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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 02/27/2008

Forecast: On a Chilly Day, Spring Seems Far Away

By Dan Stillman

Gusty winds today; highs in the 30s tomorrow

Daylight saving time arrives in 11 days (Mar. 9). The first day of spring is just a hop, skip and a jump after that (Mar. 20). And not far behind is the Nats home opener (Mar. 30). Yet, all three surefire signs of spring seem far away on a chilly, windy day like today. The breezy chill continues tomorrow, followed by slowly rising temperatures for Friday and the weekend.

TODAY

Windy. Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of a flurry or snow shower. Near 40. Persistent winds out of the northwest sustained at 15-25 mph, with gusts to near 30-35 mph, will make highs near 40 feel more like 30. Partly to mostly cloudy skies and a chance of a flurry or snow shower will only add to the wintry feel.

Tonight, breezy with lows in the low 20s downtown, upper teens in the burbs. Wind chills in the teens and single digits.

TOMORROW

Breezy. Partly to mostly sunny. Mid 30s. Highs will likely be a few degrees colder than today, in the mid 30s. And while the wind shouldn't be as gusty, it'll still be quite breezy at about 15-20 mph from the northwest. Partly to mostly sunny skies won't do much to warm wind chills in the 20s.

Overnight, diminishing winds with increasing clouds late. Lows in the mid 20s downtown, mid teens to near 20 in the burbs.

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend.

FRIDAY

Becoming mostly cloudy. Increasing wind. Chance of p.m. showers. Mid 40s. Temperatures will climb a bit higher than Thursday as an approaching cold front increases our winds from the south. Highs should reach the mid 40s, even as skies become mostly cloudy. The front may bring some showers (30-40% chance) in the afternoon or evening.

Overnight, a continued chance of showers with lows in the 30s and clearing skies possibly working their way in toward morning.

A LOOK AHEAD

Breezy and partly to mostly sunny on Saturday with a chance of a lingering morning shower and highs in the 40s. Mostly clear Saturday night with lows near 30 downtown, mid 20s in the burbs. Sunday should be pretty nice, with mostly sunny skies, light winds and highs near 50.

By Dan Stillman  | February 27, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Are We in a Snow "Drought?"

Comments

Hey Dan,
I noticed you mentioned chance for flurry/shower, but wondering what your take is on LWX AFD:
MOREOVER...AM OBSERVING NUMEROUS SIGNALS THAT CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP DURING
THE MIDDAY AND AFTERNOON HOURS. THIS INCLUDES ALL AREAS EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING THE BALTIMORE WASHINGTON METRO AREA....NY SNOW SHOWER WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY PRODUCING A COATING TO PERHAPS AN INCH OF ACCUMULATION.

Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | February 27, 2008 6:03 AM | Report abuse

I can't believe that we set the clocks forward in 9 days and spring is in just a few weeks. Heyyy we get a week off. YAY!

That would be a nice present coming home this afternoon with some snow on the ground.

You guys were right on with the models and the storm next week. The new GFS shows us right in between 0 and 10 C. Darn.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/gfs/00/images/gfs_ten_150l.gif

Posted by: weatherdudeVA (Lake Ridge) | February 27, 2008 7:19 AM | Report abuse

And, this site is almost a challenge to view at school. Every time I post a comment, click a link, or refresh any CWG page when I'm at school it crashes the browser and I have to open IE again. UGH!

Does this happen to anyone else or is it our schools "up-to-the-date" technology?

Posted by: weatherdudeVA (Lake Ridge) | February 27, 2008 7:21 AM | Report abuse

People still use IE ? Do they not have Firefox or some other browser installed ?

Also, it's pointless to look at a specific 8 day forecast as was mentioned by the CWG folks, unless of course you like false hope and cartoons :)

Though, there is definitely something brewing for the SE next week. The downstream transfer of energy from the Pacific NW, to the Gulf Coast precipitation/development, to the cut-off forming over Florida, to the intense cyclogenesis off of the Carolinas.

It looks so much like the January 2000 storm (of which I did a case study) that it's like looking at my paper.

Although something may develop, seems we could see anything from a snow dumping, to rain event, to absolutely high and dry as it slides east. How's that for hedging bets (and is the nature of medium range forecasting).

Posted by: D | February 27, 2008 8:42 AM | Report abuse

If I'm remembering correctly, didn't it snow on Easter last year...which was in April?! I distinctly remember this b/c we were vacationing in Hawaii at the time! =)
I'm sure we've also had some other snowy Easters & St. Pat's Days, which I'm not able to remember...So, anything can still happen!

Posted by: dcnative | February 27, 2008 8:42 AM | Report abuse

Please would you define the 'at-a-glance' snowflakes? When I see five flakes, I think 'blizzard', when I see one, like early last week, I think flurries. And 30% chance is not that high, so please explain one more time.

Posted by: Etta | February 27, 2008 9:12 AM | Report abuse

Please don't take this as a sign that I am gloating over an accident or am happy that it happened. Whenever there is a debate over whether schools should close when there is an inch of snow there are always a multitude of people, on this site and others, who whine about school bus safety, blah, blah. Yet this morning, on a perfectly clear day, a school bus overturned with no sign of snow or ice on the roads.

"A school bus carrying students overturned in Riverdale this morning, and nearly a dozen people were reportedly taken to local hospitals for treatment.

John White, a spokesman for the Prince George's County school system, told Fox News that the bus was on its way to William Wirt Middle School. He said 11 people, including the driver, were taken to hospitals"

A Prince George's County Police spokesman said the accident occurred about 8:49 a.m. near the intersection of 61st Place and Riverdale Road. Initial reports suggested that none of the injuries were serious, he said"


Posted by: John | February 27, 2008 9:44 AM | Report abuse

More "same ol' same ol'"...just like the rest of this generally miserable winter. By now, I'm EAGER for meteorological Spring! No more of this windy "same ol'" ! I'm waiting for some SERIOUS SIXTIES!

Oh, and as for Mar. 3-4. The storm is still there, but with temps well over fifty it's all liquid. Figures, with another Clarendon Ballroom swing dance on the Tuesday night agenda.

Posted by: El Bombo | February 27, 2008 10:13 AM | Report abuse

Etta -- The 5 snowflakes currently showing in the At A Glance for today is unfortunate. The National Weather Service has supplied us with the wrong data. It's supposed to be a 30% chance of snow icon, which has fewer flakes.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | February 27, 2008 10:15 AM | Report abuse

By the way, where are all these snow showers???

Nothing of the sort has shown up in Ballston yet!!!

Posted by: El Bombo | February 27, 2008 10:20 AM | Report abuse

Thanks, Dan. (I wish you could have seen the look of delighted surprise on my face when I first saw them...)

Posted by: Etta | February 27, 2008 10:38 AM | Report abuse

No problem, Etta. We're working with the National Weather Service to try and iron out the kinks.

Mike -- Sorry for the late reply. A coating I could see, maybe, somewhere. Surface temps too warm for much more accumulation than that in the Baltimore-Washington metro area, at least IMO.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | February 27, 2008 11:04 AM | Report abuse

Mike, I noticed some flurries this afternoon when I was working outside (no accumulation). Radar shows more sporadic moisture on the way, but how much makes it past the Alleghenies remains to be seen.

Posted by: S.P. Gass | February 27, 2008 6:31 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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