My Weather: Get a Custom Forecast
Luke and Sandra's September wedding outlook
Do you have a big event coming up in your life or that you're planning for which you need to know the most likely weather scenario and the range of possibilities? The event could be a wedding, reunion, Bar Mitzvah, golf outing, company picnic, etc. Email us and we'll consider doing a custom weather assessment for you and your event right here on the Capital Weather Gang blog!
In your email, indicate why the weather plays a major role in your event, talk about the event's significance, and if possible, include a photo or two. Indicate whether you're looking for a general outlook which gives the range of possible weather outcomes well in advance (weeks/months) or a detailed forecast right before (within three to five days of) your event. The earlier you submit your request, the better.
Here's an example of what we can do...
Sandra Singh (left) and Luke Statz (right). Luke resides in Kalorama Park and is a consultant for BearingPoint. Sandra lives in New York City and is a brand manager for Calvin Klein fragrances. Photo courtesy Luke Statz.
Four years ago while out in Adams Morgan, Luke Statz met Sandra Singh. The two local natives, mingling with their own group of friends, spotted one another from across the restaurant. Luke, being shy, didn't pay Sandra much attention until realizing they had friends in common. They talked that night and Luke asked Sandra out a few days later. They've been together ever since and will tie the knot September 13, 2008.
Weather plays big into this couple's wedding plans. They've reserved the courtyard at a local hotel for the cocktail reception and plan to drive from the church to the reception on Luke's Vespa scooter. They're hoping for low 80s with low humidity, partial cloud cover, and a light breeze. Luke says: "We've got quite a few people coming in from other parts of the country, as well as western Europe, so we want our guests to enjoy DC weather at its best!"
So what are the chances the weather will cooperate for this happy couple?
The good news is that mid-September is characteristically a wonderful time of year in Washington. The average high on September 13 is 80 and the average low is a comfortable 63. Average rainfall for the date is 0.13", but in 78% of the days since 1929, no measurable rain has fallen.
So the averages look great, but what about the extremes?
The hottest temperature on record for the date is 93 (since 1929), which isn't that hot. And the record low of 49 isn't that cold. You would be hard pressed to find another time of year in Washington with such mild extreme temperatures and little variability.
Rainfall for the date, however, is quite variable. While most days historically have been dry, when it rains, it tends to pour. Nine out of the 17 days that have received measurable rain got over 0.5". The wettest day occurred in 1944 when the Great Atlantic Hurricane generated a 2.3" deluge.
Clearly, the worst case scenario for this couple would be to be impacted by a tropical system. Fortunately, the odds of that happening are low (around 5%) and the odds of the best case scenario of being comfortably warm and dry are quite high (around 75%).
The bottom line: this couple picked an excellent time of the year to get married from a climatological perspective. Of course, there's the saying: "Climate is what you expect, weather is what you get." Luke and Sandra might consider having a town car or limo on reserve. That Vespa won't do a lot of good if Hurricane Gustav comes along...
By Jason Samenow |
March 11, 2008; 11:00 AM ET
My Weather
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Posted by: Kalorama Park | March 11, 2008 11:20 AM
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congrats to the happy couple! and good luck with the weather...
Posted by: madison | March 11, 2008 12:03 PM
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Luke- you should've been a weather man!!!
Posted by: CB | March 11, 2008 1:26 PM
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Congrats to them -- do we get to see pix of the newlyweds going to the reception on the Vespa (am kidding on seeing the pictures, but am thinking that doing athat in full wedding regalia could make for a really awesome one).
Posted by: Anonymous | March 11, 2008 1:42 PM
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This service should be known as the "El Bombo Special."
Posted by: Mark | March 11, 2008 2:14 PM
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Very Cool!!
Posted by: skinsfn | March 11, 2008 2:21 PM
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are you really going to clog up your blog with a weather forecast six months in advance for the wedding of two people we don't even know?
i think there's an interesting business plan here, giving custom forecasts for people's personal use (they could put it on their wedding website or something), but i for one am not interested in reading about this here.
Posted by: unimpressed | March 11, 2008 3:56 PM
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Unimpressed - they're weather statistics. I was going to find them on my own, came to Capital Weather to get some resources in order to do this. They offerred to do it for me - and I can't thank them enough. Thanks for the well wishes though.
Posted by: Kalorama Park | March 11, 2008 4:01 PM
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Now, if you can only provide El Bombo your CapWx propietary service for his Dances.....such as what conditions will be like inside the Elks Lodge, etc..
Posted by: Jamie C in Chevy Chase DC | March 11, 2008 4:21 PM
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Question, is Luke OUR very own Kalorama Park?
The post kinda hints at it, if so, CONGRATS TO KP and the soon to be MRS KP!
Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | March 11, 2008 4:31 PM
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It's me! Thanks MTBR!
Posted by: Kalorama Park | March 11, 2008 4:41 PM
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Would it be possible to get a general outlook for a nephew's wedding reception: Date: ca. Oct. 11, 2008. Location: Lake Holcombe, Chippewa County, WI.
This is a delayed reception. The wedding will be held at a villa in Tuscany, Italy around Sept. 8, 2008.
Posted by: El Bombo | March 11, 2008 4:41 PM
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unimpressed -- Our goal is to provide a variety of material which will naturally be of varying interest to different readers. You're always welcome to skip over the content you're not interested in. You can scroll straight to our general full forecast, or use the full forecast link at the bottom of the At a Glance box.
Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | March 11, 2008 4:47 PM
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Good comment Dan, granted I don't KNOW KP, but he has been around the C-Dub family here, from the old site mind you, long enough where I think it's cool as hell that you guys are doing this!
Posted by: Mike from the Blue Ridge | March 11, 2008 4:52 PM
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Unimpressed: The concept here is to show some entertaining examples of how the weather factors into the lives of our readers. A lot of people enjoy reading about local people other than celebrities. We think we can offer some fun, educational insights into the local climate and weather history at the same time.
To all readers: did you enjoy this feature? Or did it not work for you? Honest, respectful feedback is encouraged.
Posted by: Capital Weather Gang | March 11, 2008 5:00 PM
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i like it!!
and i love mark's comment! made me laugh out loud at my desk.
Posted by: .jeff. | March 11, 2008 5:12 PM
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"DC weather at its best."
In the words of Jerry... "good luck with allllll that"
:S
Posted by: Jake in Reston | March 11, 2008 5:47 PM
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Wonderful new feature! I'll make use of it when I splash my boat this spring, and again for the Leukemia Cup Regatta this fall. And congrats to Kalorama Park - sorry I'm so late in offering best wishes, I'm behind with the blog today!
Posted by: ~sg | March 11, 2008 10:46 PM
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Congrats Kalorama Park!!! I like this, I think its pretty cool you guys wrote this up..
Posted by: arnoldkh | March 11, 2008 11:00 PM
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Can we get forecasts for errands that we have to run two weeks in advance and for indoor dances three Saturdays from now?
Posted by: NTOMB | March 12, 2008 8:39 PM
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This was fun. Keep doing it occasionally.
Posted by: Lindemann | March 12, 2008 9:12 PM
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Congratulations Luke and Sandra!!! Wish you guys the best and good luck with the weather. Would love to see pics of your ride to the wedding. Great article and weather feature too.
Posted by: Jim | March 13, 2008 10:16 PM
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The comments to this entry are closed.
I like it! Thanks for doing this guys!