Tropical Trouble Brewing???
The prognosticators at NOAA and Colorado State University raised projections for tropical storm activity last week, and right on cue, two new disturbances (1 and 2, shown below) may spin into storms in the tropical Atlantic.
Could these disturbances affect the U.S.? Keep reading. For local weather, see our full forecast.
Disturbance 1 (above), in particular, bears watching. Conditions are generally favorable for it to strengthen into a Tropical Depression and then possibly Tropical Storm Fay. If it develops as predicted (forecasting tropical storm development is tricky business), it would most likely take a path which would bring it just north of Puerto Rico and the Dominican Republic in four days. The Southeast U.S. and particularly Florida will need to monitor this system as it could well head in that general direction next week.
Further east, Disturbance 2, also stands a solid, albeit lesser, chance (20-50%, according to the National Hurricane Center) of developing into a named storm (could it be Gustav?). It's too early to tell if this system will impact the Caribbean islands and be any threat to the mainland. Computer models suggest it will head in a west-northwest direction and still be east of the Caribbean islands in four days.
The timing of the development of these disturbances is no coincidence as we've now entered hurricane season prime time. Fasten your seat belts.
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