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Posted at 3:40 PM ET, 01/14/2008

CommuteCast: Brisk but Dry

By Steve Scolnik

A storm system that developed off the coast last night has moved northeastward, bringing snow to New England, where most Washingtonians would probably say it should stay. In its wake, variable clouds have spit out some scattered light snow flurries, some of which were reported by Capital Weather Gang visitors; the CommuteCast mobile unit saw a very few tiny flakes west of I-270 in MoCo around noon. Gusty northwesterly winds have been accompanied by temperatures near seasonal averages, in the mid 40s.

Tonight: Temps will drop to the low 40s for the commute home and into the upper 30s this evening, reaching lows of 30-35 in the city overnight, 25-29 in the 'burbosphere, under partly cloudy skies.

Tomorrow will be colder than today with highs 39-42 under variable clouds and northwesterly breezes. There may be a few scattered snow flurries, especially well to the north and west of the Beltway.

See Jason's post for the rest of the forecast, including a look ahead to the weekend.

By Steve Scolnik  | January 14, 2008; 3:40 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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LOL @ 'burbosphere

Posted by: John - Burke | January 14, 2008 4:04 PM | Report abuse

Looks like a few flurries heading our way. Or is that just precip. that wont make it to the ground???

Posted by: Steve | January 14, 2008 4:15 PM | Report abuse

The "Rest of the Forecast" link is bad.

Posted by: Jenn in Reston | January 14, 2008 4:16 PM | Report abuse

i am looking forward to spring how about everboyd else since its not going to snow any. its all rain folks. get used to it. see ya next winter.

Posted by: josh | January 14, 2008 4:26 PM | Report abuse

There could very well be a couple of flurries through the evening; probably should have included that in the forecast.

Posted by: Steve, Capital Weather Gang | January 14, 2008 4:38 PM | Report abuse

Josh, you are a bit premature. We need to get through the President's Day weekend next month before the danger of sticking snow is past. Occasionally we will get a good snow in March, but generally March snows tend not to stick.

Posted by: El Bombo | January 14, 2008 4:40 PM | Report abuse

Anyone see the latest 18z GFS run for 1/24...Those colors sure do look pretty. I am enjoying it now. 00z may change it. Hard to belive, that can just pop out of the blue from the previous 12z run...

Posted by: skinsfn | January 14, 2008 6:17 PM | Report abuse

1/29 run looks good as well. Maybe we can luck out with one of the two storm. I know many of you hate posts on long term model speculation, but what else is there to keep our hopes alive this winter. Seems many of us are down in the dumps.

Dont worry guys. We will get our storm this winter. I actually saw a couple small flakes today for about a minute. Gave me a little hope it can actually still snow around here..:)

Posted by: skinsfn | January 14, 2008 6:32 PM | Report abuse

Based on the 18Z GFS and NAM, my latest thoughts for Thur. are 2-4 inches of a mix for west of the B.R., more rain than snow east of the B.R. There is CAD from high pressure off the New England coast into the mts. If the high over the Atlantic was over Lake Superior instead of 1006mb L.P., things would be much more conducive for snow for everyone.

Virginia's Little Switzerland, Highland Co. is forecasted by the Mets. at Sterling to receive 4-7 inches in the next 24 hrs. from lake effect. They may also be in the bullseye for Thurs.

Many of you folks received 2-4 inches from the system on Dec. 5. Perhaps now it's my turn. I only received .5 inch snow from that event.

Re. the long term. The 18z GFS is the stuff dreams are made from for winter weather enthusiasts, with one event around 228 hrs. and another at 348 hrs. that would be ALL SNOW, all the time, for most.
We all know the GFS is very fickle beyond 72 hrs., but this is nice to dream about!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | January 14, 2008 6:52 PM | Report abuse

GFS represents every snow lover's (long term) hopes and dreams! If only Mother Nature was GFS.

Posted by: Model Monkey | January 14, 2008 7:01 PM | Report abuse

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