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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 01/10/2009

Forecast: Raw Rain, Then Cold to Come

By Jason Samenow

* Top International Weather Events: 2008 | Inauguration Weather: Swearing-In Date Switcheroo *


Today: Afternoon & evening rain. Near 40. | Tonight: Rain ending. Refreeze? Low 29-33. | Tomorrow: Mostly sunny. Near 40 | A Look Ahead


Today's weather won't win a popularity contest as a result of overcast skies, afternoon rain and temperatures in the 30s. But neither will the longer term weather with temperatures on a steady decline. On the other hand, snow fans may be heartened to learn that there should at least be a couple chances for snow flurries/showers in the coming week, even if neither is a big one.

Radar: Latest regional radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past two hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here to see radar bigger. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Saturday): If you're out and about in the morning, chances are you'll stay dry, despite overcast skies. Maybe if you're in northern Maryland (towards the Pa. border), you'll see a snow flake or sleet pellet. By afternoon, light rain will develop across the metro region as low pressure passes to our north. In the north and west suburbs, rain could mix with some sleet, but probably not. Highs aim for around 40. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Rain ends, probably before midnight. Then skies will slowly clear, with temperatures dropping to near freezing downtown to the upper 20s in the normally colder suburbs. Watch out for a few areas of black ice towards morning. Confidence: Medium

Keep reading for the forecast into early next week.

Tomorrow (Sunday): Welcome back the sunshine under high pressure. Temperatures will be seasonably cold with highs around 40, maybe a degree or two higher. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: Clear and cold conditions prevails. Lows will drop to the low 20s in the colder suburbs to the mid- 20s downtown. Confidence: Medium-High


Mostly sunny and seasonably cold Monday, with highs in the upper 30s to around 40. At night, clouds increase with a slight chance of snow flurries by morning, Lows will be near 30. Confidence: Medium-High

A clipper swings to the north of us Tuesday, which is where most of its moisture will go. Nonetheless, we could see a few snow showers or flurries, with highs 35-40. Confidence: Medium

On Wednesday and Thursday, the cold air really starts to build over the area, with a possible round of snow showers late Wednesday or Thursday. We'll have more details on the cold spell and any possible snow in the coming days...

By Jason Samenow  | January 10, 2009; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Any possible longer range threats for snow? Thx!

Posted by: snowlover | January 10, 2009 8:17 AM | Report abuse

Current temp. in Burke: 37 with overcast skies.

It's going to get really cold this upcoming week. Some of the highs might not even make it out of the 20's!

And maybe some snow? :)

Posted by: Yellowboy | January 10, 2009 9:57 AM | Report abuse

Its hard to believe that many locations won't even get out of the teens on friday. A far cry from the warm January that was predicted. IMO I would rather have it warm and dry then frigid and dry with no snow.
Maybe we get a surprise on Tuesday?

Posted by: clintonportis17 | January 10, 2009 10:38 AM | Report abuse

what's keeping the moisture from getting to us? So close, so close!

Posted by: weathergrrl | January 10, 2009 11:23 AM | Report abuse


Likely the very dry air and low dew points.
it will probadly be rain anyway, its near 40 already here.

Posted by: clintonportis17 | January 10, 2009 11:26 AM | Report abuse

Reporting 33 degrees here in Rockville. I know nothing will accumulate, but I'd rather see flakes than drops.

Posted by: Havoc737 | January 10, 2009 12:56 PM | Report abuse

I'm really looking forward to next week, as I enjoy cold almost as much as I enjoy snow. That, and around here, temperatures are often marginal, which is always an issue with storm threats. Not so with the period beginning next week! One less variable to worry about.

Posted by: jahutch | January 10, 2009 1:00 PM | Report abuse

We just had a quick burst of sleet mixed with some large snow flakes in Oakton.

Posted by: Kevin-CapitalWeatherGang | January 10, 2009 2:31 PM | Report abuse

It's sleeting here in Burke right now.

Posted by: Yellowboy | January 10, 2009 2:35 PM | Report abuse

Sleet in No. Arlington right now.

Posted by: wecndo | January 10, 2009 2:40 PM | Report abuse

For the past few hours I've been disgruntled about sitting at work on a Saturday that was made to be lounging on the couch beside a fire. But then I walked out to get lunch. And there is very light IP/SN falling at 14th & I. Amazing how something so minor can lift your spirits during a DC snow drought!

Posted by: ParkerGP | January 10, 2009 2:48 PM | Report abuse

We had a moderate burst of sleet for about a minute at the Lake Ridge Bloom, then it started pouring. Still raining at a pretty good clip now...

Posted by: weatherdudeVA | January 10, 2009 2:52 PM | Report abuse

A very sudden and intense burst of sleet/rain in Rockville right now.

Posted by: Havoc737 | January 10, 2009 2:52 PM | Report abuse

Just rain in Oakton now. We had about 10 minutes of sleet with a few big snowflakes before the changeover.

Posted by: Kevin-CapitalWeatherGang | January 10, 2009 2:59 PM | Report abuse

Spoke to soon. It quickly turned over to cold rain at Franklin Square and I'm back to being digruntled. The manic mind of a snow lover rears its ugly head again.

Posted by: ParkerGP | January 10, 2009 3:03 PM | Report abuse

I've got BB size sleet coming down now in ZIP 21784.

Posted by: jmr1 | January 10, 2009 3:16 PM | Report abuse

Zip Code 22204. Had a bit of noisy sleet but it has settled into just another round of raw boring old plain rain. Current temperature 38 degrees.

My birthday, Jan. 15 still looks interesting on the extended charts. If we get through next week's anticipated bitter cold wave with nothing but bare ground and nary an inch of snow, I will deem Winter 2008/2009 a major disappointment. Why must we always get nothing but dry air when it gets cold and nothing but this boring old rain whenever the moisture advects? Whatever happened to such classics as 2003 and 1996, let alone the Knickerbocker and Washington/Jefferson snowstorms? Something has gotta happen, and soon; it's the "La Nada" moment!

Posted by: Bombo47jea | January 10, 2009 3:37 PM | Report abuse

El Bombo:

That's part of the problem. La Nada turned out to be "false." La Nina has reappeared, though weaker than last year's. Further, after a strong ENSO event like last years, the atmosphere tends to retain that configuration for a time. And that's exactly what we are seeing - a classic La Nina storm track. No southern jet to speak of, with storms going to our north and/or west.

We almost need a strong El Nino this summer to "reset" the atmosphere and reactivate the southern stream, trending into a weak Nino or a "La Nada" next winter.

Posted by: jahutch | January 10, 2009 4:08 PM | Report abuse

33 degrees in Leesburg. :(

Posted by: stinkerflat1 | January 10, 2009 5:33 PM | Report abuse

33 degrees in New Baltimore. It has sleeted, hailed snow pellets and poured down rain off and on all afternoon. There's a big batch of ice working its way into the very tip of no. FQ county .... let's see if it makes into the metro area

Posted by: weathergrrl | January 10, 2009 6:31 PM | Report abuse

Greetings from SoCal, current temp is 19.4 C, or about 72 F. Clear skies, sunset in an hour or so.

Posted by: isenberg888 | January 10, 2009 7:42 PM | Report abuse



Posted by: amorris525 | January 10, 2009 8:45 PM | Report abuse

5" of snow here in central Pa. I'll try 2 bring some back on Mon. Hokies beat Hoo's in bb 2day. Go Steelers.

Posted by: VaTechBob | January 10, 2009 11:11 PM | Report abuse's Henry Margusity is up to his best revisionist behavior - he writes in his latest post, "I guess I should have stuck to my guns and not taken the snow area as far south as I did and kept the with the original idea that the bulk of the snow will be north of I-80." Uh, yeah, Henry - except that you only started hyping snow into the DC/MD/VA area with today's storm (and ONLY that idea) starting about 5-7 days ago, and didn't have any "guns" or "original ideas" to stick to in this case. This guy is the KING of wishcasting - hope he enjoys getting the kiddies' hopes up and dashing them on a repeat basis.

Posted by: VAStateOfMind | January 11, 2009 12:02 AM | Report abuse

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