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Posted at 4:15 PM ET, 05/ 3/2009

Forecast: Damp Days Ahead

By Brian Jackson

Sunday showers followed by more on Monday

* NatCast: On the Wet Side *


Today: Rain showers. 59-63 | Tonight: Chance of showers. 50-53. | Tomorrow: A.M. rain, afternoon showers. 61-64. | A Look Ahead


Ready yourself for a good dousing of rain during the next few days as several areas of low pressure track through the region along a stalled out frontal boundary. There will be some dry breaks in between low pressure waves but general northeast flow will keep conditions rather drizzly. After all is said and done, most areas will see at least an inch of rain.

Radar: Latest regional radar loop shows movement of precipitation over past two hours. Powered by HAMweather. Refresh page to update. Click here to see radar bigger. Or see radar bigger on our Weather Wall.

Today (Sunday): We'll finally see some appreciable rain as low pressure approaches from the southwest. Skies undoubtedly will remain overcast throughout the day holding high temperatures in the lower 60s. Winds will blow lightly out of the northeast at less than 10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tonight: Not much will change as we move into the night. Light to moderate rain showers will continue to fall across the area - with some locally heavy rainfall possible. Overnight lows won't drop that much and will range from the low-to-mid 50s. Rainfall totals by morning (including today) should be about a half an inch or more on average, with an inch possible in some areas, especially just to our north. Winds will be from the east at around 10 mph.
Confidence: Medium-High

Keep reading for the forecast through your mid-week...

Tomorrow (Monday): It will continue to be damp. Another batch of moderate rain should pass through in the a.m. and mid-day hours with lighter showers in its wake lasting through the evening. Temperatures will reach the low 60s, perhaps a degree or two warmer than Sunday's highs. Winds will be from the north at around 10 mph. Confidence: Medium-High

Tomorrow Night: The steadiest of the rain should be on its way out by tomorrow night. Still, we won't see much of a drying as I expect showers to continue to move through. Overnight lows will bottom out in the lower 50s. Some fog is possible towards dawn if light winds from the northeast go calm for a period overnight. Confidence: Medium-High


Tuesday may be our "driest" day of this forecast period though a 50% chance for rain showers stays in the forecast. The majority of any rain would be in the morning-to-noon hours after which a dry spell should last into the overnight. We'll stay cloudy, with highs in the mid-60s and overnight lows in the mid-to-upper 50s. Confidence: Medium

Wednesday brings another chance for some moderate rain to move through. We could see a few peeks of sun during the morning as a weak high pressure tries unsuccessfully to build in. Then another low likely moves in from the southwest bringing more showers and t'storms for the afternoon and evening. Highs will be warmer though, likely in the low 70s. Confidence: Medium

By Brian Jackson  | May 3, 2009; 4:15 PM ET
Categories:  Forecasts  
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Brian, the NWS is estimating over three inches of rain in the next two days.

Is this accurate?

Posted by: david_in_stafford | May 3, 2009 7:30 AM | Report abuse

When will we see the sun again?

Posted by: liledjen4901 | May 3, 2009 8:04 AM | Report abuse

David, the NWS QPF forecasts trend on the high side for the most part. Also, I'm still thinking that the heaviest bands of rain will be moving through just north of DC metro. These areas might very well see close to 3 inches. For the majority of the population around here though, our max will likely be closer to 1 inch than 3.

Posted by: Brian-CapitalWeatherGang | May 3, 2009 9:32 AM | Report abuse

Thanks, Brian. The Weather Channel was calling for 3 between today and tomorrow night as well.

Since I am south of DC, I am hoping that we're on the lighter side of the rain totals.

Posted by: david_in_stafford | May 3, 2009 9:44 AM | Report abuse

Hope we see (AT THE VERY LEAST) two inches from this whole pattern... especially considering you can never tell what is going to happen during the summer.

Posted by: wecndo | May 3, 2009 10:36 AM | Report abuse

This is pure CRUD, wecndo. Hope it exits ASAP!!!

This "spring" has been MUCH TOO RAW! Frankly, I don't see too many issues this summer unless it dries up completely. Fortunately, I took my W&OD Trail hike yesterday while it was still dry [but raw!] We could get about two inches here in NoVa before this rain monster moves out.

There's a bona fide DERECHO now going on in Louisiana and Mississippi. No telling how far east it will move but we won't see anything from it.

On and off precip. looks likely the rest of the week, but we should get warmer since this stationary boundary seems to be trending northward. Boy, I'll be glad when this crud is out of here. My big dances are Friday night; things should be improving by then.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 3, 2009 11:38 AM | Report abuse

Yeah, this weather is just horrible crud, hope it gets back into the 90s soon.

Posted by: bastings | May 3, 2009 3:17 PM | Report abuse

I'll be satisfied with sunny 70's to low 80's, provided we start drying out a bit. Sterling is now saying this darned frontal boundary could remain to our south through Wednesday.

They are now calling for a lot of rain tomorrow afternoon/evening & I have a dance at Chevy Chase...thanks a lot, rain dance crowd. Hope we can get out of this ASAP.

Posted by: Bombo47jea | May 3, 2009 6:01 PM | Report abuse

Here on the Blue Ridge in VA, we've had steady temps today along with the rain.

High today 54.3F
Current temp 49.3F

Posted by: spgass1 | May 3, 2009 11:11 PM | Report abuse

We still need rain.

If you don't want rain, move to Las Vegas. Just bring sure to bring a lot of chapstick and Vaseline.

Posted by: JTF- | May 3, 2009 11:31 PM | Report abuse

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