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Posted at 10:30 AM ET, 12/30/2008

Can You Predict Obama's Inauguration Weather?

By Jason Samenow

* Latest Inauguration Forecast | Full Local Forecast *

Inauguration Weather

President-elect Barack Obama's inauguration is exactly three weeks away. From now until then, the Capital Weather Gang will be providing regular inauguration weather features and forecasts. Lead meteorologist Dan Stillman and I will provide dueling forecasts starting this Friday, a daunting 18 days in advance, testing the limits of predictability.

Do you think you have some insight into what the inauguration weather will be? Vote in our poll.

Keep reading for our inauguration weather poll, and some factors you might want to consider before voting...

Before voting in our poll, you might consider:


By Jason Samenow  | December 30, 2008; 10:30 AM ET
Categories:  Inauguration, Inauguration Features  | Tags:  inauguration weather  
Save & Share:  Send E-mail   Facebook   Twitter   Digg   Yahoo Buzz   StumbleUpon   Technorati   Google Buzz   Previous: Forecast: Temperatures Descend as 2009 Rings In
Next: PM Update: Crawling Back Toward Winter Chill


The only thing I can predict is that it will be unpredictable. However, it will be interesting to see how quickly or slowly the forecasts change

Posted by: JJones-CapitalWeatherGang | December 30, 2008 12:42 PM | Report abuse

Looks like the WaPo's left hand may not know what the right hand is already doing.

Posted by: CapitalClmate | December 30, 2008 12:46 PM | Report abuse

My Prediction for DC on Jan 20, 2008

1) It will be colder than August 20th

2) The sun will rise earlier and set
later on August 20th

3) Leaves will be off trees

4) The grass will not be green

5) Chance of frozen precipitation will be greater than on August 20

6) Chance of PM thunderstorms will be less than on Aug 20th

7) It will be sunny - unless it is

8) Someone by chance will correctly
forecast the weather for Jan 20th a
week or more in advance and think they
are expert forecasters.

Posted by: SteveT-CapitalWeatherGang | December 30, 2008 12:56 PM | Report abuse


Posted by: GregRAINMAN | December 30, 2008 1:09 PM | Report abuse

Using prayer and positive thinking, my wish is that both the day and evening weather for Mr. Obama's special day and for all of the visitors that will be arriving to witness and celebrate this most amazing time in history be mild with no rain. I want people and especially first time visitors to remember their experience on the Nation's front lawn with joy: joy that the weather cooperated; joy that there were enough sanitary facilities; joy that everything was a positive experience; and, joy that we as a Nation are embarking on the Road of Redemption in the eyes of the American people.

Posted by: SunnaWoman | December 30, 2008 1:35 PM | Report abuse

The average temp. at DCA on 8/20/08 was 75. So if some REALLY warm gulf air came up, it just might get close to that on 1/20/09...:)

Posted by: macronbase | December 30, 2008 4:45 PM | Report abuse

@Steve - LOL. Great post!
I concur with Jamie. It will be very interesting to see how the forecasts from 18 days out change. It will also be very eye opening to see how the science of predicting weather helps improve (or not) the forecast as the day gets closer. Us GFS "huggers" are in for a ride!

Posted by: pjdunn1 | December 30, 2008 6:57 PM | Report abuse

There will b weather & it will last the entire day. Partly cl. 47.

Posted by: VaTechBob | December 30, 2008 10:35 PM | Report abuse

Hoping for a snow event similar to the one that happened about the same time in January 87. Thunder snow, 3+ inches of snow and hour, gale force winds etc starting Sunday and continuing through the inauguration. Perfect weather for inaugurating a Bolshevik. Weather will force the inauguration inside, the balls will be cancelled and the country will begin its longest Depression ever with thousands of Americans losing their lives here in the US in terrorist attacks and this commie trying to take away our guns!

Posted by: sheepherder | December 31, 2008 9:03 AM | Report abuse

I think snow and lots of it is the order of the day.

Posted by: grobinette | January 1, 2009 11:42 AM | Report abuse

It will be sunny and dry with temperatures in the 50's on Inaugeration day. The trend this winter seems to be the Washington area missing the snowstorms which have hit most of the rest of the country including Boston, New York, Chicago, Seattle, Portland, Cleveland, New Orleans and Las Vegas just to name a few so the outlook will be less or no snow here musch like the snowless winter of 1997-98.

Posted by: jtae55 | January 3, 2009 11:21 PM | Report abuse

Who Knows? PLEASE urge the President Elect to remember Harrison and for the sake of his wife, children, onlookers and the nation, wear a hat, topcoat, scarf, if the weather dictates and oh yes KISS that's keep it short sweetie.

Posted by: jpfahey | January 7, 2009 10:50 PM | Report abuse

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