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Posted at 5:00 AM ET, 04/20/2009

Forecast: A Rainy Day. Then Evening T-Storms?

By Dan Stillman

Weather rallies after wet start to week

* NatCast | CWG Talks to Hurricane Center Director *


Today: Morning rain. Precipitation lighter & more intermittent in the afternoon? Breezy at times & overcast. Mid-to-upper 50s. | Tonight: A round of heavier showers and thunderstorms early? Decreasing chances of rain overnight. Low-to-mid 50s. | Tomorrow: Early-morning shower? Partly sunny & breezy. Mid-to-upper 60s. | A Look Ahead


Yep -- you should've rolled over and gone back to sleep. Clearly that would've been the better option than dealing with a wet Monday morning commute. Yet there's reason for optimism. While thunderstorms could strike this evening and shower chances hang around into Wednesday, Thursday through the weekend will be worth the wait if anticipated sunshine and increasingly warm temperatures come true.

Radar: Latest D.C. area radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past two hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here to see radar bigger. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Monday): Rain will no doubt slow the morning commute. We're likely to see periods of rain continue through the day, though precipitation may become lighter and intermittent during the afternoon. High temperatures? Not so high at all -- mainly in the mid-to-upper 50s under overcast skies. And it'll be breezy at times with winds from the southeast at 10-20 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: A round of heavier showers and possibly some strong thunderstorms could come through sometime between approximately 6 p.m. and 1 a.m. Overnight and toward dawn, cloudy skies may continue to produce a few showers, but the overall trend will be toward diminishing chances of rain. Lows in the low-to-mid 50s. Confidence: Medium

Rainfall totals from Sunday night through Tuesday morning look to be at least 0.5-.75". Areas that catch a heavy thunderstorm could approach or top 1".

Keep reading for the forecast through the week and the outlook for the weekend....

Tomorrow (Tuesday): After the chance of a leftover early-morning shower, partly sunny skies and a 10-20 mph breeze from the southwest should warm highs to the mid-to-upper 60s. Another shower or two could pop up (30% chance) in the late afternoon or evening. Confidence: Medium

Tomorrow Night: That 30% chance of a passing shower remains. Otherwise, partly cloudy with lows in the 40s. Confidence: Medium-High


We can't get rid of that 30% chance of a shower, which stays with us through the day Wednesday. But like Tuesday, most of the day should be dry. Temperatures, however, take a step backwards with partly to to sometimes mostly cloudy skies limiting highs to around 60 at best. Winds stay breezy from the west, increasing to around 15-25 mph during the day. Wednesday night, clearing skies with lows near 40. Confidence: Medium-High

Thursday we go mostly sunny with highs in the 60s and, um, yeah, still quite breezy. Lows Thursday night dip down to the upper 40s to low 50s. Confidence: Medium

If the forecast holds, Friday will tempt you to start your weekend early with partly to mostly sunny skies and highs in the mid-to-upper 70s, maybe some low 80s. Confidence: Medium

Early indications point toward a partly sunny and warm spring weekend with highs somewhere between the upper 70s and mid-80s. At the moment, the weekend looks mostly dry, but there could be enough instability in the atmosphere to warrant a chance of an isolated shower. Confidence: Medium

By Dan Stillman  | April 20, 2009; 5:00 AM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Boy, is this a MESS!!! The type of raw, windy, wet weather I DESPISE the most on my first dance night in a week!!! Somebody could have timed this a lot better!

I'm ready for a for a MUCH-NEEDED DROUGHT!!!

Posted by: Bombo47jea | April 20, 2009 7:47 AM | Report abuse

DCA passed the whole-month April average last hour.. so this will be an above average rainfall month no matter what happens from here out.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | April 20, 2009 8:27 AM | Report abuse

Bombo -- considering that many will be starting to plant cooler weather crops already (including me), and wanting to get soil moisture levels up for the summer, don't even kid about a much needed drought... Rain is good...

Posted by: Registration1982 | April 20, 2009 9:05 AM | Report abuse

These intervals of rain and sun are setting us up nicely for a fabulous growing season. If it keeps up like this, then don't even think about buying a tomato at the grocery store this summer. There will be too much deliciousness at the farm market.

It's easy for me not to complain - I don't have to leave the house today. But anyway, think about delicious farm veggies and happy farmers and maybe that will help your day!

Posted by: LaurainNWDC | April 20, 2009 9:24 AM | Report abuse

As Ollie Williams would say... "IT'S GON RAIN!"

Posted by: jrodfoo | April 20, 2009 9:27 AM | Report abuse

Bombo47jea there is more to life than your little dances. Unless they are held outside what are you complaining about? Did it ever occur to you that we need rain? Just because you are surrounded by cement does not mean the world revolves around your dance schedule.

Posted by: MKadyman | April 20, 2009 9:43 AM | Report abuse

Oh get a life some of you! I agree with the sentiment that I'm sick of this overcast weather and rain!!! Bring on the extended warmth and sunshine.

Posted by: liledjen4901 | April 20, 2009 9:48 AM | Report abuse

You may have to update your rain total estimates. I had received more than three-quarters of an inch in Takoma Park when I left for work more than an hour ago.

Posted by: steske | April 20, 2009 10:52 AM | Report abuse

steske, it looks like much of the area is closing in on 1" or better after this morning. Dulles has 1.04" as of 11am and DCA has .85" with some more to go before a break.

Posted by: Ian-CapitalWeatherGang | April 20, 2009 10:59 AM | Report abuse

I can deal with rain coming straight down. It's this sideways stuff that is cold and hitting your face/clothes that irks me. You still get wet even with an umbrella!

Posted by: jojo2008 | April 20, 2009 12:28 PM | Report abuse

Here's my answer to Registration1982 and MKadyman: We evidently have a timing issue with our rainstorms! It only seems to be raining on my dance days, and I'm getting SICK AND TIRED of all this RAW CRUD [rainy as well as non-rainy!] we've been getting lately. I should be wearing shirtsleeves on a regular basis by now. Please see liledjen4901's entry.

The dances are generally indoors, but I have to walk through all that rain, raw weather and thunderstorms to get to the bus stops. Add to that the time I need to spend waiting in the weather at bus stops and the long waits for Metro transportation. I don't drive and need a lift or public transit to get around. Cab fares can get mighty stiff, especially when you figure in the tips.

Anyway it would be nice to have a big rainstorm on a day when I don't have a dance or something else scheduled that evening. There have been no dances for me since last Monday. Where was the rain most of those days?

Anyway, let's start getting some nice warm spring weather, with maybe an occasional shower at times. We've been too raw for too long, with little snow to show for it last winter. If we had gotten some snow or even winter rain we wouldn't have this drought issue staring us in the face. By Wednesday we should have whittled our deficit to an inch or less.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | April 20, 2009 1:03 PM | Report abuse

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