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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 01/28/2008

Forecast: Warming Up but Not Warm

By Jason Samenow

Relative to the last week, temperatures in the coming week will certainly feel mild by comparison. But it's not going to be that mild. We'll get lots of 45+ degree days, but surpassing 50 may not happen. Keep the Bermuda shorts in the attic.


Mostly sunny. 45-50. Despite the possibility of hitting the big 5-0 in today's forecast, it's going to be C-O-L-D early this morning with 20s in most spots. As we go to work, so will the sun, boosting temperatures to their warmest levels in about a week. Overnight, temperatures drop back down near freezing downtown and the upper 20s in most suburbs.


Chance of PM showers. Upper 40s. Clouds will increase ahead of a cold front approaching from the west. The morning should remain dry, but some scattered showers are possible (50/50 chance) in the afternoon. A southerly wind will make it mild and if we can get any sun, temperatures could crack 50 -- although upper 40s are the better bet. Overnight, rain showers are likely, with lows near 40.

Keep reading for a look ahead to the forecast for the rest of the week...


Gradual clearing, breezy. Upper 40s. A cold front will clear the region first thing in the morning, with decreasing clouds during the afternoon. As the air following the front won't be all that cold high temperatures should again reach the upper 40s, but won't feel that warm considering the wind. Overnight, as winds diminish under clear skies, temperatures should drop down to the mid 20s in the suburbs and upper 20s downtown.


Clouds will increase on Thursday, as a storm develops to the southwest. Highs should be in the mid 40s. The storm will bring rain Thursday night continuing into Friday, when highs should be in the low 40s. As of now, dry conditions look to return for the weekend, with temperatures in the mid to upper 40s.

By Jason Samenow  | January 28, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: The Great Knickerbocker Snowstorm of 1922


when is the next chance of snow?

Posted by: sam | January 28, 2008 6:28 AM | Report abuse

December 5, 2008 - looking at the long range models. They are not that accurate this far out but we can only hope.

Posted by: greg | January 28, 2008 7:35 AM | Report abuse

Next real shot at snow is almost two weeks least per GFS. Friday looks to be a soaker and then we get to watch something the following Friday - thats the one we may want to hedge our bets on, esp. with NAO negatizing around that time. Like that word? Its in honor of tonite's SOU from our esteemed Prez...

Posted by: ARC Dulles | January 28, 2008 7:50 AM | Report abuse

Sam: I don't see any snow chances in the next week. Some folks are talking about a pattern change that will give us better snow chances starting some time next week, but that's highly speculative.

Posted by: Jason, Capital Weather Gang | January 28, 2008 8:42 AM | Report abuse

Check out the satellite view this morning. A narrow band of clouds is streaming into the metro area. Clear to the west and to the east.
It looks and feels like snow (but of course, I know better).

Posted by: NoVaSnow | January 28, 2008 8:44 AM | Report abuse

Hey I love talk about the NAO negatizing. Isn't that what the problem has been this winter? Jason is that just speculation that its changing or speculation that it would increase our chances for snow?

Posted by: missy | January 28, 2008 9:45 AM | Report abuse

A frosty 18 degrees early this morning.

Some are interested in the NAO this morning. The NAO has been positive since late Dec. It is predicted to go slightly negative in early Feb. which is good news for those wishing for snow, but no certain precursor. When the NAO is too strongly negative it can help to suppress the storm track too far south. A negative NAO encourages cold air to move south from the arctic and often enhances storminess along the east coast of the U.S.

The AO which has been strongly positive is also forecast to trend neutral to negative.

Snowlovers : keep your fingers crossed!!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | January 28, 2008 10:23 AM | Report abuse

Pardon me for being a plebe, but what's NAO?

Posted by: Confused | January 28, 2008 11:29 AM | Report abuse

North Atlantic Oscillation. In simple terms it is mainly composed of strong high pressure over the Greenland-Iceland area that creates a blocking pattern.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | January 28, 2008 11:44 AM | Report abuse

thanks for the info on the oscillation...

Posted by: missy | January 28, 2008 11:50 AM | Report abuse

Next round in my Lynnwood, WA vs. Alexandria, VA winter!

(I've been popping in occasionally to see if this winter has me happier or sadder on my move from Virginia to Washington state, at least regarding snowfall).

Well we had a nice storm and convergence zone set up over my house last night. Woke up to 6" of snow on the ground. We're expecting another 4" tonight/tomorrow. But do not get too jealous, the next storm will wrap in more Pacific warmth, meaning the snow will likely change to rain early tomorrow morning. But...sometimes it stays snow (like DC), and is even harder to predict than the Midatlantic. :)

pulling for you guys to get another round of the white stuff!

Posted by: Matt | January 28, 2008 3:12 PM | Report abuse

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