Network News

X My Profile
View More Activity
The new Washington
Post Weather website
Jump to CWG's
Latest Full Forecast
Outside now? Radar, temps
and more: Weather Wall
Follow us on Twitter (@capitalweather) and become a fan on Facebook
Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 11/ 7/2008

Winter Outlooks Gone Wild

By Jason Samenow

A flurry of winter outlooks have been released by meteorologists who participate in the forums and elsewhere over the last week. For the D.C. metro area, most of them call for a cold December followed by average to above average temperatures in January and February. And most of them predict average to above average winter precipitation and/or snow. Interestingly, these outlooks are broadly consistent with several other outlooks we've already written about.

As some of these outlooks can get kind of technical and sifting through them is time-consuming (but the ambitious can learn a lot by reading them), allow me to provide a brief summary of each

Keep reading for the winter outlook summaries. See our full forecast through the weekend.

Outlooks from Meteorologists Posting on the forums

*Meteorologist RaleighWx is calling for 21" of snow for the winter at Reagan National Airport (DCA) -- about 5" above average. He's thinks we'll have a cold December followed by a relatively mild January and February. He expects the winter, on the whole, to be slightly milder than average.

*Meteorologist HM predicts a cold December followed by a relatively mild January and February -- resulting in winter temperatures slightly above average overall. He forecasts slightly below average snowfall.

*Forecaster StormChaserChuck goes against the grain a bit, calling for above average temperatures all winter long and below average precipitation and snow.

Outlooks from Other Meteorologists

*Meteorologist Larry Cosgrove, whose winter outlook is available at, expects a very cold December, and a cold January and February. He does not breakdown precipitation by month, but suggests there is a heavy snowstorm threat for the mid-Atlantic and Northeast. Quoting his outlook: "A strong case is made for abundant precipitation, much of it frozen, over the Old South, Appalachia, the Great Lakes and the Eastern Seaboard."

*Meteorologist Justin Berk, on his new weather blog for the Baltimore Examiner, writes he believes that "we [Baltimore] are in for a cold and stormy winter." He doesn't provide specifics but indicates he'll provide more details in the coming weeks.

With temperatures forecast to go above 70 today, it may seem strange to be talking about snow. But remember in three of the past five years, we've had accumulating snow between December 5 and 7 -- which is just a month away...

The Capital Weather Gang will release its winter outlook the week of 11/17.

By Jason Samenow  | November 7, 2008; 10:30 AM ET
Categories:  Local Climate  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Forecast: Shooting for 70, Then Cooler
Next: Hurricane Paloma not a Symbol of Peace


great post; i've definitely learned alot reading the posts at easternuswx the past few years; although, my head starts to spin trying to keep up with all the oscillations and indicies

Posted by: Peter_L_inmclean | November 7, 2008 2:50 PM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

RSS Feed
Subscribe to The Post

© 2012 The Washington Post Company