear and dry After overnight light rain and showers put about a third of an inch in the bucket, skies have cleared nicely in the metro area this afternoon. Once again, the air behind a cold front passing through the region in mid afternoon is relatively mild, so temperatures...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 11, 2008; 3:47 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Mediarology: Got $5 Billion?

Apply directly to the forehead! Raid the piggy bank, weather fans. Today's WaPo has a front-page business section article discussing the previously-announced potential sale of The Weather Channel. Landmark Communications, current owner of TWC, was founded as a newspaper company over 100 years ago in the Norfolk area, so the...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 11, 2008; 12:46 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Media  
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Come Join the Fun

Wow!!! This is my first time on the blog and I learned more about meteorology and weather reading this than I have in the past 45 years [referring to Matt Ross's "Where's All the Snow?" feature]. This could become addictive. - Lester Burnham on our comment board. Thanks Lester, you've...

By Jason Samenow  | January 11, 2008; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (10)
 
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Forecast: Briefly Damp & Warm

Trending cooler; Storm may miss us "wide-right" Sunday night After a balmy week with much above normal temperatures and some showery weather -- here we go again: a warmish, showery Friday. Then a cooler weekend is to follow... What is Sunday's winter storm potential for the DC area? TODAY Wet...

By Camden Walker  | January 11, 2008; 7:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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The Mystery Cloud

KISS or Contrails? Kevin's cloud photo post this morning inspired some interesting creativity among the site's visitors. I think the most original explanation was submitted by Curtis, who said: Folks, that's the universal signal for a pending KISS concert. It works similarly to the mechanism the Commissioner used to summon...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 10, 2008; 7:28 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Photography  
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CommuteCast: Sprinkles, Maybe More

Showers and rain through tomorrow morning Sprinkles ahead of a developing low pressure area in the Midwest have dampened the ground this afternoon in the metro area, but amounts have been extremely light so far, especially north of the District. You'll be dodging a 50% chance of showers on your...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 10, 2008; 3:43 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Alert: Higher Sunday/Monday Storm Threat

Some new computer model guidance suggests that a coastal storm will track close enough to land to produce significant rain and/or snow over the metro area late Sunday into Monday. While details still remain foggy, we'll keep you updated as a clearer picture begins to emerge over the coming hours...

By Ian Livingston  | January 10, 2008; 1:40 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Alerts  
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What Caused this Cloud Formation?

Sunset over Fairfax, January 8. At 5:15pm on Tuesday I noticed an odd cloud formation in the sky. I took a photograph and have posted it above. Can anyone explain this cloud formation and what may have caused its shape? Please comment. Steve will publish some of the best and/or...

By Kevin Ambrose  | January 10, 2008; 11:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (25)
Categories:  Photography  
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Forecast: Unsettled Through Next 48 Hours

Noticeably cooler by Sunday A series of cold fronts -- one that moved through yesterday and another passing by today -- will provide us with up-and-down temperatures and periods of showers and rain today into early Friday. Thereafter, drier weather and cooler temperatures are in store for Saturday, while seasonably...

By Josh Larson  | January 10, 2008; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (28)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Meet a Major Meteorologist

Attention winter weather weenies It never rains, but it pours. The DC region, home to more meteorologists per acre than probably anywhere else in the world, is host to two major meteorological meetings on the same night next week. The DC chapter of the American Meteorological Society is presenting winter...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 9, 2008; 7:46 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (10)
Categories:  Winter Storms  
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PM Forecast: Not as Hot

Becoming cooler, some rain later As expected, the cold front went through the Washington metro area around 8 or 9 this morning, as a strong southerly breeze became westerly and then northwesterly. Humidity dropped dramatically; dewpoints fell as much as 16° in one hour. Temperatures rose, however, hitting a morning...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 9, 2008; 4:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (13)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Winter Starts Slow, Will it Finish Strong?

After yesterday's record-breaking warmth and a rather tame start to winter, one naturally wonders, is winter cold and snow going to be a no-show? Our updated, long-term winter outlook calls for January to cool down after a hot start, a warm February and the potential for a colder than average...

By Matt Ross  | January 9, 2008; 12:05 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Winter Storms  
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Forecast: Temperatures to Fall, But Not Too Far

Somewhere, winter waits in the wings Some January thaws end with a "back-to-reality" blast of bitterly cold air. But not this one. A cold front coming through today will bring an end to this week's record warmth, but not before temperatures threaten to exceed 60 degrees for the third day...

By Dan Stillman  | January 9, 2008; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (51)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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News & Notes: Geek me out!

Tracking weather while in transit; Science of cold on PBS tonight As if your cell phone didn't provide enough reason to ignore the road while driving, DC-based XM Satellite Radio announced Sunday that they will debut the first-ever real-time in-vehicle weather tracking system at next week's North American International Auto...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 8, 2008; 6:15 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (7)
Categories:  News & Notes  
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Records Fall

The new record highs for today... National: 73 (breaks the old record of 69 set in 1998) Dulles: 70 (breaks the old record of 69 set in 1998) BWI: 70 (breaks the old record of 67 set in 1998) Why do the record highs and lows for National and BWI...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 8, 2008; 5:29 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (6)
Categories:  Local Climate  
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PM Forecast: Cooldown Following Record Heat

Reports of winter's demise are extremely premature Welcome back, friends of PM Update, and welcome to our new visitors, as well! It's a fine April, er, early January day here in the Washington metro area. Yes, today's noon sun angle of about 29° was close to what it would be...

By Steve Scolnik  | January 8, 2008; 4:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (34)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Sunspot Sparks Space Weather

Bored with the Washington area's warm winter weather? At least things are picking up in space. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reports that a new sunspot could spell magnetic storms and solar winds capable of disrupting everything from power grids to ATMs....

By Dan Stillman  | January 8, 2008; 1:45 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (3)
Categories:  Science  
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Forecast: Record Warmth Within Reach

Cooler air coming; Could white stuff be far behind? Welcome to the Capital Weather Gang blog! Read more below to find out more about us and this blog, but let's get right to the forecast .... Did you like the weather yesterday? Mother Nature's bottled it up and will spoon...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 5:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Where's All the Snow?

Outside of the December 5 "clipper storm" that brought 3-5" to most of the DC metro area, the metro region has seen little to no snow. And it's been warm. December finished over two degrees above normal at Reagan National Airport (DCA) for DC's eighth consecutive month with at or...

By Matt Ross  | January 8, 2008; 4:45 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (20)
Categories:  Winter Storms  
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Photography: Snowless Sunrise

Sunrise at the reflecting pool, January 5. The alarm sounded at 5:30am Saturday morning and I slowly got out of bed to check the infrared satellite and water vapor loops on my computer. I find that satellite imagery is the best tool to forecast cloud cover, which ultimately determines a...

By Kevin Ambrose  | January 8, 2008; 4:30 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Photography  
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Links: General

LOCAL WEATHER LINKS Washington/Baltimore National Weather Service Forecast Office (Sterling, Va.) DC Monthly Climate Summaries from National Weather Service DC Chapter of the American Meteorological Society Washington D.C. Weather Photography Area Climate Information from WUSA-9 Mid Atlantic Weather Station DC Weather History (from the National Weather Service) AnnandaleWeather.com MidAtlanticWeather.com MarylandWeather.org...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 4:15 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Links  
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Links: Models & Technical Discussion

This page contains links to computer simulations of the atmosphere used by meteorologists to forecast the weather. It also includes technical discussions. Understanding the content of these links would be aided through self-study or by taking some classes in meteorology. MODELS For an overview on interpreting computer models, see: WeatherPrediction.net...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 4:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Links  
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Links: Current Conditions

Hourly Current Conditions for Washington DC, Maryland and Virginia East Regional Temperature Map from Weather.com National Surface Map from Weather.com MORE DETAILED OBSERVATIONS Reagan National Airport Dulles Airport Manassas, Va. Leesburg, VA Winchester, VA Charlottesville, Va. Camp Springs, Md Baltimore, Md Hagerstown, Md Salisbury, Md NOAA's Forecast Systems Laboratory Display...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 4:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Links  
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Links: Radar/Satellite

RADAR IMAGERY DC Area Doppler Radar (NEXRAD) from National Weather Service Best site if you just want to see where precipitation is falling and where it's heading. WeatherUnderground DC Radar Our top pick for meteorologists, and weather hobbyists. Allows you to alter elevation angles, zoom in, loop at different speeds,...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 4:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
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Links: Forecasts

DC AREA FORECASTS WJLA/News Channel 8 AccuWeather Fox 5 WTTG NBC4 National Weather Service Intellicast Weather.com WUSA (CBS)...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 4:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
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Links: Blogs

Criteria for inclusion on this page include regular updates (at least one/week) and professional content. DC/BALTIMORE AREA WEATHER BLOGS Blogs for Topper Shutt and Howard Bernstein (WUSA) Doug Hill's Blog (ABC-7) DCist (all-things DC blog, occasionally blogs about weather) DCRTV (DC media blog, occasionally blogs about TV weather forecasters) Tony...

By Jason Samenow  | January 8, 2008; 4:00 AM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
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About This Blog

The Capital Weather Gang blog provides the most insightful and entertaining weather coverage available for the metropolitan Washington, D.C. region. Our team of forecasters and writers not only tells you what's going on with local weather, but why it's happening, and what you can expect for specific upcoming events and...

By Dan Stillman  | January 7, 2008; 5:00 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang  
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Meet the Gang

TEAM LEADERS Jason Samenow - Chief Meteorologist A native Washingtonian, Jason Samenow has been a weather enthusiast since age 10 (1987) -- the year of the "double whammy" snow storms that shut schools down seven straight days in the D.C. area. Before graduating from high school, he interned for NBC4...

By Capital Weather Gang  | January 7, 2008; 4:30 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang  
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Frequent Questions

Where did Capital Weather Gang come from? Who's on the team? You all use the word "team" a lot? Why is that so important? Can't I get my weather forecast from the local TV news, the Weather Channel, the radio, or from Web sites like weather.com and AccuWeather.com? What...

By Dan Stillman  | January 7, 2008; 4:20 PM ET  |  Permalink  |  Comments (0)
Categories:  Capital Weather Gang  
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