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Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 02/ 5/2008

Super Tuesday Special: Super Warm in Southeast

By Dan Stillman

But rain, snow a concern in other voting states

Unusually warm temperatures in the Southeast could help get out the Super Tuesday vote in Tennessee, Georgia and Alabama. Elsewhere, voter turnout could be suppressed by a significant swath of rain and snow activity along a cold front stretching from the southern Plains, northeastward through the Midwest, and into the eastern Great Lakes. Here's a roundup of notable weather expected to occur in states holding primaries or caucuses on Tuesday...

New York (Republican and Democratic primaries) -- Showers are likely through much of the central and southern portions of the state, including the New York area which may also see a thunderstorm or two.

Illinois and Missouri (Republican and Democratic primaries) -- Rain is likely, along with the possibility of thunderstorms, across both states, including the St. Louis area. In the Chicago area, rain is likely to develop in the afternoon, and may mix with snow and sleet toward evening.

Oklahoma (Republican and Democratic primaries) -- Rain is likely, possibly mixing with snow in the afternoon, in the central and eastern portions of the state, including in Oklahoma City and Tulsa.

Arkansas (Republican and Democratic primaries) -- Rain is likely throughout the state.

Idaho (Democratic caucus) -- Snow is likely in the northern panhandle. Mostly dry elsewhere in the state.

Kansas (Republican and Democratic caucuses) -- Much of the state stands a good chance of snow with accumulations of 1-3 inches a possibility.

Tenessee, Georgia, Alabama (Republican and Democratic primaries) -- Record highs are in jeopardy as temperatures reach the 70s to near 80.

North Dakota (Republican and Democratic caucuses) -- Bitterly cold with highs in the single digits to mid teens.

Colorado (Republican and Democratic caucuses) -- The eastern portion of the state could see a little bit of snow, mainly in the morning. Accumulations up to a couple inches are possible.

By Dan Stillman  | February 5, 2008; 10:30 AM ET
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Next: CommuteCast: Mostly Cloudy, Isolated Showers


This warming trend has raised a couple of questions that I was hoping someone could answer.

Let's say there is a body of fresh water in a controlled environment (no sun) that has been frozen for a year at 10 degrees F. If it warms up to 31-32 degrees F for a year would the ice begin to melt, freeze harder because it still below freezing, or stay frozen but eventually only be as frozen as it would have been at 32 degrees?

Posted by: Brian | February 5, 2008 11:33 AM | Report abuse

Brian-- I think as long as it's subfreezing, you'll continue to gain ice but at a slower rate. Note though, you can lose ice on a subfreezing day if it's sunny.

Posted by: Jason, Capital Weather Gang | February 5, 2008 11:58 AM | Report abuse

What about CA? that's the one to watch. thx!

Posted by: Rishi | February 5, 2008 1:03 PM | Report abuse

Hi Rishi -- Only pulled out the states that had notable weather. Things are pretty quiet in CA today.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | February 5, 2008 1:11 PM | Report abuse

NBC calls West Virginia caucuses for Huckabee.

Posted by: Steve, Capital Weather Gang | February 5, 2008 2:52 PM | Report abuse


Posted by: kj | February 5, 2008 3:02 PM | Report abuse

Romney guys... c'mon now.

Posted by: Period | February 5, 2008 3:36 PM | Report abuse

I thought this blog was supposed to focus on weather not politics?? Ummm so what's the weather like in alOBAMA???

On a serious note, is it possible to have a tornado outbreak this time of year? weather map is looking ugly in some spots.

Posted by: Sara in Oakton | February 5, 2008 4:34 PM | Report abuse

I, like Sara, was a little surprised by the political comment, but certainly not offended. Re. W.Va. "the rest of the story" reveals that this was accomplished by a sweet deal between the McCain and Huckabee folks on the second ballot.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | February 5, 2008 5:13 PM | Report abuse

Did I come off as offended? Sorry, not at all! Trust me, I could talk politics all night and pretty much did all day! Let's face it, this is history in the making. Sweet deal? Definately.

With all that being will be interesting to see how adverse weather impacts the primaries. I heard in CO they were trying to mobilize snowmobiles to get people to the polls.

Posted by: Sara in Oakton | February 5, 2008 6:11 PM | Report abuse

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