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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 04/ 3/2008

Forecast: Showers, Clouds to Shut Out Sun

By Josh Larson

Sunny and dry weather won't return until Sunday

Bah humbug! Just like the unsettled weather that closed out last week, we'll look for a repeat of showery, sometimes rainy conditions over the next three days. High pressure won't return to the area until late Saturday, so it's likely we won't see much in the way of sun until Sunday. Best advice: keep an umbrella nearby through Saturday afternoon and hold off on outdoor plans until Sunday.

TODAY

Becoming cloudy, p.m. rain. Low to mid 50s. Though when you wake up you may see some sun, along with chilly temperatures in the 30s, clouds should begin to fill in by late morning as a warm front approaches. Highs will top out in the low to mid 50s. Rain is likely to spread over much of the area by late afternoon or early evening, accompanied by winds from the southeast at 10-15 mph.

Tonight, overcast skies with periods of rain and milder lows in the mid 40s.

TOMORROW

Cloudy, scattered showers. Mid to upper 60s. Despite continued mostly cloudy skies, winds from the south will allow for considerably warmer temperatures on Friday -- in the mid to upper 60s. Periodic showers are possible, especially during the morning and and then again in the evening.

Make sure to carry an umbrella if you go out Friday night, when there's a good chance of rain along with the possibility of some downpours as a cold front pushes through. A few thunderstorms can't be ruled out, either, as lows bottom out in the mid 50s.

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend and into next week, and to find out which local TV weathercaster CWG ran into at the Tidal Basin.


Bob Ryan, NBC4 chief meteorologist, on location at the Tidal Basin for yesterday's 6 p.m. newscast. By Capital Weather Gang photographer Ian Livingston.

SATURDAY

Morning showers. Low 60s. Showers and clouds may last into the first half of the day Saturday, especially during the morning. We could see some peaks of sun by mid to late afternoon, but full-on sunshine may have to wait until Sunday. Highs could reach the low 60s, with clearing skies overnight allowing temperatures to drop to the low to mid 40s.

SUNDAY

Sunshine returns in full force. Low to mid 60s. With high pressure building in, you'll wake up to abundant sunshine Sunday morning, a refreshing change from the clouds and showers that will have punctuated the previous three days. Afternoon highs should hit the low to mid 60s with a light breeze. Make sure you get outside!

Clear and chilly Sunday night with lows again in the low to mid 40s.

A LOOK AHEAD

Plan on partly to mostly sunny skies on Monday with pleasant highs in the 60s, about where they should be this time of year, followed by Monday night lows in the 40s.

Tuesday could feature partly sunny skies with a stray shower possible and highs in the 60s.

From this far vantage point, Wednesday may turn out partly to mostly sunny with highs remaining in the 60s.

By Josh Larson  | April 3, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Comments

Josh:
Bah humbug, is only for folks who don't understand that most of the area needs a soaking rain before the spring growing season gets under way in earnest and evaporational rates skyrocket.. We have had a dry winter, water tables are low.

If we are lucky, this will not be another underperformer.

Neither the GFS or Nam are handling the precip. footprint well at all this morning.
They both are under estimating the magnitude of the rain developing over Tenn. and Ky. This could shift the 60 hr. projected swath of greatest QP from northern W.Va. s.e. toward our area.

We can only keep our fingers crossed!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 7:09 AM | Report abuse

I'm with you Augusta, we need spring rains this year as much as ever.

I may have to not visit until later today - I simply can't read another post from El Bombo complaining about rain. I know I shouldn't get so upset by it, but coming from a family of farmers, the drought conditions we have seen the last few years make me wonder if they would have made it under similar conditions. Life could be a lot different.

Posted by: Southside FFX | April 3, 2008 9:47 AM | Report abuse

Speaking of rain, Southside & Jim, I heard that our drought watch was officially lifted today, yes?

(And seconded opinion on El Bombo... all in good fun of course).

Posted by: Jake in Reston | April 3, 2008 10:20 AM | Report abuse

Jake, we the area still remains in a level 1 (5 being the worst) dry/drought condition. We still have not caught up and I think we are still labeled "abnormally dry" - we are NO WHERE near as dire as Atlanta and other areas of the Southeast.

Downtown here we have a few peeks of sun near The Mall!

Posted by: Camden, Capital Weather Gang | April 3, 2008 10:39 AM | Report abuse

At 11 am, I have a mix of rain and sleet, which began about 15 minutes ago. A light layer of sleet is visible on my rear deck.
Temperature, 41 degrees with a southeast breeze at 4-8 mph.

As I suspected from earlier radar trends, the 12z NAM has shifted the higher qpf in our direction, now giving us a general 2-3 inches during the next 60 hrs.

3 CHEERS!!!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 11:16 AM | Report abuse

Maybe I am misunderstanding this then:

WASHINGTON - The drought watch for the region is over.

"We have finally come through a period where we had drier than normal conditions, and we're back pretty much to normal," says Stuart A. Freudberg with the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments.

Freudberg says the drought affected every community that gets its water from the Potomac River.

The drought dates back to last summer, and many communities have been under specific water restrictions.

http://www.wtop.com/?nid=25&sid=1379793

Posted by: Jake in Reston | April 3, 2008 11:17 AM | Report abuse

What a mess!!! "Augusta Jim", "Southside FFX" and friends calling for more "much-needed" rain just in time for my big dance tomorrow evening!!! Enough of this!!!

Problem is that these NWS severe weather and flood warnings discourage some of the ladies from coming out to the dance! Instead they stay home and wait out the flood. (The next dance isn't till next month and likely comes with another round of severe weather!!!)

At least some folks are right. Our immediate drought problem is pretty much over, except for "scattered pockets". Now, let's not ruin our Friday night singles dance with another round of long-lasting precipitation /severe weather.

CRWS jet stream data (12Z NAM) has the south side of the jet over us, supporting the rain, however. Canadian lightning data has isolated/occasional activity in the South Central Mississippi Valley extending to the Atlantic.

Posted by: El Bombo | April 3, 2008 11:30 AM | Report abuse

Argh, new CapWx post already...my drought quandries will remained unanswered.

Posted by: Jake in Reston | April 3, 2008 11:33 AM | Report abuse

"Remain," rather. Gosh I am dominating the comments today.

Posted by: Jake in Reston | April 3, 2008 11:38 AM | Report abuse

Jake:
Mr. Freudberg's words are either misleading or he is misinformed. You can decide which is most apppropriate.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/DM_southeast.htm.

As you can see, moderate to severe drought is knocking on the s.w. door of D.C.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 12:03 PM | Report abuse

Jake:
Real time data indicates the Potomoc at Little Falls was flowing at about 40% of normal discharge rate at 10:45 this morning. Does this appear to be anywhere close to Normal??

http://waterdata.usgs.gov/nwis/uv?01646500

The southeast drought monitor grid which I posted a few minutes ago is not opening properly. Try this national view, then Zoom.

http://www.drought.unl.edu/dm/monitor.html

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 12:27 PM | Report abuse

As expected from earlier, first The NAM and now the GFS, has shifted the axis of greatest precip. to our area during the next 60 hrs.

It now looks like even Sat. may be a washout! WONDERFUL!

For all you sun worshipers, Sunday should be a beautiful Day.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 12:48 PM | Report abuse

I know you hate doing this, but what do you think the chances are of it raining around 7pm this evening (60%? 80%?, 100%?)? First kickball game of the season tonight and I'm going to be disspointed if it gets canceled. We play in the drizzle usually.

Posted by: Laura | April 3, 2008 1:00 PM | Report abuse

Another round of mixed rain and sleet has commenced, temp. up to 42.

The birds are congregated around the feeder, singing their songs of joy! Perhaps the robin's willed be bathed, so they won't have to splash the water out of the birdbath, as during the recent dry weather.

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 1:11 PM | Report abuse

Jake: The new post is a photography post (and a spectacular one at that). This still remains the latest forecast post, and as you can see discussion has continued, with Augusta Jim providing some helpful responses.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | April 3, 2008 1:12 PM | Report abuse

Laura -- We *love* doing this, but you might hate the answer: Around 70%, I'd say.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | April 3, 2008 1:20 PM | Report abuse

Laura:
There is an 80% probability of light rain around the D.C. area by 7 pm.

The differential between drizzle/light rain will be a matter of opinion.

Good luck!

Posted by: Augusta Jim | April 3, 2008 1:20 PM | Report abuse

Interesting. Thanks for the links. You might want to forward to WTOP :)

Posted by: Jake in Reston | April 3, 2008 1:41 PM | Report abuse

Thanks! I guess I'll just have to keep my fingers crossed that the rain holds off until later tonight.

Posted by: Laura | April 3, 2008 2:23 PM | Report abuse

Moderate sleet/rain mix in Lake Ridge VA @ 308. Sounds awesome near the woods - like the ground is a big frying pan and the rain and sleet are sizzling on contact.

Posted by: weatherdudeVA (Lake Ridge) | April 3, 2008 3:08 PM | Report abuse

Sleet mixing in with rain in Chantilly at around 4:20 pm- looks like the temperature has dropped a fair amount. Dulles still has 43, but the latest is from 2:52. It was 48 at 1:52.

Posted by: CM | April 3, 2008 4:28 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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