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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 05/13/2008

Forecast: Sun and the City

By Matt Rogers

The long-awaited reunion will only be brief

By Matt Rogers, Guest Forecaster

With lots of drying to do, the return of the sun will be a welcome sight. This morning will still be cool, but daytime temperatures should muscle their way up to near 70 (despite a wind from the north and a super-soaked ground). The reunion with the sun will be short-lived though as more clouds return on Wednesday, and more showers return by late week into the weekend. Sorry.

TODAY

Sunshine Abounds! High near 70. A few clouds are possible, but the sun should dominate. A cool morning (near 40 in the outer suburbs) should warm quickly to the upper 60s to near 70F in most locales.

Mostly clear skies Tuesday night too, but a cool air mass will linger. Expect lows to be in the 40s suburbs and near 50 in the city.

Confidence: High

TOMORROW

Clouds Return. Upper 70s. We'll have winds from the southwest on Wednesday and that means warmer temperatures along with more cloud cover. No rain is expected at least.

Clouds still dominate the night skies with lows in the upper 50s (maybe near 60 in the District).

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend.

A LOOK AHEAD

The clouds are expected to thicken on Thursday with a better chance of showers by afternoon and especially evening. Highs in the middle 70s. Lows Thursday night in the middle to upper 50s.Confidence: Medium

Another rainy Friday is scheduled with yet more clouds and likely rain (possible some thunder). Expect cooler highs in the 60s with lows in the 50s. Confidence: Low-Medium

The weekend outlook is fighting to hold onto the 70s for highs at least, but we run the risk of showers each day of the period with only limited sunshine opportunities. Lows in the upper 40s and 50s again. Confidence: Low-Medium

Matt Rogers is a meteorologist (Penn State, 1994) and Washington DC resident. He is the director of the weather group for MDA Federal in Rockville, MD and has been consulting for weather-sensitive industries for fourteen years.

By Matt Rogers  | May 13, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Busting out of the Drought

Comments

Yesterday's official high at DCA was 55, but I call shenanigans. The hourly report, only four minutes after the purported high, was 50. In fact, the temps ranged between 48 and 51 for most of the day. Temperatures just don't change that quickly in that sort of an airmass. That 55 was bogus.

Posted by: WSL | May 13, 2008 5:40 AM | Report abuse

Question for the Capital Weather gang -- is there a short wave frequency for weather ? I am going camping in Stafford, VA with 14 girl scouts this weekend and I want to make sure we are alert about the weather. Is it better just to buy a battery powered weather radio ? I have a crank powered AM/FM/SW radio.

Posted by: Jenn in Reston | May 13, 2008 7:53 AM | Report abuse

I know you guys usually only do DC weather, but I have a question.

We are driving down to Georgia on Friday, and driving back on Sunday.

On Friday, do you think we'll hit that rain all the way down I-95/I-85, or will it just be in this area? We're probably going to leave pretty early on Friday morning (well before 530 AM).

Posted by: weatherdudeVA (Lake Ridge) | May 13, 2008 8:14 AM | Report abuse

Jenn: NOAA's website says: "NWR requires a special radio receiver or scanner capable of picking up the signal." More info.

Weatherdude: Friday looks wet for the drive south, especially the first half of the day. The drive home should be drier.

Posted by: Jason, Capital Weather Gang | May 13, 2008 9:01 AM | Report abuse

@WSL:

I'd be interested in seeing more info on that. I wonder if Steve S. is lurking around, he might be able to shed some light on it

Posted by: Jamie Jones, CapitalWeather Gang | May 13, 2008 9:11 AM | Report abuse

West Springfield (Accotink Lake/Mixing Bowl)storm total (Sunday-Monday) = 4.03"

Posted by: Bikerjohn | May 13, 2008 9:33 AM | Report abuse

Could anyone shed some light on what's causing these lingering below-normal temps? Is there an end in sight? My plants are confused, and are consequently taking it out on me.
Thanks!

Posted by: Rishi | May 13, 2008 9:36 AM | Report abuse

Are we going to get a storm wrap-up post????

Posted by: Tim, Alexandria, VA | May 13, 2008 10:13 AM | Report abuse

WSL: It's possible the sun came out briefly pushing the high up to 55 for a few minutes. There were brief cloud breaks late in the afternoon here in Arlington.

Another thing which could have happened was a "high" of 55 degrees at 12:01 AM yesterday followed by lower fifties the rest of the day. This sort of thing often happens overnight with a strong cold frontal passage just after midnight during the winter. The high could be around 62 just after midnight followed by temperatures dropping into the thirties or even lower all day. In this case meteorologists say that the temperature did not follow the usual diurnal cycle.

Posted by: El Bombo | May 13, 2008 10:35 AM | Report abuse

Tim: Instead of a formal storm wrap-up post, per a lot of requests we've got a drought update posted today which speaks to rainfall implications of the storm. We may provide some more info on the storm later...

Posted by: Capital Weather Gang | May 13, 2008 10:52 AM | Report abuse

Rishi -- As per our forecast, it looks like near normal is about the best we'll do over the next several days. And it doesn't look good for above-normal temps in the Climate Prediction Center's 6-10 day outlook. Only slightly more encouraging for 8-14 days out.

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | May 13, 2008 11:11 AM | Report abuse

Re: Yesterday's high of 55.

FWIW, Tony Perkins on Ch. 5 brought this up this morning and stated that the NWS was in fact in error on this. He said the actual high was 52.

Posted by: Ivan | May 13, 2008 11:41 AM | Report abuse

With the Joint Services Open House at Andrews AFB this weekend...is there any way the clouds and rain will push thru earlier or miss us all together for this weekend? Also I'm going there on Fri and am hoping that I will do so!

Thanks.

Posted by: Anonymous | May 13, 2008 1:02 PM | Report abuse

Re: Joint Services Open House/this weekend -- Unfortunately, this far out and with the uncertain weather pattern, it's hard as of yet to get any more specific than Matt's forecast above. Best advice is to keep checking back with us as the week goes on.

Posted by: Capital Weather Gang | May 13, 2008 1:15 PM | Report abuse

Thanks, Dan!

One can only hope.

Posted by: Rishi | May 13, 2008 1:35 PM | Report abuse

New to this blog...but love the writing style. Keep it fun!

Posted by: Carrie | May 13, 2008 1:54 PM | Report abuse

New to this blog...but love the writing style. Keep it fun!

Posted by: CJ--- Carrie! | May 13, 2008 1:56 PM | Report abuse

Carrie, welcome! -- Was it the headline on this post that brought you here? How do you think your movie will fare?

Posted by: Dan, Capital Weather Gang | May 13, 2008 2:17 PM | Report abuse

The DCA high for the 12th was 52 in the preliminary climo report.

Posted by: Steve, Capital Weather Gang | May 14, 2008 12:09 AM | Report abuse

Thanks for the welcome Dan! If you can predict fair weather for my opening weekend I think the movie might fare very well. Thanks for thinking of me.

Posted by: Carrie | May 14, 2008 9:57 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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