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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 10/14/2008

Forecast: Seasonal Sampler

By Matt Rogers

Some summer and then some autumn

A warm ridge in the upper atmosphere is wholly responsible for the very warm October weather that should continue to affect our area through Thursday. The Washington DC normal high temperature now is only in the upper 60s. So expected weather in the lower to possibly even middle 80s is well above the mean. By late Thursday, a cold front will work through the area, offering more seasonal temperature levels on Friday. A cool weekend is in store with some weather models offering a chance for highs only in the very chilly 50s on Saturday.


Wonderfully warm. Low-to-mid 80s. That warm ridging pattern in the upper levels will keep conditions warm and dry today. Look for partly sunny skies today with highs in the low-to-mid 80s throughout the area. Winds will be shifting back to out of the south and southwest at light levels.

Tonight should should feature a few clouds in the area, light southwest winds, and lows dropping down into the middle 50s suburbs to lower 60s in the city.

Keep reading for the forecast through the weekend!


More of that summer feeling. Low 80s again. Persistence is the key forecast tool for today with high temperatures again soaring well above normal into the low-to-mid 80s. Look for another round of partly sunny skies and southwest breezes.

On Wednesday night, a few more clouds break into the region and we're looking at temperatures holding up a bit warmer in the lower 60s (maybe some stray 50s in the outer suburbs yet).


Thursday will be our last warmish day, but won't be as clean cut as today or Wednesday as clouds around the region should limit highs to mid-to-upper 70s. There is also a 20% chance of showers due to the approach of a cold front. On Thursday night, there continues a 20% chance of showers with lows dropping into the low 50s. Confidence: Medium

Friday is expected to easily be our coolest day of the work week. High temperatures should only be able to reach what is considered normal for now (upper 60s). The cold front that is bringing this change could begin to stall south of the area providing a 30% chance of showers on Friday. Some models suggest a disturbance will ride along that cold front, bringing more rain Friday night into Saturday. Friday lows show drop back into the 50s. Chance of Friday night precipitation is about 40% right now. Confidence: Low-Medium

The weekend is complicated right now as our medium-range computer models are struggling with this potential storm system along the late week stalled cold front. If the track is far enough north, we could see widespread rains on Saturday. However, some versions keep the system far enough south and east that it will be dry. Either way, we're looking at very cool high temperatures that may only be in the 50s (well below normal for a change!). Lows Saturday night should be in the 40s with highs on Sunday under clearing skies in the 60s again. With the weekend situation still uncertain, check back here for updates in the days ahead. Confidence: Low-Medium

By Matt Rogers  | October 14, 2008; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: AccuWeather Calling for Cold Winter in the East


With such a blue sky and great breeze--is anyone able to get outside??

Posted by: Camden, Capital Weather Gang | October 14, 2008 11:56 AM | Report abuse

Request that you start forecasting for the 33rd Marine Corps Marathon on 10/26 as soon as possible please. Hourly temperatures and (heaven forbid) precip would be useful as it gets closer. Thanks.

Posted by: Uncle Dak | October 14, 2008 3:35 PM | Report abuse

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