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Posted at 3:00 PM ET, 02/15/2008

CommuteCast: Mild with Clouds Returning

By Ian Livingston

Sunny Saturday to start holiday weekend; rain late Sunday

Plane passes over DC
A plane cruises over Washington yesterday just prior to sunset. By Capital Weather Gang photographer Ian Livingston.

Temperatures have risen into the mid and upper 50s -- about 10 degrees above average -- across the area today. Breaks in the clouds during the late morning and early afternoon have allowed sunshine to help winds from the south and southwest warm the region. Clouds will be on the increase this afternoon and evening as a cold front moves by, but precipitation is not expected with the front so the drive home and evening will be dry.

Tonight: The cold front moving in from the west will arrive this evening and will be followed by an occasionally gusty breeze from the northwest that will usher in colder air. Clouds will keep temperatures from plummeting tonight, but lows in the mid 20s can be expected north and west of DC as temperatures fall to around 30 in the city and southeast.

Tomorrow: Any remaining clouds will break early in the day and much of Saturday will be sunny. Winds will also subside during the day as temperatures rise to around 40 degrees across the region.

The next chance of precipitation will be in the form of rain late Sunday into early Monday.

See Camden's forecast for the entire holiday weekend and beyond.

By Ian Livingston  | February 15, 2008; 3:00 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Posted by: dod | February 15, 2008 3:26 PM | Report abuse

Is there any hope for real snow from the Sunday evening precipitation in Western MD or the Laurel Highlands, PA?

Posted by: Uncle Dak - Ski Bum | February 15, 2008 3:46 PM | Report abuse

From Accuweather Joe:


Wow, for many, the long warm winter my have been worth the wait, for the mid and north atlantic states may become natures target for winter revenge next week at this time. The garbage that the GFS dumped on us yesterday with its front stalling in upstate New York has been soundly routed as the arctic attack coming later next week, in the wake of the one coming early in the week, promises to deliver a series of events that may leave areas in the midwest and northern mid atlantic wondering how such things could have happened. Not that what is going on in the rest of the country will take a back seat.

Posted by: Barry | February 15, 2008 3:53 PM | Report abuse

Re: AW Joe
Wow, a 65-word sentence; very impressive.

Posted by: Steve, Capital Weather Gang | February 15, 2008 4:27 PM | Report abuse

Today's mild highs:
National 58
Dulles 57
BWI 55
The 8° above average at National keeps us over 6° above at the halfway point in the month.

Posted by: Steve, Capital Weather Gang | February 15, 2008 4:35 PM | Report abuse


Do you see any large storms of potential in the long range?

Posted by: Barry | February 15, 2008 4:45 PM | Report abuse

Is their any possibility of snow this Sunday?

Posted by: Tormented in Germantown | February 15, 2008 5:11 PM | Report abuse

Re: Storms of potential
Not within the realm of believable predictability.

Posted by: Steve, Capital Weather Gang | February 15, 2008 5:12 PM | Report abuse

Quite a bold call from AccuWeather's Bastardi. He actually thinks the mid-Atlantic may end up having above average seasonal snowfall. While I think winter may still have a few tricks left up its sleeve (our winter forecast called for a cold March), I can't go that far.

Posted by: Jason, Capital Weather Gang | February 15, 2008 5:24 PM | Report abuse

Kalorama Park: Cross posting my answer from your question about marine forecasts in an earlier CWG blog post -

For marine forecasts, go to and click on the segment corresponding best to the area needed.

Posted by: ~sg | February 15, 2008 5:37 PM | Report abuse

With just a little rearranging, you can see that Steve's earlier post discounting storms with real potential is actually a haiku!

Storms of potential:
Not within the realm
Of believable predictability.

Posted by: ~sg | February 15, 2008 5:46 PM | Report abuse

I'll take Steve and the Gang's word over anything Joe "Intense 'Cane to hit NYC" Bastardi says.....

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 15, 2008 7:21 PM | Report abuse

I'll take Steve and the Gang's word over anything Joe "Intense 'Cane to hit NYC" Bastardi says.....

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 15, 2008 7:23 PM | Report abuse

I just returned to my "Den" after a busy day. I always read the comments on previous posts after being away. I read the brainstorming of the past icy system with great interest. I must say "Kudos" to Mike. Mike obviously has a great deal of knowledge regarding CAD. I also agree with Jason and the "gang". The Cap. Gang produces one of the best "packages" around, but CAD can be a true beast to forecast. Surface wind direction is a make and break, but this depends on your location. For D.C. a fresh east or southeast breeze can scour out the cold air quickly especially early season, but an east or southeast breeze is hopeless in my area because of the Blue Ridge to my east. I must have a strong southwest breeze.

We will have a modified CAD situation on Sunday, but not serious, because high pressure will be too far offshore. Later next week we may have a more serious CAD with precip. moving in.

The comments recently suggest that some folks believe that with the exit of February, winter is over. I will have some interesting comments re. that subject on Monday. STAY TUNED !!!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | February 15, 2008 7:32 PM | Report abuse

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