Forecast: Stalled Front to Bring Spring Showers
Mild and dry today, then shower chances into Saturday
As Matt pointed out yesterday, it's that time of the year again when cold fronts begin to lose their punch, and in the process they tend to stall out in our vicinity. The models meteorologists rely on to guide weather predictions have trouble pinning down exactly where a front will stall, and thus where clouds and precipitation will form, which makes the forecast beyond today rather uncertain. But forecast we will ...
Partly sunny. Low to mid 60s. Wake-up temperatures in the mid 40s will be a noticeable improvement from yesterday's crisp morning lows in the mid 20s to mid 30s, though can't rule out the slight chance of a morning sprinkle or shower. The sun will likely be in and out of clouds throughout the day. How high the temperature goes will depend on exactly how much sun we get, but low to mid 60s seems like a good bet, with a bit of a breeze from the west.
Tonight, partly cloudy through midnight, then becoming mostly cloudy with a shower possible toward morning and lows in the mid to upper 40s.
Cloudy. Chance of showers. Mid 50s to near 60. A stationary front setting up shop across the mid-Atlantic will mean cloudy skies and a chance of showers. The exact location of the front, which is quite uncertain, will determine how numerous the showers will be. At the moment, I'd put the chance of any given location seeing a shower or two at 60%, with a 40% chance that the area (especially north and west of D.C.) will see the development of steadier and more widespread showers. Highs should make it to the mid 50s to near 60.
Overnight, a chance of showers and mild with lows in the upper 40s to low 50s.
Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend.
Partly to mostly cloudy. Chance of showers, maybe a thunderstorm. 60s. Low pressure developing along the stalled front will help sustain a chance (30-40%) of showers during the early part of the day as highs climb into the 60s under partly to mostly cloudy skies. Then, a 50-60% chance of showers, and maybe a thunderstorm, for the afternoon and evening.
Overnight, a continued chance of showers with lows in the 40s.
A LOOK AHEAD
Models are having trouble deciding whether the front will hang around on Saturday, or be pushed to the south by high pressure trying to build in from the northwest. For now, my best guess is a partly to cloudy morning with a chance of showers, then clearing skies in the afternoon with highs in the 50s.
Mostly clear and cool Saturday night with lows in the 30s.
Odds are that high pressure will keep a storm system trying to approach from the west at bay, giving us a good amount of sunshine on Sunday and highs in the 50s.
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