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Posted at 3:30 PM ET, 12/17/2008

PM Update: The Lull Between Storm Systems

By Ian Livingston

Quiet weather Thursday ahead of next rainmaker

* Give the Gift of Weather | Weekend Storm?: Snow Lover's Crystal Ball *

Webcam: Latest view of D.C. from the Netherlands Carillon at Arlington National Cemetery. Courtesy National Park Service. Refresh page to update. See this image bigger on our Weather Wall.

Cloudy through much of the day, the sun has appeared at times this afternoon behind a storm system that departed early this morning. Highs have largely reached the mid 40s, right around the average for the date. Overall, it's been a quiet Wednesday, and more of the same is expected tomorrow before the next storm knocks on the door tomorrow night.

Tonight: Partly cloudy skies stick around overnight and help keep temperatures up a little. The colder suburbs should see lows fall to around freezing while those in D.C. and southeast settle in the mid-to-upper 30s.

Tomorrow: Thursday will feature variably cloudy skies, light winds and temperatures again warming to near-average readings, in the mid-to-upper 40s. Some extended breaks in the clouds are possible, especially in the morning, but look for increasing clouds in the afternoon as the next system approaches.

See Dan Stillman's forecast through the weekend.

By Ian Livingston  | December 17, 2008; 3:30 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Next: Forecast: Unsettled End to the Week

Comments

The 18Z GFS forecasts only rain for the area on Sonday and Wednesday/Thursday. I hope it's proven incorrect.

In the meantime, Accuweather's predicting 6 inches of snow for McLean. We'll see how long that lasts.

Posted by: KBurchfiel | December 17, 2008 6:37 PM | Report abuse

From the 'at least he's not talking about chemtrails' category:

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAS VEGAS HAS ISSUED A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW FOR THE VALLEYS AND DESERTS OF CLARK... SOUTHERN NYE AND LINCOLN COUNTIES... WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM PST THURSDAY. THIS REPLACES THE WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY PREVIOUSLY IN EFFECT.

A STRONG PACIFIC STORM WILL MOVE INLAND ACROSS SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA AND INTO ARIZONA THROUGH TONIGHT. THIS WILL PRODUCE A RARE SNOWSTORM WHICH WILL LEAVE SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS ON THE LOWER VALLEYS AND DESERT ACROSS MUCH OF THE MOJAVE DESERT REGION.

SNOW REACHING THE LAS VEGAS VALLEY FLOOR BEGAN TO FALL EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND SNOW IS NOW EXPECTED TO ACCUMULATE ON THE VALLEY FLOORS ACROSS CLARK AND SOUTHERN LINCOLN COUNTIES. SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO FALL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT BEFORE TAPERING OFF THURSDAY MORNING. THIS RARE SNOW EVENT IS EXPECTED TO BRING BRING ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES TO THE VALLEY FLOORS AND UP TO 10 INCHES TO THE FOOTHILLS ABOVE 2500 FEET.

A WINTER STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST FOR THE DESERT ROADS WHICH RARELY SEE ACCUMULATIONS. THIS WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. IF YOU MUST TRAVEL... KEEP WARM CLOTHING... AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT... FOOD... AND WATER IN YOUR VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.

From Ken, who moved to Vegas after nearly 28 years in NoVa; who spent many nights slumped in front of the pc on sites like capwx waiting for the next "big one" to hit D.C.

Ken, who was stuck in Albuquerque, N.M., for three nights on his way out here, during what was their biggest snowfall on record.. I believe it was 72 degrees when I left VA three days before.

Posted by: notfadeaway | December 17, 2008 6:50 PM | Report abuse

notfadeaway @6:50 --

Best. comment. ever! Talk about irony!

Posted by: natsncats | December 17, 2008 8:23 PM | Report abuse

00Z NAM looks much better than the 18Z GFS... LOL IDK why I'm talking in acronyms... TTYL CapWX

Posted by: KBurchfiel | December 17, 2008 10:05 PM | Report abuse

I don't know KBurchfiel ---- Bob Ryan seems to think Sunday will be mainly rain and Christmas Eve rain. What is sad is that temps are right on the borderline.

Posted by: GregRAINMAN | December 17, 2008 11:24 PM | Report abuse

The other sad thing is that the local mets (channel 9,4,7) seem to change there forecast more then I ever seen in my life! For example Channel 9 will have 36 at noon and then at 5pm 43! Anyway, they also tend to not to say much up untill the day before which is a bad and good thing i guess. My gut feeling is snow/ice changing to rain on sunday. The pattern just isnt right for a snowstorm here. I just don't see the point of getting exited anymore around here because it just dosen't snow here anymore. All i am saying is don't get your hopes up because it just makes it that much worse when it doesnt happen.

Posted by: clintonportis17 | December 17, 2008 11:42 PM | Report abuse

West Springfield (Accotink Lake/Mixing Bowl): Storm total so far (since Tuesday) = 0.82"

Posted by: bikerjohn | December 18, 2008 12:13 AM | Report abuse

I am starting to think that the local mets are just about as good as palm readers. They read the models, get our hopes up for "ratings" by predicting "bad" weather days in advance and typically just repeat what is given to them from the National Weather Service Weather Discussion. Sue Palka at Fox 5 basically reads the NWS Weather Discussion nightly! Doug Hill has gotten smart after he blew a major snowstorm forecast several years ago and outlines all of the scenarios so he can never be wrong...it will either rain or snow; well duuuuhhhh! Topper blew a 1989 Winter Storm forecast and I still have him on tape when he was on the Don and Mike Show calling himself a bonehead when he blew the forecast. I had a final examthat day and blame him and his forecast for 10-12 inches of snow that turned out to be 1 inch of a cold rain.

In the DC area it is either feast of famine! Heck --- I am going to create my own Band Aid Song - Does Mother Nature Know it's Christmas In DC After All?

The words would go like this...

It's Christmas Time,
There's no need to get your hopes up,
At Christmas Time,
Your guaranteed to get no snow in D.C.,
In a world where it snows in New Orleans and Las Vegas,
The people of DC will cry,
Because there will be no snow in DC this CHRISTMAS TIME!

Just say a prayer,
A Prayer for an Artic High,
Because this Christmas Time,
I would not even bet a dime,
that I could make this song rhyme!

---My lame attempt at a parody song about our lack of snow---

***START A SNOW CHANT PEOPLE!!!! EVEN RAINMAN GREG HAS HAD IT!****

Snow Chant: Weeeweeeweeeweewweeeeeeweeeee!

Posted by: GregRAINMAN | December 18, 2008 12:21 AM | Report abuse

You know it's been a long night when you can see the results of the 06Z models come in. The NAM's looking pretty dreary; gives us some snow, but then shows the warm air taking over. Could still be sleet/freezing rain at the surface, I guess.

Posted by: KBurchfiel | December 18, 2008 4:45 AM | Report abuse

KB - word! This is going to be the winter of near misses!

Posted by: GregRAINMAN | December 18, 2008 4:51 AM | Report abuse

The comments to this entry are closed.

 
 
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