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Posted at 7:00 PM ET, 11/ 5/2008

November Tropics: New Storm Spinning Up?

By Jason Samenow

Last Friday, Dan posted about the status of this year's hurricane season and noted that since 1995, one tropical cyclone (storm or hurricane) has formed in November or December every other year in the Atlantic Basin.

Here are some additional November hurricane statistics, courtesy Colorado State hurricane research Phil Klotzbach:

*Since 1944, tropical cyclones have formed in 25 of 64 (39%) of years.
*In only 6 of 64 (9%) years has more than one tropical cyclone formed.
*In 17 of 64 (27%) Novembers, a storm has reached hurricane status (for the first time).
*A storm has reached major hurricane status in November (for the first time) only four times.

Could a storm form this November? Quite possibly. Tropical Depression #17 formed today in the southwestern Carribean. The National Hurricane Center projects it will strengthen into a tropical storm and then a hurricane as it heads northeastward towards Cuba. If it becomes a storm, its name will be Paloma. We'll keep you posted.

For the local weather outlook, see our full forecast.

By Jason Samenow  | November 5, 2008; 7:00 PM ET
Categories:  Tropical Weather  
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Speaking about tropics, I'm beginning to wonder about the structure of the low pressure system off the VA capes. The latest satellite representation shows a very tightly wound center and winds along the coast (Ocean City and Va Beach) approaching 50 mph in gusts. Is this thing starting to acquire sub-tropical characteristics? I realize the water temp is in the low 60s but not too far away (Outer Banks) it's around 76F.

Posted by: Pianokey | November 5, 2008 7:52 PM | Report abuse

PianoKey--The coastal definitely has a nice satellite representation-- with the well defined swirl you note and some banding. It could be acquiring some sub-tropical characteristics But looking at the enhanced IR, there's not much deep convection. Check out this image and notice the difference between the depression in the southwest Caribbean and our coastal low in terms of bright whites-- which depict deep convection.

Posted by: CapitalWeatherGang | November 5, 2008 9:19 PM | Report abuse

But, but....I need the hurricane season to be OVER! Gotta have a break to build up reserves enabling me to focus on blizzards.

Posted by: --sg | November 5, 2008 10:05 PM | Report abuse

Tropical Storm Paloma has formed in the southwest Caribbean, with winds of 40 MPH. It could undergo rapid intensification over open water during the next few days.

Posted by: Sterlingva | November 6, 2008 8:09 AM | Report abuse

Paloma seems to be on a mission. Strengthens from a T.D. to a Cat 1 Hurricane in just over 12 hrs.

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | November 6, 2008 7:26 PM | Report abuse

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