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Posted at 3:46 PM ET, 01/15/2008

CommuteCast: Breezy, Cold After Snow Show

By Steve Scolnik

Mostly sunny tomorrow

Some leftover spin in the atmosphere in the wake of the snowstorm departing to the northeast from the Canadian Maritimes brought some vigorous, if brief, snow flurries to the Washington metro area around noon today. (We'll try to have more on the spin factor in a future News&Notes; for a preview, check out the infrared satellite loop at Unisys.)

Temperatures at mid afternoon have been in the mid to upper 30s, with a wind from the west gusting as high as 25 mph.

Tonight: Winds will be gusty through this evening but diminish later on tonight. Commute-time temperatures in the low 30s will drop to lows in the upper 20s downtown to the low and mid 20s in the 'burbosphere under partly cloudy skies.

Tomorrow: Highs will be 40-45 under mostly sunny skies.

See Matt's post for the rest of the forecast, including a look ahead to the weekend, and the Snow Lover's Crystal Ball for the latest thinking on Thursday's snow potential, or lack thereof.

By Steve Scolnik  | January 15, 2008; 3:46 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Squall Chasing and a Sun Pillar

Comments

Snow Show? More like No Show. Tear.


Posted by: Dave in Adams Morgan | January 15, 2008 4:06 PM | Report abuse

Until 2day, 23 of last 26 days have been above average, an +8.2 degrees during this time.

Posted by: VaTechBob. | January 15, 2008 4:58 PM | Report abuse

I want some friggin snow!!!

Posted by: Anonymous | January 15, 2008 5:41 PM | Report abuse

moi aussi!!

Posted by: missy | January 15, 2008 5:42 PM | Report abuse

i think we all are getting desperate for snow. it might be one of those years.

Posted by: josh | January 15, 2008 5:57 PM | Report abuse

Im am definately liking the latest 18z GFS run for next week...It has storm after storm following the jetstream and sliding up. Its gonna bring a lot of "somethin" our way it appears.

Posted by: skinsfn | January 15, 2008 6:02 PM | Report abuse

Probably a whole lot of "nuthin," skinsfn, but my fingers are crossed.

Posted by: Dave in Adams Morgan | January 15, 2008 6:06 PM | Report abuse

Im gonna go out on a limb. Today's brief snow show is mother nature giving us a nibble of whats to come in next two weeks

Posted by: skinsfn | January 15, 2008 6:12 PM | Report abuse

Mother nature hasnt shown us love this winter. I feel like we all got "dumped". Everyone is hurting..except for those snow hater nuts...jk.:).. Dont worry she'll come back around to apologize soon.

Posted by: skinsfn | January 15, 2008 6:21 PM | Report abuse

Yeah, us 'snow hater nuts,' only 90 percent of the DC area...

Posted by: anon | January 15, 2008 7:19 PM | Report abuse

Everyone I know must fall in that other 10%. Odd.

Posted by: Snowlover2! | January 15, 2008 7:38 PM | Report abuse

They're all on this site!

Posted by: Kalorama Park | January 15, 2008 7:42 PM | Report abuse

I wouldn't mind if it snowed once a week for the entire winter :)

Posted by: Snowlover | January 15, 2008 7:51 PM | Report abuse

the best thing ever was the prez day storm of 03. we had no school for over a week and my uncle was visiting and he got stranded. I hope there is a major storm with 2+ feet of snow this winter

Posted by: sam | January 15, 2008 8:09 PM | Report abuse

Maybe you should tell your uncle to come over on Thursday. He might just be the key.

Posted by: mcleaNed | January 15, 2008 8:19 PM | Report abuse

The GFS is showing a number of late January (25th and beyond) storms. Unfortunately, the short range looks pretty bland to me, save for a little snow on Thursday.

Posted by: mcleaNed | January 15, 2008 8:30 PM | Report abuse

haha. yes! bring the uncle over, take the shovels out..anything we can do to encourage some flakes! we did get some HUGE snowflakes today, but they were short lived :(
counting on thursday to be a good storm! BTW- when will capital weather put up a new post? will there be another tonight??? i need something to look forward too amongst all this studying....

Posted by: strangldangel | January 15, 2008 8:34 PM | Report abuse

At least we finally have some decently low temps.

Posted by: ~sg | January 15, 2008 8:46 PM | Report abuse

Don't get excited about models over 3 days out. They're as useful as a humidifier in a rain forest. At least their's some cold weather 4 the next week or so.

Posted by: VaTechBob. | January 15, 2008 9:12 PM | Report abuse

finally some cold air...refreshing.

Posted by: missy | January 15, 2008 9:22 PM | Report abuse

00z NAM coming in slightly colder because of more wedging on Thursday.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | January 15, 2008 9:33 PM | Report abuse

This evening, driving home, saw a cool phenomenon, a bright streak directly above the setting sun. I was thinking it was a "sun dog" but a little research shows its called a "sun pillar". Has to do with light refracted through ice crystals. Pic here, although, you need to use a little imagination...
http://www.flickr.com/photos/gv47/2195880535/

Posted by: GV in CP | January 15, 2008 9:44 PM | Report abuse

Snowlover:

Agreed on the weekly snow idea. Or even a bit more often! Yeah, I need to move =P.

Thursday storm still looks, well, interesting here. Looks like 1-3" of snow (I'm thinking closer to the 3 over 2000' like here, closer to the 1 in places like downtown Roanoke), changing to a mix of snow/sleet/freezing rain. In a way the crunchy top is good, insofar as it will help preserve what snow does fall!

Posted by: Jim in Blacksburg | January 15, 2008 9:56 PM | Report abuse

Nice photo, GV in CP! I think I see the pillar.

Posted by: ~sg | January 15, 2008 10:04 PM | Report abuse

After the NAM loaded to 84 hrs. it also gives some support to the idea of a possible threat on Sat. that I mentioned earlier today. The JMA is the strongest on this idea.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | January 15, 2008 10:18 PM | Report abuse

What's the 0z gfs showing for the Northern Shenandoah Valley for the Thursday system. I was under the impression that we might see a few hours of frozen precip. Not sure if it will stick though.

Posted by: winchester | January 15, 2008 11:03 PM | Report abuse

No evening update?

Posted by: Anonymous | January 15, 2008 11:13 PM | Report abuse

I saw the same sun pillar as I was finishing up my run this afternoon. Made for a very pretty sunset.

Posted by: Curmudgeon | January 15, 2008 11:14 PM | Report abuse

I saw some interesting weather as well. The sun was shining brightly while the snow was coming down furiously around 1pm this afternoon. I tried to take a picture, but it didn't come out well.

Posted by: jtf | January 15, 2008 11:29 PM | Report abuse

Today's snow showers put in a nice coating in PW county. Lawns are snow covered in many places especially close to Quantico.

Posted by: Anonymous | January 15, 2008 11:31 PM | Report abuse

Its gonna get cold...but not until we have another rain storm Thursday night....and than...I have a feeling this cold burst is going to be a dry one.
As far as the storm for Thursday goes, I think we start out with a little snow changing over to rain, nothing really big at all. Than we get the cold air, highs in the 20's Sunday, maybe Monday as well. I think our best chance for some snow may be Saturday night, we'll see how that turns out. And don't get excited about what the gfs is showing 250hrs out or anything like that, those storms will keep looking that good, as long as you keep looking that far out.
It's cold here tonight in Arnold, curently sitting at 29F. Thats nothing though compared to Mt. Washington, NH, who's current temperature is 5F.

Posted by: arnoldkh | January 15, 2008 11:53 PM | Report abuse

0Z shows us 2 notable storms... one is the Jan. 24 system, which looks far less intense now than it did during the 18Z run, and the second is this winter wallop:

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwpara/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_pcp_324m.gif
15 days away (this is the 336HR we're talking about), but it will help keep us hopeful as we go into late January. For what it's worth (and, to be honest, it's not worth much at all), the GFS shows this storm strengthening to the point where the "eye pressure" is 968 mb. That's one massive nor'easter.

Posted by: mcleaNed | January 16, 2008 12:20 AM | Report abuse

Cool pic GV in CP! I believe you took a picture of a sun pillar. A sundog is also known as a 'parhelia'. Both are neat to behold.
http://www.atoptics.co.uk/halo/parhelia.htm
Also, a good number of curious teachers in Fairfax Co. would like to know about the potential impact of Thursday's weather on school (Thursday early release, trouble during regular commute home, icy roads Friday morning?, etc.) Thanks Weather Team!

Posted by: Nelle | January 16, 2008 12:32 AM | Report abuse

We think there is a chance of a light, sloppy accumulation on Thursday before a changeover to rain. Posts later on today will provide more details. I think it's a little early to know whether this storm will have enough of an impact to cause delays or early closings.

Posted by: Jason, Capital Weather Gang | January 16, 2008 12:57 AM | Report abuse

You cant help but to look out to next week's GFS runs.I saw a little snow today, enough to give me a glimmer of hope.Its good to know it can actually snow here this winter.

Posted by: skinsfn | January 16, 2008 1:14 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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