Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity
The new Washington
Post Weather website
Jump to CWG's
Latest Full Forecast
Outside now? Radar, temps
and more: Weather Wall
Follow us on Twitter (@capitalweather) and become a fan on Facebook
Posted at 2:00 PM ET, 09/ 9/2008

Hurricane Ike Hammering Cuba

By Capital Weather Gang


Up-to-date radar animation courtesy the Meteorological Institute of the Republic of Cuba.

While the U.S. can't seem to catch a break from hurricanes, neither can Cuba. After Gustav raked the island's western tip just over a week ago, Ike has battered most of the country. Ike's interaction with the island has caused it to weaken, but it still maintains hurricane intensity. Once it emerges off Cuba's west coast and into the warm waters of the Gulf, Ike may re-intensify to a Category 2 or 3 storm.

Nearly all forecast models take Ike into Gulf of Mexico and towards the central or south coast of Texas by the weekend. However, as Steve Tracton pointed out yesterday "some storms are easier to predict than others" and Ike hasn't been particularly well-behaved. The National Hurricane Center cautioned this morning:

IT CANNOT BE OVEREMPHASIZED THAT ONE SHOULD NOT FOCUS ON 4 AND 5 DAY FORECAST POINTS SINCE THESE CAN BE SUBJECT TO SUBSTANTIAL ERRORS. DO NOT FORGET THAT FEW DAYS AGO...THE GUIDANCE UNANIMOUSLY HAD IKE NEAR SOUTH FLORIDA AND THEN GRADUALLY SHIFTED THE DANGER TOWARD WESTERN CUBA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO.

Out of a group (or ensemble) of model predictions, one simulation turns Ike back as far east as Mississippi. The entire Gulf Coast should continue watching Ike.

Interactive Storm Tracking Tool

By Capital Weather Gang  | September 9, 2008; 2:00 PM ET
Categories:  Tropical Weather  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   Del.icio.us   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Forecast: Cold Front Coming With Showers, Storms
Next: PM Update: Showers Begin to Usher in Cooler Air

Comments

The NHC's "Category 3" prediction looks like an understatement to me. I'm predicting Category 4 or 5 in the Central Gulf before diminishing to a possible Category 3 landfall in South Texas.

Posted by: El Bombo | September 9, 2008 7:08 PM | Report abuse

ON STORM WINDS, by Ivan Erickson, author of “Song of the Storm Winds”. Please visit www.ivan-erickson.com to read and comment on my religious discourses, and to order my novel via direct links to amazon.com

In these current days of darkness under the sun, as the storm winds of God continue to increase exponentially in frequency and magnitude, the lament, anguish, loneliness and despair of the people of all races, ethnicities, faiths and religions of the world are also increasing exponentially, as the resultant chaos, fear, shattered lives, and other residuals are left scattered in the wake of each cataclysmic onslaught! And scarcely do we begin to draw a full breath of relief after each traumatic passing of one violent assault, when we are driven again to our knees, upon learning of another approaching storm wind! What are the storm winds? In my novel, I call the “acts of God” – such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes, etc., – the “storm winds”. I have addressed these matters, as well other related phenomena in my novel. The following O.T. quote from The Book of Sirach, 39:28-31, is one of the reoccurring themes in my novel:
“There are storm winds created to punish, / which in their fury can dislodge mountains; / When destruction must be, they hurl all their force / and appease the anger of their Maker. / In his treasury also, kept for the proper time, / are fire and hail, famine, disease, / Ravenous beasts, scorpions, vipers, / and the avenging sword to exterminate the wicked; / In doing his bidding they rejoice, / in their assignments they disobey not his command.” /
May God bless each of you, always.

Posted by: Ivan Erickson | September 10, 2008 6:23 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2012 The Washington Post Company