AccuWeather's Bastardi Issues Hurricane Outlook
*Showery and turning cooler: Full Forecast *
It's hard to believe, but hurricane season is a mere 10 weeks away. Leading up to the June 1 start date, a number of organizations will release seasonal outlooks. Yesterday, AccuWeather got things started, releasing Chief Hurricane Forecaster Joe Bastardi's 2009 take on the tropics.
Bastardi is calling for a slightly above average season with 13 named storms, 8 of which will become hurricanes. He predicts four will impact the U.S., with one major (category 3 or higher) hurricane landfall. Last season, by comparison, had 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 8 storms which impacted the U.S.
"Early indications show a reduction in the overall number of named storms and of major hurricanes in the Atlantic basin compared to last year, but the number of storms should still be near or a little above normal," Bastardi said.
Keep reading for more on Bastardi's outlook, including a video summary...
Bastardi notes an increased threat of activity around the mid-Atlantic and Northeast coasts compared to last year, with less action in the Gulf of Mexico.
Watch the video below for a summary of his outlook:
For much more detail, see also these videos:
- Part 1 Hurricane Season 2009 - The factors and Joe's intensity scale.
- Part 2 Hurricane Season 2009 - The Analog years and Impacts on the Gulf Coast
- Part 3 Hurricane Season 2009 - Global Warming and the hurricane relationship
Part 3 is especially interesting -- not on account of its global warming commentary (which some would argue is flawed -- but that's a subject for Andrew) -- but for its assessment of the vulnerability of mid-Atlantic and northeast cities to hurricanes.
Posted by: Bombo47jea | March 19, 2009 12:14 PM | Report abuse
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