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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 02/ 4/2008

Forecast: Warmth Waiting in the Wings

By Jason Samenow

But more wintry late in the week

While the weekend was mild by early February standards, it fell short of what could reasonably be considered warm. Temperatures were cool enough that heading out with a coat was the right idea. Wearing a coat is the right call again today, but you may not need it tomorrow as temperatures take aim at 65, or possibly higher.

TODAY

Mostly cloudy. Low 50s. Moist flow from the southeast will sock us in with a good deal of cloud cover, especially in the morning when a little light rain is possible (30% chance) especially north of metro area (towards Baltimore and the PA line). The clouds will hold temperatures down a bit, but the skies may brighten enough during the afternoon for us to pass 50 for the third straight day. Overnight, a warm front is likely to move through the area, possibly triggering some showers, particularly after midnight. Lows will mostly be in the mid 40s.

TUESDAY

Partly sunny and balmy. Mid 60s. Assuming the warm front clears the region early in the morning and allows the sun to come out, temperatures will easily hit 65 and 70+ is a possibility -- especially south of Fredericksburg. However, warm fronts sometimes stall on their journey north during winter. If this happens over the metro area, clouds will persist, showers are possible and we may only reach 60. The odds of this scenario materializing are less than one in three but increase a bit as you head towards the Mason Dixon line. Overnight, the very mild flow of air from the south will continue, and lows probably won't drop below the mid 50s. Showers may develop by morning (50% chance).

Keep reading for a look ahead to the forecast for the rest of the week...

WEDNESDAY

Showers likely. Low 60s. A cold front will race through the area late in the morning or early in the afternoon with a line of gusty showers. Even after the front passes, the cooler air will be slow to make its presence felt, so temperatures will probably remain well into the 50s until dark. Overnight, it will turn noticeably cooler, with lows in the mid 20s in the colder suburbs to near 30 downtown.

A LOOK AHEAD

Thursday will certainly be brisk relative to the previous two days, but temperatures should still reach the upper 40s under sunny skies. Clouds increase Thursday night with a chance of light rain or snow showers towards morning as a weak disturbance passes by. Friday clouds gradually decrease, with highs in the mid to upper 40s. Another weak disturbance will swing through the region Saturday, with a chance of light snow or rain. Precipitation and clouds may hold high temperatures in the 30s. Sunday should be partly sunny and seasonably cold, with highs in the low 40s.

By Jason Samenow  | February 4, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Update: Shower Chances Increase Today

Comments

As much as I love snow, I might as well enjoy it while I can. Knowing weather around here we'll have a week in the 20s then the next week will be in the 90s until September. LOL

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | February 4, 2008 8:21 AM | Report abuse

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